税制变革、人口增长及其对中国历史演进的长期影响——基于“两税法”前后的考察

正确认识中国历史上的人口增长对理解中国经济与社会的长期变迁具有十分重要的意义.文章使用现代经济学的分析方法对中国历史上税制变革的人口效应及其长期影响进行了分析.研究表明,不但税额的变化对人口增长有很重要的影响,而且税制结构的变化也是影响人口数量的一个重要因素:(1)当税额给定时,丁税占比与长期人口水平负相关,与稳态人均产出以及稳态家庭收入正相关;(2)当税收结构给定时,税额与长期人口水平负相关,与稳态人均产出正相关,对家庭收入的长期影响则取决于丁税占比和劳动产出弹性的大小.结合历史上赋役变化的具体情况,我们预测两税法以来的税制变革倾向于释放更多的人口,并引起劳动生产率的长期下降,但是,稳态人口水平的提高却为两宋以后王朝寿命的延长提供了经济基础.文章对于分析当代税收的长期经济效应以及研究税收调整和税制改革也具有一定的启示.     

解读新一轮改革的逻辑

"十八大"以后,中国进入新一轮改革时期。新一轮改革是一场问题导向式改革,新时期所出现的诸如经济增长乏力、效率低下、市场秩序混乱等新问题是新一轮改革的逻辑起点,放、激、管三管齐下是解决新问题的主要方式。新一轮改革的目标是处理好政府与市场的关系,而理顺政府与市场关系的关键在于充分发挥市场在资源配置中的决定性作用,通过市场发力形成中国经济增长的内生力,探索出一条具有中国特色的市场经济道路,这条道路就是中国模式。     

承包商创收策略研究——基于一次、二次、三次经营视角

在我国建筑市场竞争激烈的情境下,业主普遍倾向于将风险交由承包商承担,这就使得承包商的被动地位越为明显.在此情况下,承包商的利润空间较低.为提升承包商利润,本文提出三次经营的模式,建立基于信任型合作关系的承包商创收体系.在项目各参与方共赢的理念下,实现承包商的创收和永续发展.     

Multi-product capacitated facility location problem with general production and building costs

This research introduces the multi-product capacitated facility location problem with general production and building costs (MP-CFLPGC). The MP-CFLPGC extends previous problems found in the literature by including multiple products and general production and building cost functions that allow the modeling of different behaviors like economies of scale and congestion. The MP-CFLPGC is formulated as a mixed integer linear program (MILP). To evaluate the performance of the proposed formulation we analyze the results of a commercial optimizer on a set of 288 randomly generated test instances that resemble the Colombian cement industry supply chain. After one hour the optimizer achieved an optimality gap of 1.0 % or less in 55 % out of the 288 test instances. On average the optimality gap was 3.57 %. Additionally, we propose a randomized mathematical-programming-based heuristic for the test instances where the MILP formulation presents significantly high optimality gaps.     

Intercorporate Ownership,Taxes, and Corporate Payout Choices*

This paper examines whether corporate payout choices (dividends or share repurchases) are associated with intercorporate ownership in a firm. Using the System for Electronic Document Analysis and Retrieval (SEDAR) and the Inter‐Corporate Ownership (ICO) database from Statistics Canada, I find that intercorporate ownership is positively associated with a firm’s propensity to pay dividends and negatively associated with a firm’s propensity to repurchase shares. The findings are robust to the endogeneity of intercorporate ownership and the inclusion of various control variables such as firm size, risk, liquidity, growth, and profitability.     

Inflation targeting credibility and sovereign risk: evidence from Colombia

This article relates to the literature on sovereign risk in developing countries. In particular, we present empirical evidence to address the effect of inflation targeting credibility on sovereign risk based on the Colombian experience. The findings denote that credibility is an important improvement in the institutional framework to reduce the sovereign risk premium.     

基于专业质量保障体系的德育为先与创新策略——以高职专业人才培养为例

党的教育方针把德育放在学生全面发展的领先地位,"德育为先"在理论与实践中被证明是正确的。针对传统德育工作存在的淡化僵化等不足,必须重点推行"三个转变",构建"全体性、全程化、全方位"德育为先体系,在坚持高职专业质量"德育为先"原则的同时,更应重视德育思路与方式的创新。     

上海市总部集群建设与区域创新发展

上海依托其金融、贸易、航运的中心地位,吸引大量的跨国公司总部进驻。近10来年,上海的总部经济规模迅速扩大,形成几个特大规模的总部经济集聚区,但其总部经济的发展也存在较大的问题,总部集群的要素集聚度低,总部集群的创新水平低,总部集群创新环境较差等问题。建设好上海的总部经济有其重要的现实意义,我们应大力提高总部经济的自主创新能力、促进创新环境的建设、构建创新要素的网络结构等。     

The relationship between high performance work systems and employee proactive behaviour: role breadth self‐efficacy and flexible role orientation as mediating mechanisms

Drawing on the contextual perspective, this study provides novel empirical evidence on how the organisational context (specifically, the firm's human resource strategy) has an effect on employee proactivity. We use matched data from managers and employees in 102 Spanish professional service firms to examine how high performance work systems contribute to enhance employee proactive behaviours through two motivational variables: role breadth self‐efficacy and flexible role orientation. Results of a multilevel study demonstrate that role breadth self‐efficacy mediates between HPWS and employee proactivity, but flexible role orientation does not mediate this relationship.     

粮食中镉含量测定方法初探:以石墨炉原子吸收分光光度计法为例

笔者长期从事粮食中镉污染检验工作,大量实践经验表明,虽然原子吸收仪的品牌、型号各不相同,但应用原理、结构大致相同。本文以石墨炉原子吸收分光光度计法对粮食中镉的含量的检测为例进行说明,发现试样前处理、试剂空白、使用试剂、回收实验及在操作过程中的对仪器的处理等对检测结果均会产生直接影响。为确保检测结果准确性,本文对检测过程中影响检测结果的各注意事项进行了分析总结,希望能对从事镉污染检测工作的人员提供理论指导和借鉴。