The Determinants of Trade Credit in Transition Countries

The paper investigates the determinants of trade credit in transition countries. Traditional theories of trade credit extension suggest that both financial and commercial motives may induce non-financial companies to assume a role of financial intermediation. Furthermore, specific conditions of financing for companies in transition countries may reserve to trade credit an important role in financial structure. We test the determinants of accounts receivable and accounts payable on a sample of about 9300 companies from nine Central and Eastern European Countries. Results suggest that both financial and commercial motives explain the credit behaviour of firms. However, we do not find generalised patterns in the use of trade credit among all transition countries.     

What Makes Firms Dissatisfied with Their Bank Loans: New Evidence from Survey Data

Journal of Financial Services Research - We use loan-by-loan association between non-financial firms and their banks to disentangle the effects of financial weakness of borrowers and lenders on the...     

Has China replaced colonial trade?

Review of World Economics - China is often suspected of taking over the extraordinary trade relationships that former colonies had within colonial empires. Besides preferential bilateral...     

Weakness of investment in Portugal: what role do credit supply and fiscal consolidation shocks play?

Portuguese Economic Journal - In order to illustrate how tightened financial conditions have hampered investment in Portugal, we estimate a Factor Augmented Vector AutoRegressive model (FAVAR) with...     

The (Over)Cost of Capital: Financialization and Nonfinancial Corporations in France (1961–2011)

ABSTRACT

The term ‘financialization’ is often used to describe the major changes that occurred in the macroeconomic regimes of most developed and, to a lesser extent, emerging economies since the beginning of the 1980s. In the present paper, we propose a reappraisal of the notion of the cost of capital and subsequently argue that financialization in France has increased the cost of capital for nonfinancial corporations with new standards of financial profitability. We introduce a measurement for what could be called the over-cost of capital and describe how the evolution of this additional financial burden may explain the slowdown in the pace of capital accumulation, and thus the drop in French macroeconomic performance observed for the past 30 years.     

Pricing CDOs with state-dependent stochastic recovery rates

Up to the 2007 crisis, research within bottom-up CDO models mainly concentrated on the dependence between defaults. Since then, due to substantial increases in market prices of systemic credit risk protection, more attention has been paid to recovery rate assumptions. In this paper, we use stochastic orders theory to assess the impact of recovery on CDOs and show that, in a factor copula framework, a decrease of recovery rates leads to an increase of the expected loss on senior tranches, even though the expected loss on the portfolio is kept fixed. This result applies to a wide range of latent factor models and is not specific to the Gaussian copula model. We then suggest introducing stochastic recovery rates in such a way that the conditional on the factor expected loss (or, equivalently, the large portfolio approximation) is the same as in the recovery markdown case. However, granular portfolios behave differently. We show that a markdown is associated with riskier portfolios than when using the stochastic recovery rate framework. As a consequence, the expected loss on a senior tranche is larger in the former case, whatever the attachment point. We also deal with implementation and numerical issues related to the pricing of CDOs within the stochastic recovery rate framework. Due to differences across names regarding the conditional (on the factor) losses given default, the standard recursion approach becomes problematic. We suggest approximating the conditional on the factor loss distributions, through expansions around some base distribution. Finally, we show that the independence and comonotonic cases provide some easy to compute bounds on expected losses of senior or equity tranches.     

DYNAMIC HEDGE FUND STYLE ANALYSIS WITH ERRORS‐IN‐VARIABLES

We revisit the traditional return‐based style analysis in the presence of time‐varying exposures and errors‐in‐variables (EIV). We apply a benchmark selection algorithm using the Kalman filter and compute the estimated EIV of the selected benchmarks. We adjust them by subtracting their EIV from the initial return series to obtain an estimate of the true uncontaminated benchmarks. Finally, we run the Kalman filter on these adjusted regressors. Analyzing EDHEC alternative index styles, we show that this technique improves the factor loadings and allows more precise identification of the return sources of the considered hedge fund strategy.     

How Does Cross‐Border Activity Affect EU Banking Markets?

Cross‐border activity in the EU is widely viewed as a necessary condition for the implementation of a single banking market and therefore as a positive factor for the enhancement of competition and cost performance in the region. In this paper, we analyse the relevance of this view by investigating whether cross‐border activity really promotes competition and cost efficiency in EU banking markets. We also consider the potential role of a bank's mode of entry by comparing existing domestic banks that foreign banks take over (mergers and acquisitions) with new branches created by foreign banks, often through subsidiaries (greenfield operations). We consider the impact of cross‐border banks on cost efficiency (measured by the stochastic frontier approach), profitability (assessed through return on assets) and competition (measured by the Lerner index). We find that greenfield banks enhance cost efficiency and competition, while mergers and acquisitions hamper competition and cost efficiency. Therefore, our results suggest that EU authorities should promote only greenfield banks rather than all cross‐border entries.