Should the Good and the Selfish be Taxed Differently?*

In this paper, we consider an environment where individual actions have externalities and two types of agents exist: agents with social preferences (the good) and selfish agents. Selfish agents have pay‐off functions that do not take into account social welfare. The pay‐off of an agent is a linear combination of social welfare and the pay‐off of a selfish agent. We demonstrate that the corrective tax rates that maximize social welfare do not depend on the degree of social preferences. Hence, the good and the selfish should not be taxed differently.     

对我国商业银行个人住房贷款风险及防范的思考

本文通过对我国商业银行个人住房贷款的借款人违约行为进行实证分析,揭示出个人住房贷款存在的风险,并就如何建立标准化、集约化操作模式,防范借款人理性违约风险以及房产资产的证券化三个方面提出化解风险的措施。     

Do liquidity induced changes in aggregate dividends signal aggregate future earnings growth?

Extant empirical literature does not provide abundant evidence for the information content hypothesis regarding firm-level dividend signaling. Although this is consistent with the argument against an optimal firm-level dividend policy, this does not imply an absence of an optimal aggregate dividend level. Aggregate dividends and earnings may exhibit stronger associations if aggregation filters out firm-specific earnings information and indicates macroeconomic trends. Using macroeconomic data, we show that aggregate payout ratios signal aggregate future earnings growth for horizons up to 4 years, and that excess aggregate liquidity plays an important role in this relationship.

我国金融中心金融调解机制的困境与对策

我国金融中心虽有一系列的金融调解机制,但其作用有限,以至于大部分金融争端为金融诉讼所解决,金融调解机制陷入了套数多但应用少的困境.金融调解机制的困境在于其与金融诉讼的比较中处于劣势,具体表现为金融调解未能兼具专业性、中立性、独立性、受案范围广和收费标准低的特性,金融调解协议无强制执行力,公众知悉度低.本文认为,我国金融中心可以采取将多套金融调解机制整合为一套金融调解机制、对大部分金融消费案件实行先调解后裁决制度、调解案件不收费或低收费的做法,来改变金融中心调解机制的比较劣势.     

OCB视角下的派遣员工激励

经济全球化背景下的产业转移升级和企业用工需求的增长,正推动服务外包业务加快进行。特别是在全球金融动荡的经济环境下,将有更多的跨国公司将其非核心业务外包,以降低成本、增强竞争力,这些因素都将推动劳务派遣用工方式的加速进行。因此,派遣员工的规范、管理、激励等问题亟待解决。文章在激励理论和组织公民行为理论的基础上,分析了不同类型派遣员工组织公民行为的分类和特征,提出基于组织公民行为理论的派遣员工激励策略。     

我国反腐败工作的现状与进展

反腐败问题是现代社会所面临的一个共同课题。我国反腐败现状可以从监督、领导干部廉洁自律、查办违法违纪案件、纠正损害群众利益的不正之风和源头治理等五个方面来进行深入了解和总体把握。在此基础上,针对我国反腐败理论研究的薄弱环节,从“腐败”的概念和类型划分、反腐败的领域范围、预防腐败以及制定反腐败的专门法律等方面探讨和研究反腐败的基本问题,以便促进我们对反腐败工作的认识,并推动相关的工作。     

Uncertainty and Investment: Evidence from Australian Firm Panel Data

This paper investigates the key drivers of fixed firm investment of listed non‐financial companies in Australia over the period from 1987 to 2009. A Tobin's q model of investment is augmented to account for the effect of economic uncertainty on the investment decision. The effects of Tobin's q, sales and cash flows on firm investment rate are also analysed and discussed. Consistent with existing literature, this research finds clear evidence of negative effects of both macroeconomic and firm idiosyncratic uncertainty on Australian firm investment. However, evidence also shows that firm‐specific uncertainty is more important in explaining firm investment than macroeconomic uncertainty.     

An empirical analysis of night-time light data based on the gravity model

This article aims to explore the feasibility of applying night-time light data to the study of trade. Based on 61 countries’ panel data from 1995 to 2012, this research used night-time light data, as the substitute for GDP, to study trade development based on the traditional gravity model. The method of ordinary least squares, Poisson pseudo-maximum-likelihood and two-stage least squares were used. The results show that geographical distance, country borders and regional agreements have a significant effect on China’s trade with other Belt and Road countries, which verifies the validity of trade research based on night-time light data analysis. Additionally, comparisons reveal the trade trends predicted by night-time light data from 1996 to 2012, were highly consistent with the actual data. This article stands as the first study to apply night-time light data to the gravity model in the research on trade between China and other Belt and Road countries. Breaking new ground, this research uses night-time light data as an economic indicator to study trade, in combination with micro foundations and the latest findings of the gravity model. Thus, this article deepens the understanding of trade analysis and contributing to the field of related researches.     

科技服务渗透对制造业技术进步的影响

利用世界投入产出表计算制造业细分行业科技服务渗透指数,在此基础上实证分析科技服务渗透对制造业技术进步的影响。结果表明：科技服务渗透促进了制造业技术进步,但作用强度不尽如人意;科技服务业的创新贡献在不同要素密集型制造业差异较大;本土科技服务与进口科技服务对制造业创新绩效都具有显著激励作用,且前者比后者的创新促进效应更显著;科技服务对制造业的创新激励存在明显的本地化效应,本土科技服务与进口科技服务在制造业创新过程中存在互补促进作用,需要进一步强化本土科技服务对进口科技服务的消化吸收再利用能力。     

创新类型、风险资本对高技术企业联盟行为的影响

高技术企业的融资方式和创新类型对其治理结构和战略模式具有明显的影响。通过讨论高技术企业创新类型对融资策略和企业联盟行为的影响,以及风险资本对企业联盟行为的影响,分析了创新类型、风险资本融资方式和风险企业联盟行为三者之间的关系。