Sparse Signals in the Cross‐Section of Returns

This paper applies the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) to make rolling one‐minute‐ahead return forecasts using the entire cross‐section of lagged returns as candidate predictors. The LASSO increases both out‐of‐sample fit and forecast‐implied Sharpe ratios. This out‐of‐sample success comes from identifying predictors that are unexpected, short‐lived, and sparse. Although the LASSO uses a statistical rule rather than economic intuition to identify predictors, the predictors it identifies are nevertheless associated with economically meaningful events: the LASSO tends to identify as predictors stocks with news about fundamentals.     

ECONOMIC TRANSITION AND LABOUR MARKET DYNAMICS IN CHINA: AN INTERPRETATIVE SURVEY OF THE ‘TURNING POINT’ DEBATE

Has the Chinese economy approached the ‘Lewisian turning point’ that marks the ending of the initial phase of industrial transformation fuelled by surplus labour? In this paper we undertake an interpretative survey of the literature on this issue, in the context of China's labour market conditions prior to the reforms and structural change of the past three decades. The available evidence is mixed, and our assessment makes a strong case for probing institutional constraints to labour mobility from an economy‐wide perspective, going beyond the confines of the rural economy.     

Ag econ angst crisis revisited

The present paper was inspired by and is a response to the Rola-Rubzen, Hardaker and Dillon paper 'Agricultural economists and world poverty: progress and prospects' (Rola-Rubzen et al. 2001). It is agreed that the position of agricultural economists in foreign aid and poverty programs has declined over recent decades. Such a feeling of guilt and remorse expressed by the above authors does indeed create considerable 'angst'. A major reason for this state of affairs lies in 'the flavour of the month' approach of the development agencies. These include women in development, gender-based farming systems research, household nutrition and food security, people participation, and targeting the poorest of the poor. These fads have driven disciplinary considerations to the wall and the more widely-defined objectives have reduced the drive for economic efficiency. We argue there is still a place for better designed and delivered assistance programs within the wider framework of assistance that has become fashionable. Greater application of institutional principles in both the political processes associated with assistance and the implementation agencies would improve the outcomes of many projects. Particular attention would need to be given to the interface between the development agencies and recipient governments. The present paper picks up on the market failure aspects of agriculture's rather poor contribution to development, and develops a wider perspective in terms of the new institutional economics and a continuing role for the agricultural economist.     

超常发展再铸辉煌--上海港集装箱运输发展回顾与展望

2002年,上海港创造了一个新纪录——集装箱吞吐量完成861万TEU,比上年634万TEU增长35.8%,超越高雄港而成为排名世界第四位的集装箱港口。这一辉煌业绩标志着作为我国大陆最大的国际通航港口又向国际航运中心建设的目标迈出了一大步。上海港集装箱吞吐量的发展是超常的。近10年来,它都以年均28%的增长率攀升。1994年突破100万达到119.9万TEU,从1997年至2001年的5年里,每一年都突破一个大数,分别超越200万、300万、400万、500万和600万TEU,2002年则跃升双百万,达到861万TEU。这是上海港集装箱运输发展史上前所未有的。它超常发展的巨大…     

相对主义的价值结构

一般认为，相对主义在价值实践中必然造成价值虚无主义，实际上，相对主义处于一个未完成状态中，它目前的结构大致具有三个层次，第一个层次是各种实在性价值，第二个层次是虚化的相对主义要求，第三个层次则是相对主义的自我反思性。这个层次结构保证了价值的自由性，同时努力避免着价值的虚无。     

略论中国企业跨文化管理的原则与方法

本文阐述了跨文化管理的基本原则,重点探讨了企业实施跨文化管理的主要方法。     

经济快车道正伸向阿塞拜疆

在美丽的里海之滨,)域连绵的高加索南麓,有一块8.66万平方公里面积的国土,从地图上看它,酷似一只睡梦初醒的雄鹰,开始伸展翅膀,向着大海蓝天飞翔。这就是以盛产石油而文明于世的阿塞拜疆。这个处在欧亚交界地带的国家,自1991年脱离前苏联,宣布独立后,其经济一度连续下滑。从199     

服务营销:3G时代企业致胜的法宝

随着3G时代的到来,电信企业之间的竞争将更加激烈.电信企业要想在激烈的竞争环境中立足,拥有自己的市场,必须以服务营销为战略研究重点,建立以用户为中心的服务营销体制,建立包括企业利润、企业的成长性,用户忠诚、用户满意、提供给用户的产品与服务的价值,员工能力、满意、忠诚及效率在内的电信服务利润链.