Monetary policy for an open economy: an alternative framework with optimizing agents and sticky prices

The 'new open-economy macroeconomics' seeks to provide an improvedbias for monetary and exchange-rate policy through the constructionof open-economy models that feature rational expectations, optimizingagents, and slowly adjusting prices of goods. This paper promotesan alternative approach for constructing such models by treatingimports not as finished consumer goods but rather as raw-materialinputs to the home economy's productive process. This treatmentleads to a clean and simple theoretical structure that has someempirical attractions as well. A particular small-economy modelis calibrated and its properties exhibited, primarily by meansof impulse response functions. The preferred variant is shownto feature a pattern of correlations between exchange-rate changesand inflation that is more realistic than provided by a morestandard specification. Important recent events are interpretedin light of the alternative models.     

Role of Gender in Conflict Handling in the Context of Outsourcing Service Marketing

Do male and female outsourcing service marketers differ in their responses to conflict‐handling styles of outsourcers? The paper addresses this question by identifying relationship‐oriented typologies of conflict handling from extant literature and examining their effects on key relational outcomes in outsourcing relationship in A sia. Specifically, the paper considers how outsourcers’ conflict‐handling styles impact trust and commitment by male and female outsourcing service providers’ ( OSP s). Data were collected from male and female OSP s and analyzed using F actor and H ierarchical M ultiple R egression analyses. Findings show significant differences in the relationship between conflict‐handling styles and relational outcomes between male and female OSP s. Precisely, integrating conflict handling–trust relationship is significantly stronger for males than for females, whereas compromising conflict handling–trust relationship is significantly stronger for females than for males. Findings show no statistical differences in accommodating conflict handling–trust relationship between the groups. These findings lead to research and managerial implications that conclude the paper.     

Thirty years of research on tourism and hospitality management in China: A review and analysis of journal publications

The tourism industry in China has undergone rapid development since 1978 and is foreseen as being the world's largest tourism market by 2020. However, no comprehensive review of literature in this context has been completed, and international academics have little understanding of China tourism research. This paper aims to provide an overview of 119 articles selected from six leading English language academic journals published from 1978 to 2008. Content analysis points to the evolving trend in Asian universities in terms of journal contributions. Consumer behavior has gained popularity as a research topic, and will likely remain as a prevalent research theme in the near future. A tendency toward multiple-authorship, rather than single authorship, and more sophisticated methodological procedures has also been found. Future analysis may focus on including other forms of publications and Chinese language journals to capture the full picture of China tourism.     

Improved approximations for the aggregate claims distribution of a life insurance portfolio

Abstract

In an earlier paper the author derived a recursion formula which permits the exact computation of the aggregrate claims distribution in the individual life model. This exact procedure requires of course more computing time than approximative methods such as Kornya's algorithm, which seemed to be the best compromise between accuracy and computational effort. In the present paper it is shown that, to save time, the exact formula can be used in an approximative way and that the corresponding error bound is smaller than the one of the Kornya-type approximations.     

Simple binomial processes as diffusion approximations in financial models

A binomial approximation to a diffusion is defined as 'computationallysimple' if the number of nodes grows at most linearly in thenumber of time intervals. It is shown how to construct computationallysimple binomial processes that converge weakly to commonly employeddiffusions in financial models. The convergence of the sequenceof bond and European option prices from these processes to thecorresponding values in the diffusion limit is also demonstrated.Numerical examples from the constant elasticity of variancestock price and the Cox, Ingersoll, and Ross (1985) discountbond price are provided.     

Dynamic Seemingly Unrelated Cointegrating Regressions

We propose the parametric Dynamic Seemingly Unrelated Regression (DSUR) estimator for simultaneous estimation of multiple cointegrating regressions. DSUR is efficient when the equilibrium errors are correlated across equations and is applicable for panel cointegration estimation in environments where the cross section is small relative to the available time series. We study the asymptotic and small sample properties of the DSUR estimator for both heterogeneous and homogeneous cointegrating vectors. We then apply the method to analyse two long-standing problems in international economics. Our first application revisits the estimation of long-run correlations between national investment and national saving. Our second application revisits the question of whether the forward exchange rate is an unbiased predictor of the future spot rate.     

Linking Product Development Outcomes to Market Valuation of the Firm: The Case of the U.S. Pharmaceutical Industry*

The purpose of this research was to examine empirically the effects of new product development outcomes on overall firm performance. To do so, first product development and finance literature were connected to develop three testable hypotheses. Next, an event study was conducted in order to explore whether the changes in the stock market valuation of firms are influenced by the outcomes of efforts to develop new products. The pharmaceutical industry was chosen as the empirical context for the present study's analysis largely because the gate‐keeping role played by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) provides a specific event date on which to focus the event study methodology. As such, this study's events were dates of public announcements of the FDA decisions to approve or to reject the New Drug Applications submitted by the sponsoring firms. Consistent with the efficient market hypothesis, this study's results show that market valuations are responsive strongly and cleanly to the success or failure of new product development efforts. Hence, one of this study's key results suggests that financial markets may be attuned sharply to product development outcomes in publicly traded firms. This study also finds that financial market losses from product development failures were much larger in magnitude than financial market gains from product development successes—indicating an asymmetry in the response of financial markets to the success and failure of new product development efforts. Hence, another implication of this study's results is that managers should factor in a substantial risk premium when considering substantial new development projects. The present study's results also imply that managers should refrain from hyping new products and perhaps even should restrain the enthusiasm that the financial community may build before the product fully is developed. The effect on firm value is severe when expectations about an anticipated new product are not fulfilled. Managers in effect should take care to build reasonable and realistic expectations about potential new products.