Smoking Behavior,Information Sources,and Consumption Values of Teenagers: Implications for Public Policy and Other Intervention Failures

This paper uses a hierarchical decision process model, uses of information, and a theory of consumption values as a strategic framework for evaluating the general failure of intervention strategies for teenage smoking initiation. Extremely high smoking consideration-to-trial rates and rapid cessation by occasional smokers provide narrow but unused strategic opportunities for intervention. Use of information sources varies by stage of model with interpersonal sources dominating consideration, trial, and cessation stages and mass media showing only a slightly increasing use in cessation compared to the earlier stages. The decision process model and consumption values are necessary for planning strategic interventions. Existing intervention programs are not appropriately targeted in the decision process. Programs should be developed to reduce the smoking consideration to trial rates in younger children and to encourage rapid cessation in older teenagers. The use of either print or broadcast mass media intervention programs is not supported.     

FORGETFULNESS AND THE POLITICAL CYCLE*

This paper examines a mechanism that underlies both the political business cycle and the cycle in non-economic policies executed by politicians. We show that if rational voters suffer from forgetfulness (a noise in the memory). then government expenditure on the production of public good increases as elections approach. Hence, the model describes a cycle that is observed in the government expenditures of democratic societies. Unlike previous models, this model does not require that the government have information superiority over rational voters with respect to its competency. According to this model, incumbents transfer resources from the beginning of their terms of service and use them near the end of their terms. We also find that the less concave the production function, the wider the cycle.     

Equilibrium Unemployment in Australia: Concepts and Measurement*

This paper reviews some concepts of equilibrium unemployment and outlines the fundamental difficulties facing any attempt to produce estimates of the equilibrium rate of unemployment. It develops simple quasi-reduced form models of aggregate unemployment based on rival non market-clearing and market-clearing theories. These equations form the basis of an empirical model of aggregate unemployment in Australia since 1969. The empirical evidence suggests that most of the observed increase in unemployment can be attributed to cyclical rather than structural-frictional factors. However, stylized explanations of cyclical unemployment exclusively along the lines of Keynesian, Classical or equilibrium search theory are found inadequate.     

Unemployment in Australia: Duration and Recurrent Spells*

Using a parametric technique. this paper estimates average completed duration of unemployment for several age and sex categories. It shows that the use of Labour Force Survey data leads to underestimates due to the presence of recurrent unemployment. When allowance is made, using A BS Persons Looking for Work and Labour Force Experience data, it is shown that new entrants to unemployment in 1981 could expect to remain unemployed for nearly six months. For teenagers evidence is presented to suggest that, contrary to current economic thought, teenagers may on average be unemployed for longer periods per spell and may have less experience of recurrent spells than their counterparts. It also shows that changes in the unemployment rate are dominated by changes in duration.     

An Economic Analysis Of The Alberta Butter Industry

If the dairy industry is to improve its income position, areas for potential improvement must be investigated. From a brief analysis of dramatic changes in butter manufacturing in Alberta and operating efficiency of dairy plants a number of significant opportunities for enhancing income are revealed .     

经济变革时代的谢菲尔德市

20世纪80年代,国家的许多重要经济改革措施使谢菲尔德市受到强烈震荡,在此期间,谢菲尔德市有8万人失业,——大约为总就业人数的四分之一。谢菲尔德市与整个社会的脱节,导致本市市民正逐渐地丧失就业机会。今天,尽管谢菲尔德的经济有了显著好转,但是,它的GDP仅是欧联盟平均GDP的87%,我们的周边地区与我们经历相似,且大部分地区极度贫穷。     

Consumers' Use of Debit Cards: Patterns, Preferences, and Price Response

Debit card use at the point of sale has grown dramatically in recent years in the United States and now exceeds the number of credit card transactions. However, many questions remain regarding patterns of debit card use, consumer preferences when using debit, and how consumers might respond to explicit pricing of card transactions. Using a new nationally representative consumer survey, this paper describes the current use of debit cards by U.S. consumers, including how demographics affect use. In addition, consumers' stated reasons for using debit cards are used to analyze how consumers substitute between debit and other payment instruments. We also examine the relationship between household financial conditions and payment choice. Finally, we use a key variable on bank-imposed transaction fees to analyze price sensitivity of card use, and find a 12% decline in overall use in reaction to a mean 1.8% fee charged on certain debit card transactions; we believe this represents the first microeconomic evidence in the United States on price sensitivity for a card payment at the point of sale.