Eine neue Typologie real existierender deutscher Erstversicherer

The Criterions of insurance companies in Germany are changing as consequences of market competition and regulation. Trends of differentiation follow former trends of assimilation. A modern typology of direct insurers resp. groups of insurers is less oriented by legal form of companies, more by targets of activities and stakeholder situation. In case of mutual companies there are effects of demutualization.     

Irreversible investment and discounting: an arbitrage pricing approach

This paper presents a unified approach to valuing investment projects under uncertainty, based on stochastic discount factors, by linking optimal stopping theory to the no-arbitrage principle in asset pricing. An investment threshold for the case where the discount factor and the project’s cash-flow both follow a geometric Brownian motion is derived. Comparative statics of the investment trigger are obtained adding to and clarifying on the uncertainty–investment debate. Finally, two different ways to obtain discount factors are illustrated: spanning assets and representative agent analysis. The link between the characteristics of these different approaches and the optimal investment policy is clarified.     

Endogenous differential mortality,non-contractible effort and non-linear taxation

This paper studies a problem of non-linear taxation when individuals have different longevities resulting from a non-monetary effort (like exercising). We first present the laissez-faire and the first best. Like Becker and Philipson (J. Polit. Econ. 106(3):551–573, 1998), we find that the laissez-faire level of effort is too high compared with the first best, because individuals do not internalize the impact of survival on the return of their savings. We also claim that because of its non-monetary form, effort is not contractible. That is why we modify our framework and assume, for the rest of the paper, that effort is determined by the individual while the social planner only allocates consumptions. It turns out that, under full information, a tax on the return of annuitized savings is desirable for both types. This tax is higher for the low-survival individual. Under asymmetric information, the low-survival individual still faces a tax while the high-survival individual might now face a positive or negative tax on annuities. Interestingly, our results depend on the value of life.     

An empirical measure of the availability,completeness and reliability of voluntarily disclosed personal information for direct marketing purposes

The self-disclosure of individual-level consumer information for direct marketing purposes, such as interests, opinions, beliefs, competitor spending habits and future purchase intentions, is voluntary in nature. This raises the prospect that such information may be to some extent incomplete and unreliable. However, the availability, completeness and reliability of voluntarily disclosed personal information for direct marketing purposes has received little attention in the literature. This represents an important omission because all modern personalised targeting models such as neural networks, and all customer profiling and data appending practices, typically incorporate voluntarily disclosed individual-level information. Accordingly, the ability of the direct marketing industry to gather and use such information will exercise an increasingly prominent role in sustaining and extending its competitive position. Using 256 personal interviews and a case study, this paper quantifies typical levels of abstention from personal information disclosure, and omission and falsification of such disclosures, and considers the implications for direct marketing practice.     

The bond event study methodology since 1974

In the spirit of methodology reviews for stock event studies, like the one prepared by Binder (Rev Quant Financ Account 11:111–137, 1998), this paper discusses the development of the event study methodology for corporate bonds since its first application with Katz (J Financ 29:551–559, 1974). The motivation to conduct this review stems from two sources: First, the methodology utilized for stocks cannot simply be applied to bonds, as bonds present several features that strongly distinguish them from stocks. An erroneous model could lead to false conclusions about the impact of new information on a firm’s debt. Second, the availability of new sources for bond data enables the application of bond event studies for an increasing number of research frameworks. Thus, future research ought to be interested in the selection of the proper methodology. Consequently, this paper illustrates past and present event study methods utilized to calculate abnormal bond returns and reviews the applied parametric and non-parametric test statistics. Besides, insight on how the availability of corporate bond data has evolved through the last four decades, as well as the impact on prevailing methodology is provided. Altogether, this paper provides a first extensive snapshot of the current bond event study methodology and offers guidance for future research.     

Merger policy and tax competition: the role of foreign firm ownership

In many situations, governments have sector-specific tax and regulation policies at their disposal to influence the market outcome after a national or an international merger has taken place. In this paper we study the implications for merger policy when countries non-cooperatively deploy production-based taxes and firms may be partly owned by foreigners. We find that when foreign firm ownership is low in the pre-merger situation, non-cooperative tax policies are more efficient after a national merger, and smaller synergy effects are needed for this type of merger to be proposed and cleared. In contrast, cross-border mergers dominate when the degree of foreign firm ownership is high initially. These results suggest a link between increasing international portfolio diversification and the rising share of cross-border mergers.     

Portfolio management without probabilities or statistics

Considered here is on-line portfolio management aimed at maximizing the long-run growth of financial wealth. The portfolio is repeatedly rebalanced in response to observed returns on diverse assets. Suppose statistical information and related methods are not available—or deemed too difficult. On that assumption this paper explores how an adaptive procedure, which totally dispenses with statistics and associated competence, nonetheless may solve the problem over time.     

Multidimensional Screening in a Monopolistic Insurance Market

We consider a population of individuals who differ in two dimensions, their risk type (expected loss) and their risk aversion, and solve for the profit-maximising menu of contracts that a monopolistic insurer puts out on the market. Our findings are threefold. First, it is never optimal to fully separate all the types. Second, if heterogeneity in risk aversion is sufficiently high, then some high-risk individuals (the risk-tolerant ones) will obtain lower coverage than some low-risk individuals (the risk-averse ones). Third, because women tend to be more risk averse than men (in that the risk aversion distribution for women first-order stochastically dominates that for men), gender discrimination may lead to a Pareto improvement.     

Why not fully spend a conditional block grant?

This paper studies a conditional block grant that Dutch municipalities receive for welfare-to-work programs. Many municipalities do not fully use this grant, although programs are beneficial for them. We argue that municipalities incur expenses to use the grant. If these costs are substantial, then it is optimal not to fully use the grant. Based on municipality-specific data on grants and actual expenditures, we estimate that municipalities have to add about 90 cents from their own resources to spend 1 euro of the grant. As a result, the conditional block grant is de facto a closed-ended matching grant.