新巴塞尔协议与我国的银行风险管理

新巴塞尔协议代表了国际银行业风险管理的发展方向,已经成为世界银行业风险管理的国际准则。文章分析了巴塞尔协议的制度变迁,结合新巴塞尔协议的基本框架,分析了新巴塞尔协议对我国的影响,提出了新巴塞尔协议下我国银行风险管理的制度选择原则。     

“三国演义”，麈战纺织

9月5日中国与欧盟经过长达48小时的唇枪舌战，终于达成协议，圆满解决了中欧纺织品贸易的滞港争端。9月1日紧急进行的中美纺织品第四轮磋商依然未果，“拉锯战”被拖至9月下旬，而且前途未卜，恰似给美国造成巨大损失的“卡特里娜”飓风，近期内依然“挥之不去”，令业内人士揪心。     

中国要向日本学习什么?--谈"节约型经济"与"中国世纪"

“中国世纪”的挑战先说中国目前面临的挑战。现在国际国内都有许多人正在谈论“中国世纪”。其实,中国的世纪仍然是一种想象。中国正在崛起,但世界上从来没有任何一个国家像崛起的中国那样感受到资源困窘的压力。如果中国不能克服前进道路上的矛盾,不能转变增长方式,就谈不上会有真正的“中国的世纪”。对于中国资源的困窘可从供需两方面来看。在供应方面,中国并非地大物博,中国的人均资源相当稀缺;而在需求方面,中国经济高速发展,国民对能源、水、土地等自然资源的需求正急剧增长,并将持续增长。众所周知,就大部分重要资源的人均占有水平…     

浅议资产评估行业执业责任保险及职业风险基金

为规避和降低资产评估行业职业风险,现阶段绝大多数评估机构都按照中评协有关规定从业务收入中计提职业风险基金.随着资产评估业务的拓展和执业环境的变化,仅以一种途径来防范职业风险已不能满足行业发展的需要.本文借鉴评估行业参加执业责任保险的情况,提出了存在问题及改进意见.     

A theoretical model of the relationship between value added elements and end product

This paper focuses on the development of a theoretical scheme describing the transformation of primary incomes into end consumption and savings in the Russian economy. This scheme is basically a system of interrelated tables reflecting the distribution of primary incomes across the institutional sectors and their further reallocation and use. The scheme makes allowances for the specific features of the Russian economy and existing statistics. In terms of methodology, it is coordinated with the interindustry balance in current buyer prices and, from the theoretical standpoint, describes the connection between Quadrant II and Quadrant III of the balance. Therefore, the proposed system of tables is treated in the paper as Quadrant IV of the interindustry balance. The theoretical scheme is used by the authors as a necessary basis for constructing an empirical model of the relationship between value added and end product, which will be published in the next issue of this journal.     

调控房地产外国怎么干

21世纪中国的房地产市场是个充满想象力和有待开拓的新领域,但不可讳言的是,这个领域也充满了许多风险和挑战,同时也存在着咨讯与法律方面的欠缺.2005年我国房地产业的重要特点之一就是开始走向国际化,2006年我国房地产开发及营销模式国际化的趋势将更加明显.更多的境外企业和基金将关注介入我国的房地产市场,而国内房地产区域发展的不平衡性也带来了房地产发展的新的契机和平台.     

Optimal Lending Contracts and Firm Dynamics

We develop a general model of lending in the presence of endogenous borrowing constraints. Borrowing constraints arise because borrowers face limited liability and debt repayment cannot be perfectly enforced. In the model, the dynamics of debt are closely linked with the dynamics of borrowing constraints. In fact, borrowing constraints must satisfy a dynamic consistency requirement: the value of outstanding debt restricts current access to short-term capital, but is itself determined by future access to credit. This dynamic consistency is not guaranteed in models of exogenous borrowing constraints, where the ability to raise short-term capital is limited by some prespecified function of debt. We characterize the optimal default-free contract—which minimizes borrowing constraints at all histories—and derive implications for firm growth, survival, leverage and debt maturity. The model is qualitatively consistent with stylized facts on the growth and survival of firms. Comparative statics with respect to technology and default constraints are derived.     

日本主银行制度演变的路径分析

日本主银行制度源于战前的银行体制和二战期间的“军需企业指定金融机关”制度。战后，日本金融体制基本被保留下来，在日本经济恢复和高速增长期，日本企业与银行通过相互持股紧密结合起来，形成了企业和银行相互促进、共同发展的良性循环．但是，在20世纪90年代日本泡沫经济崩溃以后，紧密的银企关系加剧了企业危机与银行危机的连锁反应，导致银行与企业相互羁绊的恶性循环．     

Regulation Fair Disclosure and Earnings Information: Market, Analyst, and Corporate Responses

With the adoption of Regulation Fair Disclosure (Reg FD), market behavior around earnings releases displays no significant change in return volatility (after controlling for decimalization of stock trading) but significant increases in trading volume due to difference in opinion. Analyst forecast dispersion increases, and increases in other measures of disagreement and difference of opinion suggest greater difficulty in forming forecasts beyond the current quarter. Corporations increase the quantity of voluntary disclosures, but only for current quarter earnings. Thus, Reg FD seems to increase the quantity of information available to the public while imposing greater demands on investment professionals.