The Empirical Implications of the Cox,Ingersoll, Ross Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates

The one-factor version of the Cox, Ingersoll, and Ross model of the term structure is estimated using monthly quotes on U.S. Treasury issues trading from 1952 through 1983. Using data from a single yield curve, it is possible to estimate implied short and long term zero coupon rates and the implied variance of changes in short rates. Analysis of residuals points to a probable neglected tax effect.     

Tax Clienteles and Asset Pricing

Taxation of asset returns can create various clientele effects. If every agent is marginal on all assets, no clientele effects arise. If some (but not every) agent is marginal on all assets, there arises a clientele effect in quantities but none in prices. If no agent is marginal on all assets, there arise clientele effects in both quantities and prices. In the first two cases, standard asset pricing and martingale results extend to analogous aftertax results. In the third case, linear asset pricing works only on subsets of assets, and the standard martingale results become after-tax supermartingale results.     

Arthur Andersen & Co. and the two-part opinion in the auditor's report: 1946–1962*

Abstract. This paper constitutes a historical study of the roots of the decision by Arthur Andersen & Co. in 1946 to adopt a two-part auditor's opinion for all of its engagements, and of its eventual decision in 1962 to return to the standard form of the auditor's report. The essence of the two-part opinion was to decouple the auditor's opinion on fairness of presentation from the opinion on conformity with generally accepted accounting principles. The paper also treats the factors that prompted the Canadian Institute of Chartered Accountants to adopt a two-part opinion, and the reasons why it opted to return to the single-opinion format in 1976. Résumé. L'auteur retrace l'historique de la décision prise en 1946 par Arthur Andersen & Cie de présenter l'opinion du verificateur en deux volets dans toutes ses missions, et de sa décision ultérieure, en 1962, de ramener le rapport du vérificateur à sa forme standard. Le choix de l'opinion en deux volets reposait sur l'intention de distinguer l'opinion du vérificateur quant à la fidélité avec laquelle est présentée l'information de l'opinion du vérificateur relative au respect des principes comptables généralement reconnus. L'auteur traite également des facteurs qui ont amené l'Institut Canadien des Comptables Agréés à adopter l'opinion en deux volets, et des raisons pour lesquelles il a choisi de rétablir l'opinion unique en 1976.     

Maturity Intermediation and Intertemporal Lending Policies of Financial Intermediaries

This paper considers the maturity intermediation and intertemporal lending decisions of risk-averse financial intermediaries. In particular, the maturity mismatch problem and the fixed-versus-variable-rate lending decision are modeled when the major source of risk involves uncertain future interest rates. The results imply that the strategy of matching the maturity of assets and liabilities is not generally optimal or even minimum risk. This is due primarily to the “built-in” hedge that the intermediary has as a result of rolling over short-term loans while continuing to finance long-term loans. Intertemporal dependencies between loan demand and costs (or both) also have an effect on the optimal degree of maturity mismatching and provide one rationale for making loans at rates below current marginal cost.     

Yes,The APT Is Testable

The Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) has been proposed as an alternative to the mean-variance Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). This paper considers the testability of the APT and points out the irrelevance for testing of the approximation error. We refute Shanken's objections, including his assertion that Roll's critique of the CAPM is applicable to the APT. We also explain the testability of the APT on subsets, and we explore the relationship between the APT and the CAPM.     

ON DERIVING THE INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN FROM THE ACCOUNTANT'S RATE OF RETURN

L.A. Gordon (J.B.F.A. Vol. 1 No, 3) claims to have derived a method for approximating the IRR using the ARR. This paper demonstrates that the key relationship in Gordon's paper is only valid if the IRR is already known and used to calculate economic depreciation. It is suggested that Gordon has merely derived a means for refining ARR, but not for deriving IRR.
Dans son article paru dam Vol. 1 No 3 de ce journal, L.A. Gordon prétend avoir introduit une méthode qui permet d'évaluer "Internal Rate of Return" au moyen de "Accountant's Rate of Return". Ce papier démontre que le rapport-clé dont Gordon nous fait part n'est vérifiable que si "Internal Rate of Return" est préablement connu et sert a calculer l'amortissement économique. On insinue ainsi que Gordon a simplement présenté un moyen de perfectionner "Accountant's Rate of Return" mais n'en a pas démontré pour autant l'évaluation de "Internal Rate of Return".
L.A. Gordon (J.B.F.A. Band 1, Nr. 3) behauptet, er habe eine Annäherungsmethode abgeleitet, womit der interne Zinsfuss von dem RO1 Kriterium berechnet werden kann. Dieser Beitrag zeright, dass das Schlüsselverhältnis in Gordons Abhandlung nur dann gültig ist wenn der interne Zinsfull schon bekannt ist und als kalkulatorischer Zinssatz für ökonomische Abschreibungsbetrage verwendet wird. Es wird behauptet, dass Gordon keine Methode für die Ableitung des internen Zinsfusses entwickelt hat, sondern nur eine für die Verbesserung des R01 Kriteriums.     

Growth, Income Inequality, and Fiscal Policy: What Are the Relevant Trade-offs?

We develop an endogenous growth model with elastic labor supply, in which agents differ in their initial endowments of physical capital. In this context, the growth rate and the distribution of income are jointly determined. We then examine the distributional impact of different ways of financing an investment subsidy. Policies aimed at increasing the growth rate result in a more unequal distribution of pre-tax income, consistent with the positive correlation between income inequality and growth observed in the recent empirical literature. However, there is no conflict between efficiency and equity if inequality is measured in terms of the distribution of welfare.     

Temporal Patterns in Foreign Exchange Returns and Options

Although the foreign exchange market is believed to be one of the most efficient financial markets in the world, there is significant evidence that technical analysis is profitable in this market. In this study we investigate the ability of information from the options market to supplement the commonly used information on past prices to predict temporal patterns in foreign exchange returns. We find that strategies using information from at-the-money options were more consistently profitable than the commonly used strategies based on only historical spot exchange rates (past prices). Consequently, options appear to contain information regarding future spot exchange rate movements.