The efficiency of the Australian dairy processing industry

In this article we analyse trends in the economic performance of the dairy processing industry and evaluate the link between these trends and the deregulation of the industry. Using Stochastic Frontier Analysis to derive Malmquist total factor productivity estimates, we show that the industry exhibits a relatively high level of technical efficiency. Victoria, the major producing state, has been effectively on the frontier over the period studied. In recent years, the rapid expansion in capital investment that has attended the shift towards deregulation, has been accompanied by an apparent slowdown in both productivity growth and technical progress. There is also evidence of a convergence in productivity levels across states.     

中国上市企业并购的财务协同效应研究——聚焦于放大和紧缩

企业的并购是影响企业价值的重要经济活动,尤其是上市企业更是如此.研究以2006年发生的80起并购案例作为考察对象,首先通过计算差量来获取并购前一年、并购当年、并购后三年共计五年的财务时间序列数据;并采用差值分析方法分别对同业并购和混业并购所获得的财务协同效应进行比较,在通过有效性检验和主成分分析对财务协同效应的影响因素的基础上构建了主成分综合模型.研究得到的结论是:短期来看,我国上市企业并购的的财务协同存在着一种放大效应,但长期则显现出了财务协同的紧缩效应;长期看来同业并购资本使用效率上的放大效应更加能明显地持续下去;在偿债能力的放大效应上,短期内混业并购要优于同业并购,但在后期同业并购仍然要好于混业并购.所以我国企业在采取并购时,应该充分考虑自己的战略和并购目标,如果公司期望通过并购来提高自身的资本使用效率,采取混业并购战略更能达到这个目的;如果希望通过并购来进行业务的整合和扩张,那么企业应该采用同业并购的战略.     

Accounting conservatism in a setting of Information Asymmetry between majority and minority shareholders

Following LaFond and Watts (2008), we examine the relation between information asymmetry (as measured by PIN, probability of information-based trading) and accounting conservatism but focus on a country – Taiwan – whose institutional background is different from that of the United States. Due to the disparate degree of conservatism across the world, the conclusions of LaFond & Watts (2008) might not be universally applicable. Our findings support, in general, the applicability of their conclusion to a Taiwan data set. We find, however, that the effect of PIN appears weaker when auditor tenure is taken into account, thus supplementing their conclusions.     

中国经济政策推动下的脱钩：调高2009年-2010年预测

编者按:摩根士丹利研究部(亚洲/太平洋)于2009年7月1 6日发布了题为<中国经济政策推动下的脱钩:调高2009年-2010年预测>的最新研究报告.征得作者同意,本刊选取了该报告的核心部分予以整理并发表,供读者参考.     

New evidence of regional income divergence in post-reform Russia

This article investigates regional income convergence in Russia during 2000–2008. We test the hypothesis in which income divergence across regions of the country should give place to income convergence as the country moves toward free market economy with strong market institutions. The study contributes to the existing literature by using the exponential smooth autoregressive Augmented Dickey–Fuller (ADF) unit root test in a panel setup, a novel econometric technique, which encompasses cross sectional dependence. Results show strong evidence of on-going regional income divergence in post-reform period.     

“十三五”期间我国经济——能源——环境系统变量发展预测

本文以动态可计算一般均衡模型为基础,2010年投入产出表延长表为基准数据,对“十三五”期间我国经济--能源--环境系统相关变量进行了预测。分析结果显示：“十三五”期间我国经济将实现新常态下的稳定适宜增长,GDP增速保持在65%左右,产业结构进一步优化,第三产业比重明显上升,第二产业明显下降。由于经济增长的原因,能源消费总量与碳排放总量依然较高,但能源消费结构进一步优化,碳排放强度明显降低,节能减排的形势依然比较严峻。     

欠发达地区高等学校常规筹资策略分析与建议

资金缺口问题是当前我国高等教育发展建设过程中遇到的重大难题。本文在研究欠发达地区高校资金缺口问题现状基础上,逐一分析了全部常规筹资策略,并依据数据模型论证了银行贷款限额及其与资金缺口间关系问题。认为欠发达地区高校追加银行贷款的空间已经不多。而债务期限转换、合作共建、融资租赁、BOT等筹资方式应是目前解决资金缺口问题的有效途径。     

Rethinking Rouse and Daellenbach's rethinking: isolating vs. testing for sources of sustainable competitive advantage

In a recent paper, Rouse and Daellenbach (1999) provide a five‐step methodological approach which they feel will cure alleged inadequacies in empirical resource‐based research. We suggest, however, that their methodology can provide only a useful aid for expanding our understanding of potential sustainable competitive advantages but will not allow researchers to effectively verify those hypothesized advantages. Specifically, we argue that Rouse and Daellenbach's methodology is plagued by three major shortcomings: (1) it confuses the important distinction between knowing‐how and knowing‐what; (2) it fails to recognize the importance of observable variables in verifying the sources of sustainable competitive advantage; and (3) it calls for sampling on the dependent variable. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

基于银行理财顾客特征的产品模式创新研究

基于“感知利益”与“感知风险”权衡视角构建了银行理财顾客识别模型,将银行理财顾客划分为感知高利益—高风险敏感型顾客群体、感知低利益—高风险消极型顾客群体、感知低利益—低风险冷漠型顾客群体、感知高利益—低风险积极型顾客群体.应针对不同类型顾客群体的感知利益与感知风险对于购买意愿综合影响作用的差异、感知利益与感知风险构成维度重要程度的差异及人口统计特征和购买理财产品特征的差异,采取不同的提升感知利益且降低感知风险的创新产品模式.     

论金融危机下中国企业家的作为与责任

面对国际金融危机,作为领军人物的企业家应增强必胜的信心,不断提升素质与能力,切实履行社会责任,保持健康向上的心态,勇于承担责任,完成历史赋予中国企业家的使命。