The demographic impact of AIDS in sub-Saharan Africa: short- and long-term projections

"This paper describes the methodology used to incorporate AIDS mortality in recently revised World Bank population projections....The paper first reviews different approaches for projecting AIDS and its demographic consequences. This is followed by a summary of an epidemiological model that simulates the spread of HIV used in this analysis, and a demographic model that translates mortality from AIDS into population outcomes. These models are then used in a set of simulations, from which the effect of current HIV prevalence on projected future mortality is extracted. Finally, the extracted equations linking current HIV prevalence with future mortality indicators are applied to sub-Saharan countries with a measurable level of current HIV prevalence."     

Retraining midcareer managers: Career history and self-efficacy beliefs

Many corporations are retraining midcareer managers in order to combat employee obsolescence and boost corporate competitiveness. The receptivity of midcareer managers to retraining is mixed. Those managers who believe they can master new work-related learning (in the terms of this study, those who have positive self-efficacy in learning beliefs) are most amenable to retraining. The objective of the present study was to determine the antecedents of positive self-efficacy beliefs for midcareer managers facing retraining. We discovered that managers' advancement potential and the relevance of their previous training had a profound impact on their self-efficacy beliefs. These findings have important practical implications. The seeds of receptivity to retraining are planted throughout managers' careers. Hence, retraining should not be viewed on a program-by-program basis, but rather should be understood in the broader context of corporate life and individual career history. To prepare for the inevitable corporate evolution and change demanded in a dynamic business environment, senior executives and human resource managers should be proactive in creating those conditions that facilitate the development of positive self-efficacy in learning beliefs.     

Some properties of the length of the shortest half

This paper discusses some properties of the length of the shortest half proposed by Rousseeuw and Leroy (1988) as a robust scale estimator.     

BOOK REVIEWS AND NOTES

Book reviews in this article: G.D.H. COLE AND INDUSTRIAL DEMOCRACY: A REVIEW: The World of Labour Introduction by John Lovell G.D.H. COLE AND INDUSTRIAL DEMOCRACY: A REVIEW: Self-Government in Industry Introduction by J. G. Corina G.D.H. COLE AND INDUSTRIAL DEMOCRACY: A REVIEW: Workshop Organisation Introduction by A. I. Marsh WORKPLACE INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS: Building: Teamwork or Conflict? by L. G. Bayley The Management of Wage Payment Systems by Alan Gillespie Labour Relations on the Docks by M. Jackson ORGANIZATIONAL BEHAVIOUR: Social Psychology of the Work Organisation by A. S. Tannenbaum Organisational Problems in European Manufacture by T. D. Weinshall LABOUR ECONOMICS: Manpower Economics by E. B. Jakubaus and Neil A. Palomba Labour Economics by J. E. King Unemployment and Wage Inflation with Special Reference to Britain and the U.S.A. by J. Taylor UNEMPLOYMENT: Regional Unemployment Differences in Great Britain by P. C. Cheshire Interregional Migration Models and their Application to Great Britain by R. Weeden The Changing Pattern of Employment—Regional Specialisation and Industrial Localisation in Britain by M. Chisholm and J. Oeppen Men Out of Work—A Study of Unemployment in Three English Towns by M. J. Hill, R. M. Harrison, A. V. Sargeant and V. Talbot Do The Poor Want To Work? A Social-Psychological Study of Work Orientation by L. Goodwin Marienthal: The Sociography of an Unemployed Community by M. Jahoda, P. F. Lazarsfeld and H. Zeisel b     

A reconciliation of recent results in optimal taxation theory

The recent papers by Guesnerie and Diewert on tax reforms are interpreted as contributions to the characterization of second-best optima. This paper demonstrates that when it is possible to achieve any feasible direction of change in supplies by a differential change in producer prices, there are unique producer support prices. Under these circumstances, the apparent differences between Guesnerie and Diewert are reconciled. Optimality conditions with nonunique support prices are also considered.