Forecasting first births

This study is concerned with one aspect of the family cycle, namely, the transition from young married to young married with small children. The focus is on developing models to forecast entries into this latter stage for the purpose of marketing research. "Using ordinary least squares, forecasting models were estimated for (1) total number of first births, (2) number of white first births, and (3) number of nonwhite first births." Models are estimated for both the United States and California using data from official sources.     

Managed care operations and plan design

Plan design has come a long way from the days when all one had to do was figure out the right deductible, coinsurance and out-of-pocket amounts and consider some questions about competitive practice and employee perception. Today one must also consider systems capabilities, strategic fit, provider requirements and consistency of the logic supporting each payment decision.