空心针治疗股骨颈骨折的体会

目的 探索空心针治疗股骨颈骨折的效果.方法 早期闭合复位空心钉内固定术加皮牵引术治疗股骨颈骨折.结果 术后无一例发生血管和神经损伤等并发症,全部骨折均骨性愈合.结论 空心针治疗股骨颈骨折对促进骨折的愈合,降低股骨头缺血坏死发生率起到重要作用.     

煤、电企业纵向联盟的博弈模型与实证分析

建立中国煤、电企业纵向战略联盟的重复博弈模型,发现煤炭企业和电力企业在市场竞争中往往会采取策略性的市场行为,由此建立信用机制分析了约束煤、电企业纵向战略联盟稳定性的内外部因素;最后通过实证分析结果表明,煤炭、发电企业可建立长期战略联盟,实现煤、电上下游产业的协调发展,限制相关企业的道德风险与机会主义行为。     

The effect of travel purpose and self-image congruency on preference toward airline livery design and perceived service quality

This paper examines travelers’ preference for airline livery design, which is an important component of sensory experience for tourists. Based on surveys of both U.S. and South Korean respondents, this study finds that airline livery preference depends on travel purpose (i.e. business vs. vacation). Designs preferred by the two travel segments differ in terms of color tone, hue, line, and shape. Business traveler-preferred designs signal punctual, efficient, classy, and safe service; while vacation traveler-preferred designs elicit feelings of fun, friendly, and exotic service. It is also shown that travelers prefer airline livery that is congruent with their situational self-image, depending on the travel occasion at hand. In fact, self-image congruency of design is approximately half of the variance in airline livery preference. Finally, results show that self-image congruency also increases perceived service quality.     

Improving forecasting performance using covariate-dependent copula models

Copulas provide an attractive approach to the construction of multivariate distributions with flexible marginal distributions and different forms of dependences. Of particular importance in many areas is the possibility of forecasting the tail-dependences explicitly. Most of the available approaches are only able to estimate tail-dependences and correlations via nuisance parameters, and cannot be used for either interpretation or forecasting. We propose a general Bayesian approach for modeling and forecasting tail-dependences and correlations as explicit functions of covariates, with the aim of improving the copula forecasting performance. The proposed covariate-dependent copula model also allows for Bayesian variable selection from among the covariates of the marginal models, as well as the copula density. The copulas that we study include the Joe-Clayton copula, the Clayton copula, the Gumbel copula and the Student’s $t$-copula. Posterior inference is carried out using an efficient MCMC simulation method. Our approach is applied to both simulated data and the S&P 100 and S&P 600 stock indices. The forecasting performance of the proposed approach is compared with those of other modeling strategies based on log predictive scores. A value-at-risk evaluation is also performed for the model comparisons.     

Supply chain integration and operational performance: The contingency effects of production systems

The boundary conditions of supply chain integration (SCI) have been widely studied in order to find out when SCI is applicable and effective. However, prior studies have mainly focused on external contextual factors, such as supply complexity, environmental uncertainty and country-level infrastructure. This study contributes to the SCI literature by examining the contingency effects of internal production systems on the relationship between supplier integration, customer integration and operational performance. Based on organizational information processing theory, we provide evidence to show that the impact of supplier and customer integration on operational performance varies across production systems, such as one-of-a-kind production, batch production and mass production systems. The empirical results also reveal how supplier and customer integration can be matched with different configurations of production systems in order to achieve the desired quality, flexibility, delivery or cost performance.     

Moderating effect of capital intensity on the relationship between leverage and financial distress in the U.S. restaurant industry

During the recent and ongoing economic turmoil, countless businesses have been facing financial distress and many have filed for bankruptcy. This issue is especially critical for the restaurant industry due to restaurants’ sensitivity to economic fluctuations. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to examine the financial distress issue in the U.S. restaurant industry. In particular, the study examines a moderating effect of capital intensity on the relationship between a firm's leverage and degree of financial distress. The dataset includes publicly traded U.S. restaurant firms during the period 1990–2008. The study measures the degree of financial distress by modified Z-scores, and findings suggest a positive moderating effect of capital intensity on the relationship between leverage and financial distress.     

Effective communication styles for the customer-oriented service employee: Inducing dedicational behaviors in luxury restaurant patrons

The goals of this study were (1) to identify the optimal facets of communication style for customer-oriented service employees and (2) to examine the ways in which the customer-oriented service employee (COSE) induces luxury restaurant patrons’ dedicational behaviors. Customer dedicational behaviors are defined as ‘a set of active and positive customer voluntary behaviors towards a business induced by high relationship quality’. Based on the existing body of communication literature, nine types of communication styles were derived. Theoretical relationships between the nine communication styles and the COSE also were developed via literature review, and causal relationships between the COSE and three different types of consumer dedicational behavior styles were subsequently suggested. By integrating the derived theoretical hypotheses, a conceptual model was proposed and then tested utilizing data collected from 527 luxury restaurant patrons. The results of data analysis revealed that five types of communication styles (attentive, friendly, impression leaving, open, and relaxed) bear a positive impact on COSE, while one communication style (contentious) bears a negative impact. It was also found that the customer-oriented service employee plays a critical role in inducing three types of dedicational behaviors in consumers: enhancement, cooperation, and advocacy. The key theoretical and managerial implications of these findings are discussed in the latter part of this article.     

Evolutionary Characteristics of China＇s Intermediate Manufactures

China's economic development is characterized by progressive integration with international production chains as an assembly producer. Japan and South Korea are the major partners providing intermediate products to China. The present paper analyzes the Chinese intermediate sector's present condition and evolutionary characteristics revealed in bilateral trade with Japan and South Korea. The analysis uses the framework of new trade theory represented by “intra‐industry trade”. Trade statistics from 1997 to 2004 are analyzed using the database published by the OECD. Results show that China's inter‐industrial evolution is characterized by its expanding positioning in the manner of the flying geese development paradigm of Asian countries. Furthermore, intra‐industrial evolution is characterized by a concentration on price competitiveness. The framework and results of the industrial analysis presented in this paper assist in the understanding of China's manufacturing evolution and of the policy‐making decisions taken in the process.     

三级土地利用总体规划环评体系研究

研究目的:研究国家、省和市三级土地利用规划环境影响评价体系和技术.研究方法:文献资料法,对比法.研究结果:土地利用总体规划环评应以规划的重点内容为主要评价对象,但国家和省级规划环评应以定性评价指标为主要构成,而市级规则应以定量评价指标为主要构成.研究结论:应根据不同层级土地利用总体规划的特点,有针对性、有重点的开展环境影响评价.     

1961～2013年塔城地区气候的时空变化特征

[目的]探究塔城地区气候的时空变化趋势及其与气象因子的关系.[方法]文章利用塔城地区7个气象站点1961~2013年的逐日气象资料,探究了气温、降水、日照时数、积温和潜在蒸散量的时空变化特征.[结果]1961~2013年塔城地区年平均气温、降水量和积温呈增加趋势,日照时数和潜在蒸散量呈减少趋势.1961~2013年塔城地区平均气温、降水量、日照时数、年潜在蒸散量、积温分别在1997、1967、1996、1989、1985年发生增加突变.平均气温、降水量、日照时数、积温存在明显的多尺度周期特征,即30年的大周期和15年的小周期变化.塔城地区平均气温的空间分布差异明显;大致呈现西高东低的空间分布特征;降雨量空间分布大致呈现西多东少的经线分布特征;日照时数大致呈现南短北长的维度地带性特征;潜在蒸散量存在自南向北逐渐减少的空间分布特征;积温的空间分布呈明显的自南向北逐渐减少的维度地带性特征.[结论]在全球气候变化下,较全面了解到新疆塔城地区气候变化趋势特征,对建立塔城地区气象预测与农业生产之间的预警,促进农业健康发展有很大的理论依据.