Which covariates should be controlled in propensity score matching? Evidence from a simulation study

Propensity score matching is a widely‐used method to measure the effect of a treatment in social as well as medicine sciences. An important issue in propensity score matching is how to select conditioning variables in estimation of the propensity scores. It is commonly mentioned that variables which affect both program participation and outcomes are selected. Using Monte Carlo simulation, this paper shows that efficiency in estimation of the Average Treatment Effect on the Treated can be gained if all the available observed variables in the outcome equation are included in the estimation of propensity scores. This result still holds in the presence of non‐sampling errors in the observed control variables.     

罗纳德·麦金农的利率理论述评

利率作为资本的价格,是资本市场的重要货币金融工具和衡量指标。罗纳德·麦金农关注的是欠发达经济体的分割经济,而传统的新古典理论认为资本市场在本质上是完美的,通过与分割的资本市场的比较,原本的新古典中的假定将会取消。在被修改的资本市场的假设下,分割经济以及资本市场的参与者的特征得以推出,由此可以阐明政府干预造成的低效率和压抑的影响。     

变电站扩大内桥主接线的二次回路分析

为使变电站达到可靠性、功能性和经济性要求,人们常采用内桥接线作为电网终端变电站项目的电气主接线。对此,要求技术人员在变电站的设计过程中,充分考虑终端变电站的特点,认真分析电气二次电流回路、电压回路和备自投逻辑回路的特点,使其满足变电站的运行维护及扩建要求。     

房地产价格与通货膨胀预期

文章通过构建房地产均衡市场模型,在风险中性的假设前提下,利用无套利均衡定价原理,发展了从房地产价格波动中分离出市场通货膨胀预期的新方法.在此基础上,通过对中国房地产市场的实证研究发现,房地产预期收益率与通货膨胀预期之间确实存在稳定的函数关系.最后,文章提出将房地产价格纳入到居住类消费价格指数中去以减少货币政策认识时滞的政策建议.     

Trade diversion effects of the US–China trade war on Vietnam

This paper empirically examines the US–China trade war that began in mid-2018, focusing on the impact on a third country, Vietnam. Using regression analysis, we found that while the trade war had a negative impact on US imports from China for all targeted products, there was a partial offset from increased imports from other countries. Notably, US imports from Vietnam experienced a sharp increase, particularly after the third round of US import tariffs on Chinese goods. Additionally, our research reveals that the four rounds of tariff escalation affected US imports from China differently depending on their end-use and technology intensity.