不同尺度农业预测差异及其处理

不同尺度农业预测差异是指在进行区域及其各个亚区域农业预测时，区域尺度预测结果和各个亚区域尺度预测结果之和不相等的现象。该文对此差异的产生原因进行分析后指出，历史资料的波动性是普遍存在的，历史资料拟合值的差异是导致不同尺度农业预测差异的原因。在此基础上，系统提出了以大尺度预测结果为主调整小尺度预测结果的原则。按照逐步寻优的思路，通过选择或组合应用排序修正、相关修正、增率修正、结构修正、布局修正、政策修正和趋势修正等处理方法解决不同尺度预测差异问题。     

美国沙尘暴问题及治理经验

沙尘暴问题及作为其主要生态驱动力的荒漠化问题是20世纪上半叶美国面临的严重的生态问题。近一个世纪以来,美国政府和民众在防治沙尘暴和治理荒漠化方面采取了综合治理措施,取得了有益的经验。其中,完善的立法和执法体系、农牧业结构调整、土地利用管理政策、荒漠化地区资源利用政策、民众参与机制以及沙尘源控制措施等都是值得我国借鉴。     

放开粮食购销政策的效果、问题与对策

论文基于对湖南和湖北等地的实地调研，对我国放开粮食购销市场化改革政策的执行情况、效果、存在的问题和对策进行了系统分析。研究认为放开粮食购销政策的效果是多方面的．论文从农民收入、粮食生产和储备等方面对政策的效果进行了分析。最后，论文对政策执行中存在的问题及其解决对策进行了探讨．包括主产区粮食最低价收购方面的问题、粮食直补的方式问题、粮食局的改革问题、私人粮食企业的准入问题、粮食收购资金贷款问题和粮食收购储藏设施问题等。     

内部控制:基于一般企业与商业银行的差异比较分析

我国对现代内部控制的研究及其制度建设明确肇始于金融业，且其后续发展与快速更新也是在银行、金融系统率先启动，（商业）银行内部控制制度的发展极大地推动了我国企业内部控制的建设与完善。因此，研究商业银行与一般企业在内部控制制度建设方面的差异对于新时期我国企业及银行的内部控制发展、缩小国际差距具有重要意义。本文立足国内差异、国际差距对此做一比较分析     

江苏省新农村建设指标体系、实现程度与区域比较研究

本研究围绕社会主义新农村建设的要求，参照反映国内新农村建设与国际社会发展的相关指标体系，采用层次分析法，设计出一套较为客观的新农村建设的指标体系。根据不同地区农村的社会发展状况与江苏省的实际情况计算出了该省新农村建设的标准值，衡量了其现阶段新农村建设的实现程度。     

A COMPARISON OF TOBIT AND OLS ESTIMATES OF JAPANESE PEANUT IMPORT DEMAND

A Tobit analysis is applied to estimate Japanese peanut imports under quota restrictions for the period 1973–1988, and to assess the bias when the presence of quota is ignored by using OLS estimation. The results show that biased estimates are obtained by using OLS in the presence of quota restrictions.     

Foreign bank penetration and the lending channel in emerging economies: Evidence from bank-level panel data

This paper examines the main implications of recently increasing foreign bank penetration on bank lending as a channel of monetary policy transmission in emerging economies. Using a dynamic panel model of loan growth, we investigate the loan granting behavior of 1273 banks in the emerging economies of Asia, Latin America, and Central and Eastern Europe during the period from 1996 to 2003. Applying the pooled OLS, system GMM, and panel VAR estimators, we find consistent evidence that foreign banks are less responsive to monetary shocks in host countries, as they adjust their outstanding loan portfolios and interest rates to a lesser extent than domestic private banks, independent of their liquidity, capitalization, size, efficiency, and credit risk, and although there exists a bank lending channel in the emerging economies, it is declining in strength due to the increased level of foreign bank penetration. We also explore possible driving factors for the different responses of foreign and domestic banks to monetary policy shocks by investigating foreign banks’ different behavior during banking crises and tranquil periods, the effects of mode of entry to host countries, the home-country effects, and the response of foreign banks from OECD countries vs. all foreign countries including non-OECD countries. We suggest the access of foreign banks to funding from parent banks through internal capital markets as the most convincing explanation.     

Nonfinancial and financial performance measures: How do they affect employee role clarity and performance?

Two recent studies have found that comprehensive performance measurement systems comprising both financial and nonfinancial measures (e.g., balanced scorecard) are positively related to managerial performance through role clarity. It is, however, unclear if these results are from the use of financial measures or from the use of nonfinancial measures. It is also unclear if these effects are achievable by using nonfinancial measures alone. This study provides insights into prior studies' findings by distinguishing those effects arising from nonfinancial measures from those arising from financial measures. Based on a sample of 121 managers, the results indicate that nonfinancial measures, by themselves, significantly influence managerial performance through role clarity. More importantly, they also indicate that the effect of nonfinancial measures on role clarity is substantially stronger than that through financial measures.     

广西钦州保税港区离岸金融业务发展研究

广西钦州保税港区作为我国中西部沿海地区唯一的保税港区,是我国目前开放程度最高、政策最优惠、功能最齐全、区位优势最明显的海关特殊监管区。随着北部湾经济区开放开发步伐加快、钦州保税港区开港运营以及诸多大型企业不断入驻,离岸金融业务已成为钦州保税港区发展的迫切需要。基于此,本课题在借鉴天津、上海等地发展离岸金融业务的经验基础上,研究钦州保税港区发展离岸金融业务的可行性,进而确定离岸金融业务发展模式和定位,最后提出推进钦州保税港区离岸金融业务发展的对策建议。     

试论农村信用社体制改革及路径选择

本文从农村信用社的民主管理制度本身进行探讨,研究民主管理制度与当前农村金融的相容性问题。本文的基本判断是：正如自由竞争可能导致垄断一样,合作制所体现的民主管理是一种一厢情愿的制度构想,其所导致的内部人控制是民主制的悖论。因此,如果要继续坚持农村信用社继续为“三农”服务的基本方向,必须在现实上放弃空想式的民主制度,近期实行治理结构的准国有化,远期实行所有制的民营化,并在整体金融领域实行“反向剪刀差”。