馆藏图书大规模倒架的探索与实践——以铜陵学院图书馆为例

馆藏纸质图书大规模倒架工作的实践与经验总结,可以拓展、促进图书馆学科的进一步发展。笔者在亲历两次图书馆搬迁,数次的纸质图书大规模倒架实践中,总结出一套简单、实用、有效的方法经验。在此抛砖引玉,以期图书馆提高倒架、搬迁工效,合理布局新库,方便读者借阅。     

基于主成分分析法的人类发展指数替代技术

在本文中,我们采用基于协方差的主成分分析法来分析1990年以来UNDP发布的中国人类发展数据,然后采用Spearman秩相关系数来分析获得的主成分与HDI之间的关系。研究表明,主成分分析法不仅能够有效地替代传统的人类发展指数编制方法,其形成的动态权重结构还可以有效地透视人类发展差距模式的历史演进过程,以及人类发展的各个方面(如预期寿命、知识教育和体面的生活等)在整体发展进程中的角色变化。对中国人类发展数据的分析结果也表明,尽管1990年以来中国各地区在经济、教育和健康方面均取得了重大进步,但三项发展之间存在着严重的不协调,地区发展差距也越来越多地体现为经济发展差距,这些反映了改革开放以来中国各级政府过分强调经济增长而带来的片面、不协调的人类发展。实现经济社会的协调发展,是时代的要求,也是当前我国各级政府面临的主要任务。而强调公共服务职能、推动地方政府的服务型转型,是消除不平衡发展的关键。     

后危机时代福建省机电出口企业发展策略探析

面板数据分析显示,福建省机电产品出口存在出口竞争力弱、依存度高、市场集中、核心技术缺乏等主要问题。后危机时代福建省机电出口企业应积极开拓国内外市场,进一步转变外贸增长方式,多渠道降低汇率风险。     

增长失衡与政府责任:基于社会性支出角度的分析

There exists a kind of growth imbalance in China’s current development process, which is essentially characterized by the imbalance between the nation’s wealth and the people’s welfare. This paper points out that growth imbalance results mostly from insufficient government social spending on people’s welfare. Consequently, the government should shoulder the basic responsibility for the provision of education, health and social security, quicken the transformation of government expenditure structure and increase the share of social spending, in order to improve the people’s welfare and achieve the rebalancing of growth. The increase in social spending can also promote the accumulation of human capital, which will help the conversion of economic growth pattern and the realization of sustainable and healthy economic development. Translated from Jingji Yanjiu 经济研究 (Economic Research Journal), 2006, (10): 4–17     

落实科学发展观 推进政府决策的绿色化转型

政府决策绿色化转型,对纠正片面的经济增长方式具有重要作用,而且对促进经济、社会、生态可持续协调发展有决定性意义。尤其在生态环境遭到严重破坏、自然灾害频繁发生的情况下,政府决策绿色化转型,无论从实践中,还是理论上来说,更加显得紧迫和重要。     

阿奇霉素序贯疗法治疗小儿肺炎支原体肺炎临床疗效观察

目的探讨阿奇霉素序贯疗法治疗MPP的临床价值及优越性。方法将86例MPP患儿分为观察组（45例）和对照组（41例）,对照组给予红霉素静脉滴注治疗,观察组给予阿奇霉素序贯疗法治疗,观察两组患儿临床症状及体征改善情况,并进行疗效评定。结果观察组治疗总有效率为97.78%,明显高于对照组的82.93%（P＜0.05）;观察组临床症状和体征消失时间均低于对照组（P＜0.05）;观察组不良反应发生率为13.33%,明显低于对照组的34.15%（P＜0.05）。结论阿奇霉素序贯疗法治疗MPP具有疗效好、见效快、不良反应少等优点,是目前治疗小儿MPP的一种首选方案。     

New technology adoption in a Cournot oligopoly with spillovers

In a two-stage Cournot oligopoly where a subset of firms first make a choice between two alternative production technologies independently and then all firms compete in quantity, the effect of information spillovers is analyzed when the outcome of R&D is uncertain. It is shown that the range of parameter values that support heterogeneous firms in equilibrium will diminish as information spillovers become larger. Particularly, when the spillover effect is so strong that the investment by one firm is beneficial to its R&D active rivals, all active firms will choose the same technology. A similar result can be derived from a socially desirable point of view except that the cut-off magnitude of spillovers is different. By introducing a positive success probability to characterize the uncertainty of the R&D outcome, it is found that when information spillovers are not too small, there will be underinvestment in equilibrium relative to the social optimum.     

我国银行市场集中度对中小企业融资的影响

中小企业已经逐渐成为我国经济发展的中坚力量,然而从银行这一主要融资主体获得的贷款却极其有限.检验银行市场集中度假说以及与之对立的信息假说对我国的适用性,判定我国银行市场集中度对中小企业融资的影响,从而为中小企业的银行融资寻找新的突破口.采用有外生变量的线性动态面板数据模型进行回归,结果表明,我国实证数据支持银行市场集中度假说.     

Unemployment duration and economic incentives—a quasi random-assignment approach

We investigate how economic incentives and spell duration affect hazard rates out of insured unemployment. We take into account that insured unemployment not always ends in employment, but also in disability, training programs, or benefit sanctions. Our empirical basis is Norwegian register data containing variation in economic incentives and spell duration similar to that of random-assignment experiments. We find that the employment and benefit-sanction hazards are negatively affected by the unemployment insurance replacement ratio, but that the effects vary considerably among individuals. There is negative duration dependence in the employment hazard and positive duration dependence in the disability hazard.     

把转变发展方式与保增长作为同等重要的宏观政策目标

面对全球金融危机的蔓延,本文通过对中国经济发展现状的分析,提出了中国经济必须走内涵式的发展道路;必须加快国内经济结构的调整,并把转变发展方式与保增长速度作为两项同等重要的优先目标;同时,本文强调:政府只有将短期政策与长期政策有机地结合,中国才能够得到更大的发展.