西方人力资本理论与我国西部人力资本对策

我国西部地区由于历史、文化、经济及体制方面的原因,人口整体文化素质和专业素质较低,人力资本的开发利用还存在一些问题,这关系到西部地区经济振兴和整个国民经济持续、协调发展。本文借鉴西方人力资本理论,对我国西部人力资本的现状及其产生的根源进行分析,提出了立足现实、展望未来、发展教育、引留人才为原则,加强教育投资力度、完善教育结构、积极进行制度创新、发挥女性人力资本优势等可行性对策。     

入世后广西工业化水平的定位

工业化是一个长期、渐进、由低级阶段向高级阶段递进的过程。对于一个国家或地区来说，处于不同的工业化阶段，其工业化战略、产业政策以及对外经济开放政策等都会有不同的选择安排，因此客观判断广西工业经济发展目前所处的阶段，对于把握今后尤其是加入WTO后广西工业经济的发展方向和调整优化工业经济结构具有重要意义。     

后危机时期中西部利用外商直接投资研究——基于对国际直接投资理论的思考

金融危机以来在内外环境大变化的情况下,中国利用外商直接投资也出现了新的发展趋势,出现外商直接投资向中西部转移的迹象.中西部地区应抓住机遇,充分发挥后发优势,借鉴东南沿海省份及国外招商引资发展经济的路径,承接好国际、国内产业转移,调整结构,抢占市场.采取正确引导外商投资的措施,鼓励外资进入中西部地区的优势行业的同时,从国际直接投资理论和现实国情、省情出发,寻找中西部省份引进外商直接投资的制约因素与突破路径,努力实现超越传统的代工和低端引进外资的路径.     

An Equilibrium Approach to the Aggregation of Beliefs

This paper presents a new answer to the old question of how to aggregate individual beliefs. We construct a model which allows agents to take arbitrage opportunities against the aggregated belief by making contingent claims against the states, and the aggregator (market maker) regulates the probability of states. When all claims from the agents are mutually covered for every realization of the state, an aggregation of individual beliefs is thus obtained. We prove the existence and uniqueness of the equilibrium aggregation, and also show that the aggregate belief lies in the convex hull of individual beliefs. This model allows us to address some important problems such as how individual agent’s attitude toward risk and wealth endowment affect the outcome of the aggregation process, and whether the aggregate belief satisfies the well-known properties like equal treatment.     

A Closed Form Characterization of the Stationary Outcome in Multilateral Bargaining

In this paper we consider infinite horizon multilateral bargaining with alternate offers. We prove that there exists only one stationary subgame perfect equilibrium outcome and it corresponds to the unique invariantmeasure of a column stochastic matrix. We characterize this stationary subgame perfect equilibrium outcome in a closed form, and also extend the approach to the multilateral bargaining with random moves.