The Chinese and Indian Economies: Comparing the Comparables

Both China and India were noted for their prowess and prosperity in the remote past, but in the recent past they went into a precipitous decline and became marginal economies, known for large impoverished masses and economic stagnation. Early in the 21st century, China and India are once again being seen as two emerging economic powers of the global economy. The closing decades of the 20th century were remarkable for both the economies. China in particular turned in a stellar economic performance. In the beginning of the 21st century, it was even being seen as the economic super power of the future. It has emerged as a low-cost manufacturing juggernaut invading global markets in a sizeable array of products, with a high and rapidly rising level merchandise exports and imports. In comparison, India's post-1991 growth performance has shown improvement. Although its success in the services sector exports is noteworthy, its economic performance did not match that of China. The economic weight of China and its integration into the global economy is going to continue to increase, and India could follow suit. This article compares and contrasts the two emerging-market economies of Asia, their soaring global significance and global integration and draws policy related lessons from it.     

Indian Economy: Growth Performance and Prospects of Transitioning the Growth Trajectory

After a prolonged period of underperformance, Indian economy picked up momentum during the 1980s and 1990s. After 2001, it even had a period of stellar economic growth and the real gross domestic product growth rate came tantalizingly close to double digit. Optimists began to believe that India could emulate China's sustained superlative economic performance. The author argues that this amounts to stretching optimism. There is still a long list of macroeconomic reform and restructuring measures that have been ignored. Whether it will be able to emulate China will essentially depend on doing what was left undone in the past.     

Decentralisation,clientelism and social protection programmes: a study of India’s MGNREGA

Abstract

Does decentralisation promote clientelism? If yes, through which mechanisms? We answer these questions through an analysis of India’s (and the world’s) largest workfare programme, the Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act (MGNREGA), in two Indian states: Rajasthan and Andhra Pradesh (AP). The two states adopted radically different implementation models: Rajasthan’s decentralised one stands in contrast with Andhra Pradesh’s centralised and bureaucracy-led model. Using a mixed method approach, we find that in both states local implementers have incentives to distribute MGNREGA work in a clientelistic fashion. However, in Rajasthan, these incentives are stronger, because of the decentralised implementation model. Accordingly, our quantitative evidence shows that clientelism is more serious a problem in Rajasthan than in AP.     

Strategic planning and individual temporal orientation

This paper examines the role of future orientation of organizational members in the strategic planning enterprise. It explores, conceptually and empirically, the relationship between the future time perspectives of individuals and their preferences for short and long planning horizons. Research with 207 corporate executives confirms the relevance of this individual future orientation. Implications of the temporal perspective for research and managerial practice are discussed.     

Fee Speech: Signaling, Risk-Sharing, and the Impact of Fee Structures on Investor Welfare

The fee structure used to compensate investment advisers iscentral to the study of fund design, and affects investor welfarein at least three ways: (i) by influencing the portfolio-selectionincentives of the adviser, (ii) by affecting risk-sharing betweenadviser and investor, and (iii) through its use as a signalof quality by superior investment advisers. In this paper, wedescribe a model in which all of these features are present,and use it to compare two popular and contrasting forms of feecontracts, the "fulcrum " and the "incentive " types, from thestandpoint of investor welfare. While the former has some undeniablyattractive features (that have, in particular, been used byregulators to justify its mandatory use in a mutual fund context),we find surprisingly that it is the latter that is often moreattractive from the standpoint of investor welfare. Our modelis a flexible one; our conclusions are shown to be robust tomany extensions of interest. The results are also extended toconsider unrestricted fee structures and competitive marketsfor fund managers.     

QUALITATIVE RESEARCH IN ORGANIZATIONAL BEHAVIOUR

Qualitative and quantitative approaches to the study of organizations are not mutually exclusive. Yet, over the last several years they have tended to become as such. Also, the interest in qualitative research of organizations seems to be renewing in the recent years. The present paper looks at some of the currently popular qualitative tools of organizational research emphasizing the complementary nature of qualitative and quantitative approaches in most settings.     

An approximation algorithm for optimal consumption/investment problems

This article develops a simple approach to solving continuous-time portfolio choice problems. Portfolio problems for which no closed-form solutions are available may be handled by this technique, which substitutes the numerical solution of partial differential equations with a non-linear numerical algorithm approximating the solution. This paper complements the wide literature in economics on the solution of dynamic problems in discrete time using projection methods. Our approach extends the approximation function to power forms, which are shown to fit finance type problems well. The algorithm is parsimonious, and is first illustrated by solving two basic examples, first, the standard Merton problem, and second, a jump-diffusion problem. Then, we demonstrate that the model is easy to implement on a larger scale, by optimizing a portfolio of six stock indexes, and stochastic volatility driven by two correlated state variables. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A portfolio based theory of excessive foreign borrowing and capital control in a small open economy

We develop a simple model of portfolio choice in a mean variance framework to address the issue of international borrowing and financial crisis. Instead of adverse selection or moral hazard of lending and borrowing activities we emphasise the role of exchange rate movement. Syndicated borrowing by way of internalising the aggregate effect tends to restrict excessive borrowing from external source. However, this may undermine the welfare consequences by further aggravating the extent of risk undertaken in the process. There is a built-in externality in the model that leads to over exposure to foreign currency debt and readily calls for intervention by the government. Government intervention by way of a tax on foreign borrowing may help restrain the amount of external debt and implement the first best.     

Information age to genetic revolution: Embodied technology transfer and assimilation — A tale of two technologies

In this paper, a fifteen regions-fifteen sectors global Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model is calibrated. It offers quantitative enumeration of 5% exogenous biotechnological invention in USA in genetically modified crops namely, maize grains and soybean. Consequently, it results in endogenously transmitted productivity gains via traded intermediates in user sectors in donor and recipient regions. Sustained absorption and domestic usability of transgenic varieties depend on constellation of: human capital-induced absorptive capacity, governance, and structural congruence between source and recipients contingent on technology infrastructure and socio-institutional parameters. Such innovations result in higher production, welfare and global trade. Also, concomitant 4% exogenous productivity shock in information technology along with 5% productivity growth in the agro-biotech sectors further enhances such simulated impacts on global production and welfare. Regions with larger extent of technology capture aided by higher human capital, better governance, conducive institutional-structural features, and superior technological expertise perform better.     

Persistent inequality: An explanation based on limited parental altruism

This paper proposes an alternative theory for the observed persistence in income inequality across households, a theory based on limited parental altruism. We argue that the degree of parental altruism is ‘limited’ by the economic status of the parent. A poor parent not only has less ability, but also has less willingness to invest in children's human capital formation. This generates a non-linearity in such investment expenditures. As a result, initial income differences may perpetuate over time—even with convex technology and convex preferences. In this context, we also compare the efficacy of the public vis-à-vis the private education system from the perspective of long run growth.