SEARCH,LIMITED PARTICIPATION,AND MONETARY POLICY*

A model is developed that employs recent developments in the literature on search models of money to capture the distributional effects of monetary policy in a tractable way. Deterministic and stochastic versions of the model are studied. Money is not neutral, and these nonneutralities persist, whether or not the change in the money supply is anticipated or unanticipated. At the optimum, monetary policy is geared to correcting distortions in the search sector of the economy, while correcting for the persistent effects of past monetary policy actions.     

MEASURING WEALTH WITH SURVEY DATA: AN EVALUATION OF THE 1983 SURVEY OF CONSUMER FINANCES

Because wealth estimates from survey data have usually fallen substantially short of independent aggregate estimates, survey data have not been seen as adequate for assessing questions dependent on a good representation of the entire distribution of wealth, such as estimates of wealth concentration. The 1983 Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF), which contains a supplementary sample of very high income households drawn from a tax-file sample frame, is the first U.S. survey since the 1963 Survey of Financial Characteristics of Consumers that offers hope of accurately measuring the entire wealth distribution. In this paper, we discuss the design of the survey, the critical issue of proper weighting to merge the supplementary sample with an area probability sample, and the role of imputation. We show that the use of ordinary area probability samples alone leads to probable bias in the measurement of highly concentrated assets such as stocks and bonds. We compare the SCF data with aggregates derived from the flow-of-funds accounts of the Federal Reserve Board. While methodological issues cloud exact comparisons, it appears overall that the SCF estimates are at least as credible as other aggregate measurements. Finally, we use the data to assess the change in concentration of wealth from 1963 to 1983. We estimate that the concentration of wealth in terms of households did not change significantly over this period.     

Technology versus Government: Decentralisation will Depoliticise Life

A self-described 'Mad, Christian, libertarian economist', Norman Macrae, veteran Deputy Editor of The Economist, foresees eight-fold rise in living standards in a generation, a shrivelling of government, impotence of politicians, a burgeoning of entrepreneurship, emancipation from bureaucracy by personal computer-communication ('tele-commuting'), the accelerating eclipse of old by undreamt-of new industries. Arthur Seldon assesses Macrae's economic vision.     

Theory of the firm facing uncertain demand revisited

Summary. Empirical evidence shows that the Principle of Increasing Uncertainty (PIU) introduced by Leland is easily violated. Necessary and sufficient conditions, without relying on the PIU assumption, under which risk-averse monopolistic producers reduce their output levels upon the introduction of the Leland-type demand uncertainty are derived.Received: 12 August 2002, Revised: 10 July 2003JEL Classification Numbers: D81, D42.Financial support from the Academic Programme Research Grants (Business Programme) of Lingnan University Ref.# DB01A3 (Res201/Bus003) is gratefully acknowledged. The author would also like to thank the editor and an anonymous referee for their valuable comments that have led to substantial improvement of the paper.     

The Legal, Ethical, and Managerial Implications of the Neutral Employment Reference Policy

The litigious environment surrounding employers today has caused them to be overly fearful of providing candid yet adverse employment references. Their attempts to minimize litigation risk created by the dismissal of a vindictive employee have clouded their judgment when asked to assist in the dissemination of employee information. This is alarmingly illustrated by the growing number of employers who have blindly adopted a neutral reference policy. Unfortunately, indiscriminate application of this policy will not necessarily preclude litigation, but, rather, foster it. It is imperative that employers carefully weigh the tangible and intangible costs of a reference defamation suit against their duty legally, ethically, and managerially to disclose vital information about a former employee.     

Is there aJ-curve for the economic transition from socialism to capitalism?

It is often assumed that the process of transition from socialism to capitalism involves a dislocation and disorganization of the economy in the early stages of the transition. Thus, it is argued, economic performance will at first worsen and then gradually improve as the new system takes hold. This paper argues that, based on evidence from Czechoslovakia, Hungary, and Poland, there is no evidence for such aJ-curve phenomenon. Using a simple macroeconomic model, we show that, in these three reforming countries, the decline in production can be explained by exogenous shocks to the balance of trade, to investments and to autonomous consumption. This finding also suggests that macroeconomic policy in these countries may be too restrictive to permit a recovery of employment and production.