多哈回合农业谈判对我国农产品贸易政策的影响

我国是一个农业大国,农业部门有其特殊性和重要性,多哈回合农业谈判一直倍受关注。多哈回合核心部分是农业框架协议,我国应在国内支持、出口竞争、市场准入等方面给予高度关注。对此,我国农产品贸易政策必须进行重要调整,即从高价格、高关税和非关锐手段的保护向适应WTO规则的保护转变。从直接干预向间接干预转变。     

Decision-making in incomplete markets with ambiguity—a case study of a gas field acquisition

We apply utility indifference pricing to solve a contingent claim problem, valuing a connected pair of gas fields where the underlying process is not standard Geometric Brownian Motion and the assumption of complete markets is not fulfilled. First, empirical data are often characterized by time-varying volatility and fat tails; therefore, we use Gaussian generalized autoregressive score (GAS) and GARCH models, extending them to Student’s t-GARCH and t-GAS. Second, an important risk (reservoir size) is not hedgeable. As a result, markets are incomplete which makes preference free pricing impossible and thus standard option pricing methodology inapplicable. Therefore, we parametrize the investor’s risk preference and use utility indifference pricing techniques. We use Least Squares Monte Carlo simulations as a dimension reduction technique in solving the resulting stochastic dynamic programming problems. Moreover, an investor often only has an approximate idea of the true probabilistic model underlying variables, making model ambiguity a relevant problem. We show empirically how model ambiguity affects project values, and importantly, how option values change as model ambiguity gets resolved in later phases of the projects. We show that traditional valuation approaches will consistently underestimate the value of project flexibility and in general lead to overly conservative investment decisions in the presence of time-dependent stochastic structures.     

Personalized goal-based investing via multi-stage stochastic goal programming

In this paper, we propose a goal-based investment model that is suitable for personalized wealth management. The model only requires a few intuitive inputs such as size of wealth, investment amount, and consumption goals from individual investors. In particular, a priority level can be assigned to each consumption goal and the model provides a holistic solution based on a sequential approach starting with the highest priority. This allows strict prioritization by maximizing the probability of achieving higher priority goals that are not affected by goals with lower priorities. Furthermore, the proposed model is formulated as a linear program that efficiently finds the optimal financial plan. With its simplicity, flexibility, and computational efficiency, the proposed goal-based investment model provides a new framework for automated investment management services.     

浅析生活方式变迁下的居住诉求与房地产广告——以《海峡都市报》为例

1998年,国务院宣布取消＂福利分房＂,把住宅变成商品推向市场,房地产开始作为一个独特的行业迅速成长和发展起来。在此期间,福州生活方式的变迁成为影响当地人们购房的重要因素之一。为了追求利益的最大化,房地产商们必然要充分考虑到可能影响消费者购房的生活方式。其中,私密性、怀旧性、健康生活观、温泉四大诉求成为福州1997～2007房地产广告策划发生变化的重要驱动。     

试述ERP技术给企业财务工作带来的若干问题

近年来,我国很多企业纷纷引进了ERP系统,ERP技术的运用在我国得到了迅速推广,涌现出金蝶、用友等一批优秀的ERP提供厂家。但是,ERP技术在企业财务工作实施中还存在大量问题有待研究。     

论王世杰与抗战时期的中共问题——以《王世杰日记》为中心

王世杰是新政学系的重要人物，思想属自由主义范畴。抗战时期国民党内对中共问题形成两派意见，王世杰认为不能使用武力对付共产党，应寻求政治途径，国民政府必须改良政治，实行资产阶级自由主义政治制度。为此，他不断游说蒋介石和国民党党内人士，提出政治解决办法，调和国共矛盾，缓和两党关系。正是由于他的坚持和努力，国共之间进行了较长时间的谈判，国民党中央全会通过了政治解决中共问题的决议。尽管此主张并未取得具体的、实质性结果，内战未能避免，但为赢得一定的国内和局、争取抗战胜利发挥了实际作用，这是应该承认的。     

外汇储备增长对我国物价影响的实证分析

2007年以来,我国物价水平出现持续攀升的势头。2008年1～4月份,居民消费价格水平同比上涨8.2%。与物价上涨相对应的是我国外汇储备水平创出了历史新高,截至2008年6月末,我国外汇储备余额达1.8万亿美元。那么,外汇储备增长与物价上涨之间有没有直接的联系?本文从短期和长期两个视角,理论和实证相结合探讨了我国外汇储备增长对物价上涨的影响及其作用机制。     

以体制机制创新促进产学研紧密结合

在创新型内蒙古建设稳步推进．“十一五”计划即将取得丰硕成果的重要时刻．在自治区十二届运动会和首届国际书法产业博览会胜利闭幕之际，今天．我们又高兴地迎来”全国首届西部区域（乌海）产学研合作创新高峰论坛”．在此．我代表白治区科技厅对论坛的召开表示热烈的祝贺．对各位领导、各位专家的出席表示诚挚的欢迎．对为这次会议成功召开付出辛苦的各位工作人员和乌海市科技战线的同志们表示衷心的问候。     

中小企业利用全球创新网络的策略研究

全球创新网络为中小企业提供了一种在经济全球化中快速成长的创新模式。本文首先分析了全球创新网络的本质,随后,仅针对领先用户这种知识来源类型分析企业可以采取的策略,最后结合我国现实状况提出一些相关政策建议,以期帮助我国中小企业提高自主创新能力。     

我国进行国际税收竞争的最优战略与策略分析

本文依据国际税收竞争对我国的积极意义以及我国是发展中大国的战略定位,认为我国应该采取"积极、适度竞争,理性、必要协调"的战略;在竞争策略的选择上,通过对我国主要资本来源国对待本国资本海外投资的规定以及竞争对手国吸引外资相关做法的研究,提出我国应选择"低税率、宽税基、少优惠"的竞争方式和手段,并应注重形成有比较竞争力的税收制度,而不应进行频繁的政策调整.