我国炼油工业应实行改造与新建并举的方针

目前我国炼油工业的生产能力，特别是加工中东含硫油的能力严重不足，为适应国民经济发展的需要，扩大炼油能力十分必要，根据测算，2010年我国炼油工业的加工量应达到3亿吨，2020年达到4．5亿吨，若按开工率90％计，则2010年我国炼油能力应达到3．3亿吨，2020年达到5亿吨，因此，从现在开始的10年内，需新增炼油能力1亿吨左右，在下一个10年，即2010至2020年，还需新增能力1．5亿吨，根据我国国情，因地制宜，充分利用现有装置潜力通过技术改造来发展炼油工业是十分必要的，但是大型，先进，一体化是我国炼油工业今后发展的主要方向，兴建新厂可采用先进的工艺技术和新的管理机制，取得较高的经济效益，因此，我国炼油工业的发展实行技术改造与兴建新厂并举的“两条腿走路”的方针。     

The Wealth Effect of Domestic Joint Ventures: Evidence from Taiwan

This study presents important international evidence by examining the wealth effect of domestic joint ventures by Taiwanese firms. In opposite to United States evidence, we find that announcements of domestic joint ventures by Taiwanese firms are, on average, associated with significantly negative abnormal stock returns. We also find that the stock market response to announced domestic joint ventures is significantly positively related to the announcing firms' investment opportunities, size of investment and debt ratio, and is significantly negatively related to the business relatedness variable. In contrast, free cash flow, firm size, relative firm size and managerial ownership are found to have no significant power in explaining the market response. Our results support the investment opportunities, synergy and complementarity hypotheses as well as a broad interpretation of the free cash flow hypothesis, but reject the absolute size, relative size and alignment-of-interests hypotheses. This study makes valuable contributions to the literature by providing the first direct evidence on the role of investment opportunities, synergy and alignment-of-interests in explaining the wealth effect of domestic joint ventures     

中国家电物流:步入发展快车道

尽管只有短短20余年的发展史，中国家电业所取得的成绩却令世人瞩目。目前，中国已名符其实地成了世界家电第一人国，是当之无愧的“家电世界工厂”，国际市场80％的家电产品均来自中国，世界市场80％的知名家电品牌也都“MADE IN CHINA”，家电业已成了中国发展最迅猛，市场化最早，市场化程度最高，     

银企关系与会计信息稳健性——中国资本市场的经验证据

本文以Watts（2003）的契约理论为基础，分析股东与债权人之间利益冲突对会计信息稳健性的影响。虽然会计信息稳健性有助于保护债权人的利益，但是如果股东可以作为公司的债权人，则投资者对会计信息稳健性的需求下降。本文采用Basu（1997）模型分析了2004年中国上市公司会计信息稳健性，发现国家控制的上市公司的会计信息稳健性程度较低，而民营控制的上市公司会计信息稳健性程度较高，但是股东特征对会计信息稳健性的影响，随着银行在公司中利益的增加而趋于一致。     

对规避外汇交易操作风险的若干思考

外汇交易操作风险源于银行内部人员操作方法失误或违规越权交易，或是内控制度的薄弱。为此，应注重对人才的选拔和培养及加强和完善内控制度。     

荷兰：领军欧洲物流

就像性格决定命运一样,一个国家所处的地理位置常常决定了这个国家的内在气质和发展命运。荷兰作为欧洲门户的战略位置必然决定了它开放、自由、灵活、新鲜、充满理想的性格特征。而事过境迁之后的今天,这个国家依然以蔑视常规、热衷冒险,野心勃勃的心态努力开创新世界。     

BOOK REVIEW

Emerging Financial Markets, by David O. Beim and Charles W. Calomiris. McGraw‐Hill/Irwin, 2001, 364 pages, price $75.00.     

知识产权担保融资方式的运作新模式浅析

对我国知识产权担保融资试点中存在运作程序不规范、双方责任不明确、较少采取风险防范措施三方面问题及原因分析,提出了基于专业担保机构与管理咨询公司合作的知识产权担保融资的运作模式,对其中涉及到的各机构的具体关系和可能存在的风险进行了分析,并给出了一些具体的防范措施.     

An empirical analysis of the relationship between the hedge ratio and hedging horizon: A simultaneous estimation of the short‐ and long‐run hedge ratios

This article analyzes the effects of the length of hedging horizon on the optimal hedge ratio and hedging effectiveness using 9 different hedging horizons and 25 different commodities. We discuss the concept of short‐ and long‐run hedge ratios and propose a technique to simultaneously estimate them. The empirical results indicate that the short‐run hedge ratios are significantly less than 1 and increase with the length of hedging horizon. We also find that hedging effectiveness increases with the length of hedging horizon. However, the long‐run hedge ratio is found to be close to the naïve hedge ratio of unity. This implies that, if the hedging horizon is long, then the naïve hedge ratio is close to the optimum hedge ratio. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 24:359–386, 2004