金融科技浪潮下，银行业如何转型

近年来,商业银行面临的经营环境有了显著变化,金融业竞争加剧、金融需求多 元化、综合经营步伐加快,对商业银行利润持续增长提出挑战。在金融科技的浪潮下,银行 业要充分利用金融科技（Fintech）所带来的机遇,依托大数据、云计算、区块链、人工智能等 新技术,创新服务方式和流程,整合传统服务资源,联动线上线下优势,充分的结合互联网技 术、利用互联网思维进行转型,以提升整个银行业资源配置效率。     

新股发行中机构投资者和中小投资者的利益平衡机制研究

在新股发行中如何有效地平衡机构投资者和中小投资者利益,分别发挥机构投资者和中小投资者的功能,成为一个颇受关注的话题.本文分析了我国新股发行中机构投资者与中小投资者利益关系的现状,指出我国新股发行制度存在的缺陷,对协调两类投资者利益关系提出了政策建议.     

如何应对“大而不倒”问题?——基于软预算约束理论的视角

"大而不倒"的问题起始于20世纪美国联邦储蓄保险公司的成立,其实质是由于"大而不倒"金融机构的过度风险承担行为、相互之间的关联性以及巨大的规模而导致的系统性风险,和对政府救助的预期所引发的道德风险之间的矛盾。"大而不倒"问题其实是软预算约束的问题。应对"大而不倒",可从系统性风险、道德风险和政府承诺机制三个角度出发,硬化"大而不倒"机构面临的预算约束。要解决这一问题,必须多种方案同时实施。     

Access regulation and the transition from copper to fiber networks in telecoms

In this paper we study the impact of different forms of access obligations on firms’ incentives to migrate from the legacy copper network to next generation broadband infrastructures. We analyze geographically differential access prices of copper (that depend on whether or not an alternative fiber network has been deployed in the area) and ex-ante access obligations for fiber networks. We discuss how these regulatory schemes fare in addressing the tension among different objectives, such as the promotion of static efficiency, fostering investments in new infrastructures, and avoiding unnecessary duplication of (fiber) networks.     

日朝经贸关系的现状、特征与趋势

经贸关系是影响日朝双边关系的基本变量.目前"政冷经冷"的日朝关系左右着两国经贸政策和走向.日朝双边的经贸关系仍停留在技术性层面.尚未对日朝僵冷的政治局面带来积极影响.日朝的不稳固的经济关系不但无法对脆弱乃至动荡的政治关系起到稳定作用,而且时常成为政治关系的牺牲品.日本今后仍然可能继续推进对朝鲜经济制裁的单边主义做法.     

股票价格与汇率之间的动态关系——基于中国市场的经验分析

本文以利差为外生变量,基于向量自回归多元EGARCH模型和日数据,对我国股价与汇率之闻的动态关系进行了实证研究和深入分析.研究发现:在价格溢出方面,只存在外汇市场到股票市场短期单向引导关系,但利差对股价和汇率均存在价格溢出效应;在波动溢出方面,股票市场对外汇市场存在非对称的波动溢出效应,而外汇市场对股票市场只存在对称的波动溢出效应,利差的变化对股票市场和外汇市场都不存在波动溢出效应;与国内相关研究结论不同的是,我们没有发现股价与汇率之间存在长期均衡关系.     

The effect of lender and loan type on a borrowing firm’s equity return

Past empirical studies appear to support the idea that banks and finance companies do not differ in their ability to resolve adverse selection problems associated with issuing new debt. In this article, we find there is a difference. More specifically, using an event study we find larger abnormal returns for secured loan disclosures to lower quality borrowers when the lender is a finance company versus a bank. This suggests the market views finance companies as more effective than banks in evaluating/monitoring lower quality borrowers obtaining secured loans. We posit this is due to finance companies’ greater expertise in this type of lending, resulting from specialization. Our findings extend the literature on how lender identity can influence signals about firm value from loan disclosures. Our results also support recent findings that positive abnormal returns to borrowing firms may not be a general feature across the loan population, but may be restricted to smaller, lower quality borrowers. Finally, we are the first to provide evidence that the market takes loan type into account, not just lender and borrower type, when considering the information embedded in loan disclosures.     

“后危机时代”的经济复苏管理

2009年全球一直推进的经济刺激计划前所未有,已促进全球走出危机最为艰难的时期,2010年既意味着全球经济步入"后危机时代",也意味着政策退出和复苏管理成为全球的共同课题和宏观经济政策的主旋律。在这个大周期背景下,为了稳固经济复苏的基础,延长新一轮经济的上升周期,我国的内外政策应寻求多个层面的"再平衡"。     

Research on China’s export structure to the US: Analysis based on the US economic growth and exchange rate

Due to the rapid appreciation of RMB, the consistent declining of the US economy and other uncertain factors, China’s export volume to the United States has declined. The paper first chooses six industries to divide them into three groups based on per capita possession of capital, then employs the monthly data from 2001 to 2008 to carry out EG two-step cointegration test, and finally analyzes the impacts of the US economic growth and the exchange rate variability on different export industries. Empirical results show that the labor-intensive industries are most susceptible to fluctuations brought by economic growth and real exchange rate, while those industries with higher per capita possession of capital are less susceptible to external factors. In the short run, the export of labor-intensive products gives an advantage to China’s foreign trade development, but in the long-run, these industries will be affected greatly by various uncertain factors and the advantages of China’s labor-intensive export industries will disappear with the shift of the international division. Therefore, the only way to guarantee the dominant position of China’s foreign trade is to develop capital and technology intensive export industries and upgrade export structure.     

要素价格变化如何影响研发强度——基于地区研发强度分解数据的实证研究

本文主要从中国经济发展和资本深化背景下工业企业研发投入依然乏力这一基本问题出发,从中国要素市场存在的价格扭曲入手分析了劳动力价格相对资本价格的低估对于地区工业部门研发投入所产生的影响,并通过对地区工业研发强度指标的分解,从产业结构与产业链层级两方面检验了要素市场价格扭曲对地区工业研发强度所产生的影响。结果表明,中国经济中普遍存在着劳动力价格低估的要素价格负向扭曲,这种扭曲的存在不仅阻碍了地区产业结构与产业链层级的升级调整,同时也弱化了要素禀赋结构变化所引发的资本深化对于产业结构与产业链层级的促进效果,是导致中国工业企业的R&D投入强度并未呈现出与资本深化相一致的增强趋势的重要制度根源。