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101.
The article contributes to the literature on financial fragility, studying how macroeconomic shocks affect supply and demand in the corporate debt market. We take into account the effect of the competitive environment, as well as the risk level, measured by companies’ default rate. The model is estimated using data from the Harmonised BACH database of corporate accounts for large euro area countries on the 1993–2005 period, in order to carry out an illustrative stress testing exercise. We measure the impact of large macroeconomic shocks (a severe recession and a sharp increase in oil prices) on the equilibrium in the debt market. 相似文献
102.
Pauline Barrieu Harry Bensusan Nicole El Karoui Caroline Hillairet Stéphane Loisel Claudia Ravanelli 《Scandinavian actuarial journal》2013,2013(3):203-231
This article investigates the latest developments in longevity-risk modelling, and explores the key risk management challenges for both the financial and insurance industries. The article discusses key definitions that are crucial for the enhancement of the way longevity risk is understood, providing a global view of the practical issues for longevity-linked insurance and pension products that have evolved concurrently with the steady increase in life expectancy since s. In addition, the article frames the recent and forthcoming developments that are expected to action industry-wide changes as more effective regulation, designed to better assess and efficiently manage inherited risks, is adopted. Simultaneously, the evolution of longevity is intensifying the need for capital markets to be used to manage and transfer the risk through what are known as Insurance-Linked Securities (ILS). Thus, the article will examine the emerging scenarios, and will finally highlight some important potential developments for longevity-risk management from a financial perspective with reference to the most relevant modelling and pricing practices in the banking industry. 相似文献
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We examine the influence of institutional investors’ investment horizons on a firm's cost of equity. We argue that the cost of equity will decrease in the presence of institutional investors with longer‐term investment horizons due to improved monitoring and information quality. Our empirical results demonstrate that the cost of equity declines in the presence of institutional investors with long‐term investment horizons, all else remaining equal. Our results indicate also that the monitoring role of long‐term institutional investors is more pronounced for firms with higher agency problems (poorly governed firms). Overall, our evidence suggests that when considering the influence of institutional investors, it is critical to account for institutional heterogeneity, which leads to new directions for future research. 相似文献
105.
In this article we analyze the slope of the term structure of credit spreads. We investigate the explanatory role of interest rate, market, and idiosyncratic equity variables that the recent empirical literature highlights as important determinants of credit spread levels. This study extends the analysis and assesses its effect on credit slopes for a sample of corporate bonds. We find that these factors affect credit spreads at short and long maturities in a significantly different way. A closer inspection of the credit spread slope also reveals that it is a useful indicator of the direction of changes in future short‐term credit spreads. This evidence has important implications for the trading and risk management of portfolios of bonds with different maturities. 相似文献
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Return and volatility transmission between world oil prices and stock markets of the GCC countries 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Mohamed El Hedi Arouri 《Economic Modelling》2011,28(4):1815-1825
This paper investigates the return links and volatility transmission between oil and stock markets in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries over the period 2005-2010. We employ a recent generalized VAR-GARCH approach which allows for transmissions in return and volatility. In addition, we analyze the optimal weights and hedge ratios for oil-stock portfolio holdings. On the whole, our results point to the existence of substantial return and volatility spillovers between world oil prices and GCC stock markets, and appear to be crucial for international portfolio management in the presence of oil price risk. 相似文献
109.
Fedya Telmoudi Mohamed El Ghourabi Mohamed Limam 《International Journal of Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance & Management》2011,18(2-3):105-120
Corporate bankruptcy is perceived as a shocking event. Several researchers focused on the prediction of these phenomena using various methods aiming to avoid high generated costs. In this paper, a new hybrid approach is proposed to deal with corporate failure prediction. Based on financial ratios as input data and in order to predict if the business unit will fail or not, our approach integrates rough set theory, Gaussian case‐based reasoning‐clustering, real‐valued genetic algorithm with support vector machines. This combination is justified by a high accuracy rate, reaching 100% at 1 year before failure and 94.0925% at 3 years before failure. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
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