The domestic term structure and international interest rate linkages: A cointegration analysis

The Domestic Term Structure and International Interest Rate Linkages. A Cointegration Analysis. -This paper analyzes cointegration relations between domestic interest rates with different maturities and between the US and German interest rates of the same maturity by means of the Johansen procedure and single-equation error correction models. It analyzes also the implied common stochastic trends. The author concludes that in the long run, interest spreads within both countries strongly dominate and linkages between the interest rates of both countries are only important in the short run.     

Marcel Machill an die Universität Leipzig berufen

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Franz Dröge gestorben

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The concept of needs: A survey of illusions

Social forecasting must take account of human needs before it can proceed. Whatever method it chooses, it must be clear about the fundamental concepts employed. In this article the authors expose the misconceptions generated by commercial rationality which persuades the individual into a market relationship with consumer objects. Quantification makes it obvious that there are limits to productive capacity, but what are we to say of the non-measurable sphere of human desires?     

The growth in the Japanese stock market, 1949–90 and prospects for the future

This paper surveys the growth in size and value of the Japanese stock market from its post-Second World War reopening until the end of 1990. The rise has been spectacular, but there have been many declines along the way. These are discussed along with the close relationship between land and stock prices. The paper concludes with an assessment of the current situation and prospects for the short and long term.     

Oversight Ethics: The Case of Business Licensing

The ethics research community has all but ignored issues of oversight ethics – the vices and virtues of overseers. This study develops a conceptual framework for exploring the ethics of oversight and provides insights into the design of codes of ethics for oversight institutions and for overseers. Analysis of business licensing in Israel reveals prospective and retrospective oversight ethics problems at the levels of national and local policy and implementation: Overseers failed to act on knowledge of breaches of business licensing stipulations and took action known to be slow and ineffective; policymakers neglected their duty to enact significant policy change in an oversight system that was clearly not working. Partially as a result of these oversight failures, over one third of Israeli businesses are unlicensed, 23 people were killed in the collapse of an unlicensed banquet hall, 2 major fires erupted in the same shopping mall, and a fire in a fertilizer warehouse very nearly became a mega-disaster.     

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The U.S. industrial marketer's position in international trade

The purpose of this article is to examine some of the interests served by international trade and several of the factors that will affect the environment in which the marketing manager will operate in the next decade. The diverse forces that influence foreign trade are of increasing importance to marketing strategy. Although salesmen are still counseled to “sell-like-hell”, senior marketing people need to have a perspective that permits them to anticipate the threats and oppurtunities these forces create. We will suggest some of the trends and issues to which the marketer must be alert. While our analysis will be most appropriate for American companies, this approach is also applicable for firms based in other countries.The article is divided into five parts. In the first part we examine the importance and motives for U.S. international trade. We then explore U.S. patterns of imports and exports. In the third section we consider the role of technology in trade. Next we consider some of the trends that seem to apply for the next decade. Finally we raise some issues that will probably demand the marketer's attention in the future.