Entrepreneur and the state-managed economy under socialism

The paper deals with institutional change in Poland. The accompanying pherlomenon is an escalating wave of entrepreneurial ventures. They take on different legal forms. The most popular, limited liability companies, emerge in the private, the cooperative, and the state sectors, and often across these sectors. These developments give rise to new interest groups which generally support a market reform. The conflict between the market oriented sector and the administered sector becomes one of the main factors influencing the economic policies of the state. In the paper, the development of the private sector is analyzed with the use of measures relating to the proportion of revenues from the private sector in the total state budget revenues.     

“Tourism – Common cause”. Polish tourist products

This research note relates to the Polish programme entitled “Tourism – common cause”. It describes the programme, project ideas and problems encountered during the creation and operation of tourist products and methods of solving these problems. “Tourism – common cause” is the largest training and consulting project in Poland, co-financed by the European Social Fund and the Polish government and is specific for tourism. The aim of the project (completed in March 2008) was to fully define a tourism product and to transfer knowledge concerning methods of its creation throughout the wider region. The purpose was to aid the development of the tourism industry in Poland through the creation of regional tourism products within a network and enhancing the qualifications of those working in the industry.     

Poland's agricultural sector under transformation

The Polish agricultural sector and food processing industry was the first industry to follow market economy because of agriculture's significance in the Polish economy and the dominant role of private ownership in agriculture. Full price liberalization, internal convertibility of the Polish currency, and liberalization of foreign trade completely changed the situation in agriculture. The main objective of this paper is to test the existence of market processes using monthly data from the agriculture and food processing industry covering the time period 1990–92. The largest part of the estimation is dedicated to agricultural products' and foodstuffs' prices. Typical demand-supply relations are observed on the pig, cattle, and milk markets only. In many equations, such variables like imports and exports of agricultural goods are not significant.     

Youth unemployment

Youth unemployment has been on the rise since the beginning of the crisis in 2008. Even more troublesome is the dramatic rise in the number of youth not in employment, education or training, which has led to widespread concerns about the impact on social cohesion and fears of a “lost generation”. Given the extreme differences in youth unemployment levels among member states, it is clear that no single labour market policy will be appropriate throughout the EU. There may, however, be opportunities for mutual learning on how to combat youth unemployment. This Forum explores youth unemployment in the EU via case studies of England, Belgium, Spain, Poland and Ireland. It also examines Germany’s dual vocational training system as one potential solution.     

LANGUAGE AND TOTALITARIAN REGIMES

The communist misappropriation of words for political purposes still makes people in Eastern Europe struggle to find unambiguous language of political and economic thought. This paper discusses the problem of language that distorts reality and focuses on traps that hinder communication between people from the West and people from the post-communist Eastern Europe.     

Financial Inflows to Poland, 1990–96

Foreign exchange flows in Poland in the 1990s, especially during 1994–96, resulted from two developments. First, there was a current account surplus, as growth revived due to efficiency improvements, while macroeconomic policy limited domestic demand. Second, Poland had rejoined international capital markets and regained favorable credit ratings, triggering investment inflows. We can classify the effects of these inflows into three groups: changes in the institutional framework; changes in the stabilization path; and changes in the real economy. The crawling band introduced in May 1995, rapid development of the money market, and improvement of the central bank's capacity to intervene on that market are in the first group. As to the second, relative currency appreciation and import competition, constraining domestic price increases, contributed to the strong disinflationary push which began in 1995. Under the third heading, foreign direct investment and portfolio inflows helped to maintain rapid growth of investment and output.     

How Spanish options market smiles in summer: an empirical analysis for options on IBEX-35

This paper examines the behaviour of the smile in the Spanish Stock Exchange during 2011 and 2012 summers. In these periods, the value of the main index of the Spanish Stock Exchange market IBEX-35 had fallen down a maximum of 2103.60 points in summer 2011, which made a drop of 20.05% in this period. On the contrary, in summer 2012, it had raised a maximum of 2165.70 points. That means a rise of 26.31%, whereas the Spanish risk premium had raised dramatically. By linear interpolation, implied volatilities for moneyness points needed were calculated. Then, we construct 3288 smile curves and the same quantity of distortion levels. Thousand six hundred and forty-four smiles are for both call and put option contracts, and for all summer 2011 and 2012 maturities (June, July, August and September). Next, we compare all smile curves with 1 of the 17-typical shape patterns for calls, puts, different dates, etc. Afterwards, we take the value of the distortion level calculated before and include the smile in one A–E class of distortion. We can notice that the most popular types are only two, for both calls and puts, Left Smirk (LK) rather than Reversed Right Smirk (RRK); all smiles are formed in the same way, and they are all from ‘D’ class. The changes between LK and RRK occur only on, or one day after, expiring dates, thus are jumps in distortion. Afterwards, we make a comparison with 2013 and 2014 summers' smiles which are not marred by the short-selling ban imposed by the Spanish Securities Exchange Commission in 2011 and 2012.     

The evolution of consumer preferences in Poland

This note investigates a change of consumer preferences in Poland in the period of 1996–2016. I use the Euler equation–generalized method of moments (GMM) to estimate the structural parameters of the aggregate consumption function to show that consumers in Poland significantly change their attitude to risk during the global financial crisis, when the estimate of the risk-aversion parameter becomes very high, while otherwise close to zero suggesting near risk neutrality. Also, the subjective trade-off between consumption today and tomorrow undergoes an evolution towards lower ‘impatience’. Over-identifying restrictions are tested and the null hypothesis of validity of instruments is not rejected. The stability over time of the estimated parameters is tested and rejected. The evolution of preferences is shown through recursive estimates of the deep parameters, too.