沈德符史学思想探析——基于《万历野获编》的史料记载

《万历野获编》堪称明代历史琐闻类笔记中的翘楚,因内容丰富广博、考证切实,为历代史家所重。以往的研究集中于该笔记的史料、艺术、文学价值,却未有学者对作者沈德符蕴藏于书中的史学思想予以足够重视。扎根于《万历野获编》的史料记载,结合晚明私史勃兴与实学思潮盛行的背景,从多方面综合考察作者的治史理念与准则,不仅有助于剖析沈德符史学思想的核心内容,对后世学者正确理解、运用《万历野获编》也不无裨益。     

Personalized goal-based investing via multi-stage stochastic goal programming

In this paper, we propose a goal-based investment model that is suitable for personalized wealth management. The model only requires a few intuitive inputs such as size of wealth, investment amount, and consumption goals from individual investors. In particular, a priority level can be assigned to each consumption goal and the model provides a holistic solution based on a sequential approach starting with the highest priority. This allows strict prioritization by maximizing the probability of achieving higher priority goals that are not affected by goals with lower priorities. Furthermore, the proposed model is formulated as a linear program that efficiently finds the optimal financial plan. With its simplicity, flexibility, and computational efficiency, the proposed goal-based investment model provides a new framework for automated investment management services.     

Major bleeding risk and healthcare economic outcomes of non-valvular atrial fibrillation patients newly-initiated with oral anticoagulant therapy in the real-world setting

Aims: This study compared the risk for major bleeding (MB) and healthcare economic outcomes of patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) after initiating treatment with apixaban vs rivaroxaban, dabigatran, or warfarin.

Methods: NVAF patients who initiated apixaban, rivaroxaban, dabigatran, or warfarin were identified from the IMS Pharmetrics Plus database (January 1, 2013–September 30, 2015). Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to balance differences in patient characteristics between study cohorts: patients treated with apixaban vs rivaroxaban, apixaban vs dabigatran, and apixaban vs warfarin. Risk of hospitalization and healthcare costs (all-cause and MB-related) were compared between matched cohorts during the follow-up.

Results: During the follow-up, risks for all-cause (hazard ratio [HR]?=?1.44, 95% confidence interval [CI]?=?1.2–1.7) and MB-related (HR?=?1.57, 95% CI?=?1.0–2.4) hospitalizations were significantly greater for patients treated with rivaroxaban vs apixaban. Adjusted total all-cause healthcare costs were significantly lower for patients treated with apixaban vs rivaroxaban ($3,950 vs $4,333 per patient per month [PPPM], p?=?.002) and MB-related medical costs were not statistically significantly different ($100 vs $233 PPPM, p?=?.096). Risk for all-cause hospitalization (HR?=?1.98, 95% CI?=?1.6–2.4) was significantly greater for patients treated with dabigatran vs apixaban, although total all-cause healthcare costs were not statistically different. Risks for all-cause (HR?=?2.22, 95% CI?=?1.9–2.5) and MB-related (HR?=?2.05, 95% CI?=?1.4–3.0) hospitalizations were significantly greater for patients treated with warfarin vs apixaban. Total all-cause healthcare costs ($3,919 vs $4,177 PPPM, p?=?.025) and MB-related medical costs ($96 vs $212 PPPM, p?=?.026) were significantly lower for patients treated with apixaban vs warfarin.

Limitations: This retrospective database analysis does not establish causation.

Conclusions: In the real-world setting, compared with rivaroxaban and warfarin, apixaban is associated with reduced risk of hospitalization and lower healthcare costs. Compared with dabigatran, apixaban is associated with lower risk of hospitalizations.     

浅析生活方式变迁下的居住诉求与房地产广告——以《海峡都市报》为例

1998年,国务院宣布取消＂福利分房＂,把住宅变成商品推向市场,房地产开始作为一个独特的行业迅速成长和发展起来。在此期间,福州生活方式的变迁成为影响当地人们购房的重要因素之一。为了追求利益的最大化,房地产商们必然要充分考虑到可能影响消费者购房的生活方式。其中,私密性、怀旧性、健康生活观、温泉四大诉求成为福州1997～2007房地产广告策划发生变化的重要驱动。     

基于风险维度的货币政策传导非对称性研究

现有文献货币政策传导非对称性的研究主要集中于产出维度,文章从风险维度研究不同货币环境下货币政策对微观企业风险传导的非对称性,结果表明:宽松货币环境强化了货币政策风险传导的微观效应,而紧缩货币环境削弱了货币政策风险传导的微观效应。虽然存款准备金率对企业的风险传导效应小于利率,但是在不同货币环境下存款准备金率对企业风险传导的非对称性却强于利率。因此央行在制定货币政策时须根据不同货币环境下微观主体对货币政策的风险敏感度的差异选择合理的货币政策工具及其组合搭配,以免企业在宽松货币环境下的过度风险承担。     

试述ERP技术给企业财务工作带来的若干问题

近年来,我国很多企业纷纷引进了ERP系统,ERP技术的运用在我国得到了迅速推广,涌现出金蝶、用友等一批优秀的ERP提供厂家。但是,ERP技术在企业财务工作实施中还存在大量问题有待研究。     

论王世杰与抗战时期的中共问题——以《王世杰日记》为中心

王世杰是新政学系的重要人物，思想属自由主义范畴。抗战时期国民党内对中共问题形成两派意见，王世杰认为不能使用武力对付共产党，应寻求政治途径，国民政府必须改良政治，实行资产阶级自由主义政治制度。为此，他不断游说蒋介石和国民党党内人士，提出政治解决办法，调和国共矛盾，缓和两党关系。正是由于他的坚持和努力，国共之间进行了较长时间的谈判，国民党中央全会通过了政治解决中共问题的决议。尽管此主张并未取得具体的、实质性结果，内战未能避免，但为赢得一定的国内和局、争取抗战胜利发挥了实际作用，这是应该承认的。     

外汇储备增长对我国物价影响的实证分析

2007年以来,我国物价水平出现持续攀升的势头。2008年1～4月份,居民消费价格水平同比上涨8.2%。与物价上涨相对应的是我国外汇储备水平创出了历史新高,截至2008年6月末,我国外汇储备余额达1.8万亿美元。那么,外汇储备增长与物价上涨之间有没有直接的联系?本文从短期和长期两个视角,理论和实证相结合探讨了我国外汇储备增长对物价上涨的影响及其作用机制。     

以体制机制创新促进产学研紧密结合

在创新型内蒙古建设稳步推进．“十一五”计划即将取得丰硕成果的重要时刻．在自治区十二届运动会和首届国际书法产业博览会胜利闭幕之际，今天．我们又高兴地迎来”全国首届西部区域（乌海）产学研合作创新高峰论坛”．在此．我代表白治区科技厅对论坛的召开表示热烈的祝贺．对各位领导、各位专家的出席表示诚挚的欢迎．对为这次会议成功召开付出辛苦的各位工作人员和乌海市科技战线的同志们表示衷心的问候。