The income inequality,financial depth and economic growth nexus in China

Income inequality has increased in China despite rapid economic growth. Income inequality could impinge on future development, leading to social tension or political instability. Our study investigates the short-run and long-run relationship between three important macroeconomic indicators—income inequality, economic growth and financial depth. We utilise a two-step procedure of ARDL bounds and Granger causality for the analysis. The bounds test indicates the presence of a cointegrating relationship between income inequality, financial depth and economic growth in the long run. In the second step, we utilise the Granger causality approach. Results show a bidirectional causality between financial depth-growth and a unidirectional causality between inequality-growth in the short run. In the long run, results reveal that growth and financial depth determine Gini. Our findings provide support for the inequality-widening effect due to economic growth and higher credit provided to the private sector. We find no evidence of inequality-narrowing or income-equalising effect in the long run for the period of study. It is possible that the government's inclusive growth policies which started less than a decade ago have not taken effect for us to capture the inverted U-shape income equalising effect significantly.     

The impact of intraindustry trade on the natural rate of unemployment in two simple models

This paper builds in two popular versions of the theory of equilibrium unemployment into a world economy engaged purely in intraindustry trade of differentiated products. We show that free trade through increasing the range of varieties available for consumption and expanding economies of scale leads to a lowering of the equilibrium rates of unemployment in all participating countries. Thus, we demonstrate channels through which international trade alleviates the problem of high unemployment in each country engaged in pure intraindustry trade.     

Institutional investor type,earnings management and benchmark beaters

This paper classifies institutional investors into transient or long-term by their investment horizons to examine the association between institutional investor type and firms’ discretionary earnings management strategies in two mutually exclusive settings – firms that (do not) use accruals to meet/beat earnings targets. The results support the view that long-term institutional investors constrain accruals management among firms that manage earnings to meet/beat earnings benchmarks. This suggests long-term institutional investors can mitigate aggressive earnings management among these firms. Transient institutional ownership is not systematically associated with aggressive earnings management and is evident only among firms that manage earnings to meet/beat their earnings benchmarks. This indicates transient institution-associated managerial myopia may not be as prevalent as posited by critics. This study highlights the importance of explicitly considering the type of institutional investor and the specific setting when investigating the association between institutional ownership and corporate earnings management.     

Impact of Rebates and Refunds on Contributions to Threshold Public Goods: Evidence from a Field Experiment

We investigate the impact of rebates and refunds on contributions to threshold public goods using evidence from a field experiment conducted in conjunction with an Australian charity, Life Goes On. We find that offering rebates and refunds has a significant positive impact on both participation and average donations in the absence of seed money. Our results suggest that offering rebates and refunds, and the existence of seed money may, to some extent, play substitute roles in encouraging giving behavior. Seed money has a significant positive effect on participation only. Seed money's impact on average donations may be mitigated by a threshold effect.     

实际汇率、股价水平和就业路径的结构主义分析

真实汇率和真实股价水平可以作为预测因子,提前预测经济活动的强弱.自然利率能够在结构性繁荣和衰退期间担当中央银行利率政策的风向标,通过保持短期实际利率与自然利率的协调,中央银行能控制均衡的通货膨胀率,并使经济沿着随时间变化的自然失业率变化的轨道发展.美国和OECD国家的数据都证实了模型的有效性.     

Future fiscal and budgetary shocks

We study the effects of future tax and budgetary shocks in a non-monetary and possibly non-Ricardian economy. An (unanticipated) temporary labor tax cut to be effective on a given future date—a delayed “debt bomb”—causes at once a drop in the (unit) value placed on the firms' business asset, the customer, with the result that share prices, the hourly wage, and employment drop in tandem. This paradox of reduced activity through announcement of future “stimulus” does not hinge on an upward jump of long interest rates. A future tax-rate cut lacking a “sunset” provision has the same negative effects.     

The Influence of Organizational and Code-Supporting Variables on the Effectiveness of a Code of Ethics

Prior findings on the effectiveness of the codeof ethics in promoting ethical behavior aremixed. Perhaps more is required to promoteethical behavior than the mere existence of thecode within the organization. The presentstudy proposes, first, that the extent to whichthe organization communicates, enforces andencourages reference to the code is importantto achieving the desired results. Second,organizational ethics variables (namely, topmanagement support for ethical behavior, theassociation between ethical behavior and careersuccess, and organizational ethical climate)can have a significant influence on ethicalbehavior of organizations over and above theimpact of the implementation and use of thecode. Both propositions are supported based onregression analyses of data from a survey of237 managers, the majority of whom hold middleand top level positions within organizations.     

An analysis of the factors affecting the turnover intention of non-managerial clerical staff: a Singapore study

This study examines the factors affecting turnover intention and attempts to construct a turnover prediction model. Sixteen demographic, job satisfaction and job attitude factors are considered in the study. From the three-hundred questionnaires administered, a usable response rate of 36 per cent (i.e., 108 usable questionnaires) was obtained.

Correlation analyses, t-tests and multiple regression were used to analyse the data. The results show that demographic and job attitude factors are not significantly associated with turnover intention. In contrast, job satisfaction factors affect turnover intention significantly. In particular, satisfaction with career future, company identity, kind of work and financial rewards were found to be statistically significant. These four variables are thus included in the final turnover prediction model.     

Model Predictions and Auditor Assessments of Going Concern Status

This paper compares the predictions of a bankruptcy prediction model and the assessments of auditors on the going concern status of a sample of 165 bankrupt companies and 165 matched non-bankrupt companies. Data from US companies for the period 1978 to 1985 were used. Probit analysis (with the weighted exogenous sampling maximum likelihood procedure) was applied to estimate the model parameters. The Lachenbruch U method hold-out accuracy rates of the model are 85.45% for bankrupt firms, 100.00% for non-bankrupt firms, and 99.91% overall. The corresponding accuracy rates of the auditors based on their audit reports are 54.37% for bankrupt firms, 100.00% for non-bankrupt firms, and 99.73% overall. The sensitivity of optimal cut-off points to misclassification costs of Type I and Type II errors was also considered. Results of the study suggest that bankruptcy prediction models can be useful to auditors in making going concern assessments. Further, such models can serve as analytical tools and defensive devices.     

Non-audit services and financial reporting quality: evidence from 1978 to 1980

We provide evidence on the long-standing concern about the potential conflicts of interest of auditors that provide clients with non-audit services using rarely explored non-audit services fee data from 1978 to 1980. In this setting, we find evidence of improved earnings quality when auditors provide non-audit services, especially those related to information services. This is consistent with better audit quality resulting from knowledge spillovers in the joint offering of audit and consulting services. Events related to the 1982 repeal of mandatory non-audit services disclosures are associated with a small positive stock price reaction, suggesting that the disclosure repeal has no adverse economic consequences. Furthermore, following the repeal we find no change in the earnings quality of client firms. In sum, our data suggest that non-audit services offered by audit firms can be associated with improved audit and reporting quality in client firms via auditors’ reputational incentives, synergies, and knowledge transfers.