Price Discovery in Private Negotiation Trading with Forward and Spot Deliveries

Advance production in spot markets increases seller costs because inventories must be held. This cost does not exist in production-to-demand (or forward) markets, for which production follows trading, and sales exactly match quantities produced. Data from laboratory-computerized markets that trade through private negotiation are analyzed. For the experimental supply and demand conditions, price convergence patterns show spot prices 10.8% lower and the number of trades 12.4% fewer than forward outcomes. The adverse impact of advance production and private negotiation on seller earnings is emphasized when earnings are compared with those from double auction trading.     

The Pricing of IPOs Post-Sarbanes-Oxley

The Sarbanes-Oxley Act (SOX) imposes new requirements for firms going public. Many provisions of SOX should improve the transparency of U.S. firms going public and therefore reduce the uncertainty surrounding their valuation. We find that initial returns of initial public offerings (IPOs) in the United States have declined since SOX. Furthermore, the aftermarket performance of IPOs since SOX is significantly higher. While the expense of public reporting has increased in the United States because of SOX, the valuations of newly public firms at the time of the IPO are subject to less uncertainty and smaller aftermarket corrections.     

The Mistreated Model: Some Technical Comments on Porojan's Paper on 'Trade Flows and Spatial Effects'

The paper by Porojan on 'Trade flows and spatial effects' in a recent issue of this journal is criticized on three methodological grounds: it includes two of the gravity model independent variables as relative rather than absolute numbers; the dummy variables included are not binary but interval; and the 'sample' of countries creates a non-normal distribution of inter-country distances, undoubtedly creating heteroscedasticity problems. Because of these three problems, the model is mis-specified, and the results thereby obtained are unreliable.     

Stable shareholdings and Japan's bubble economy: an historical overview

This is an exploratory study aimed at establishing the existence of a strategy utilized by large Japanese industrial groups to protect themselves against external threats. A measure is developed to assess the stability of the top 10 shareholders of 134 leading companies in the six Japanese industrial groups—Mitsui, Mitsubishi, Sumitomo, DKB, Sanwa, and Fuyo—over the 1973–93 period. The results demonstrate the use by these companies of their networks of stable shareholdings as a strategic response to deal with threats to group company governance structures arising from the stock market and property boom of the late 1980s (known in Japan as the ‘bubble’ economy) and its aftermath. Some theoretical and practical reflections are presented. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Identifying and evaluating adaptation strategies for cruise tourism in Arctic Canada

The cruise tourism industry in Arctic Canada has recently grown rapidly with stable numbers now emerging. While there are many socio-economic opportunities associated with growth, climate change, and environmental, technical and cultural risks also present significant management challenges. To enhance understanding of these opportunities and risks, this study adopted a policy Delphi approach to identify and evaluate potential adaptation strategies to aid decision-makers and policy-makers managing cruise tourism development and its associated impacts. Over 500 ideas were identified. These were distilled down to 65 potential adaptation options, which were evaluated for priority and feasibility by key stakeholders including local residents, tourism operators, and policy-makers. The majority of recommendations were evaluated as of high priority and most options were perceived to be somewhat affordable and implementable. Key needs included disaster management plans, updated technology and ship navigation systems, improved marine resource mapping, and the development of a code of conduct for cruise tourists to guide visitor behaviour and promote a sustainable approach. The research represents the first empirical study to identify and evaluate adaptation strategies for cruise tourism development in Arctic Canada and outlines current priorities, opportunities, and challenges associated with managing socio-economic change in Arctic Canada in sustainable ways.