Fiscal policy under New Labour

This paper seeks to provide an evaluation of fiscal policy underNew Labour in the decade from its election in May 1997 to date.It begins with a brief review of macroeconomic performance overthat period. It outlines the main features of the approach ofthe Labour government to fiscal policy including the ‘goldenrule’ of public finance, and provides a critique of thatrule and the general approach to fiscal policy. It considershow far the policy rules have been observed in practice. Finally,it argues that the relative macroeconomic stability since 1997has not resulted from the fiscal policy pursued, but ratherthat changes in the fiscal stance have fortuitously offset variationsin private expenditure.     

Seeing the Wood for the Trees: A Critical Evaluation of Methods to Estimate the Parameters of Stochastic Differential Equations

Maximum-likelihood estimates of the parameters of stochasticdifferential equations are consistent and asymptotically efficient,but unfortunately difficult to obtain if a closed-form expressionfor the transitional probability density function of the processis not available. As a result, a large number of competing estimationprocedures have been proposed. This article provides a criticalevaluation of the various estimation techniques. Special attentionis given to the ease of implementation and comparative performanceof the procedures when estimating the parameters of the Cox–Ingersoll–Rossand Ornstein–Uhlenbeck equations respectively.     

International Marketing of Organic Foods: Consumers,Standards, and Harmonization

Differing technical standards can be barriers to international trade. Harmonizing standards is one means of removing barriers to trade. It is argued in this article that international harmonization may not be welfare enhancing if consumers have a strong attachment to their domestic standards. Standards for organic products differ among countries and act as a barrier to trade. International harmonization has been proposed. Consumers were surveyed in the United States, United Kingdom, and Canada to determine their likely attachment to existing domestic organic standards. The results suggest that consumers, even those with a preference for organic foods, have little understanding of their domestic standards and only weakly identify with them. As a result, harmonization could be pursued. Agribusiness firms that are interested in harmonization to expand their access to export markets should promote the development of a new international standard rather than harmonization to one of the existing domestic standards.     

FINANCIAL STATEMENT USERS‘ PERCEPTIONS OF FACTORS AFFECTING THE ABILITY OF AUDITORS TO RESIST CLIENT PRESSURE IN A CONFLICT SITUATION

This study investigates the perceived effects of four factors on the likelihood that an auditor will acquiesce to the demands of a client when a dispute arises over a significant financial reporting issue. A repeated measures experiment was conducted using 49 security analysts and 69 bankers as subjects. Analysis of Variance results indicate that an auditor is perceived as being more likely to acquiesce to his client's demands when the accounting issue in dispute is not dealt with clearly by an accounting standard. Auditors also are viewed as being more likely to acquiesce when: (1) competition in the audit environment is aggressive; (2) the audit firm is small; and (3) the audit firm provides management consulting services to its audit client.     

Patterns and determinants of intra-industry trade in Asia

Intra-industry trade (IIT) has gained in importance across Asia as a result of the rapid growth of Asian economies and their key role in the international fragmentation of production. This paper examines the level of IIT for 22 countries in East, Southeast, South, and Central Asia in 2003. IIT is measured as a multilateral trade-weighted index and is reported for ten different categories of goods in the primary and secondary sectors. In addition, the determinants of IIT are investigated using a Tobit regression model. The results indicate that ASEAN and the high-income countries in East Asia exhibit the highest levels of IIT, followed closely by China and India. R&D spending, openness, and a higher share of manufactured exports were found to promote IIT, while geographical distance and the difference in economic size had an adverse effect, especially for manufactured goods. The ASEAN free trade area was most prominently associated with IIT across all SITC categories. Central and South Asian regional trade agreements had a positive influence on IIT in primary products.     

The Indonesian Log Export Ban: An Estimation of Foregone Export Earnings

The paper examines the economic impact of the Indonesian phased log export ban from 1981 to 1986, by means of a counterfactual analysis which permits the calculation of hypothetical export revenues under the assumption that the log export ban was not implemented. A graphic and numeric presentation of the analysis is provided. The present value of the range of estimated cumulative losses is USS (1980) 1.9 billion to $3.1 billion.     

Recovering the production technology from the cost function

An alternative technique for recovering the technology from the cost function is investigated. The recovery method uses an optimization problem with a finite number of constraints that, under appropriate conditions, has, the equations of Shephard's lemma among the first order conditions. Hence, a justification is provided for the technique of recovering the production function from the cost function by solving the system of equations generated by Shephard's lemma. The alternative technique also recovers the output distance function from the cost function in the multioutput case.The editor for this paper was R. Robert Russell.     

E-logistics in China: basic problems, manageable concerns and intractable solutions

This paper examines the reality of issues surrounding e-commerce and logistics in China today. Interviews were conducted with government, business and academic leaders in a major Chinese coastal city. From these interviews, the magnitude of nine major e-commerce and logistics challenges was investigated. Based on the scope of the problems and the scale of potential solutions, the various issues are characterized as basic, manageable or intractable. Conclusions are made about the challenges to be found both today and in the future of e-commerce and logistics in China.