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This study investigates the mispricing of market‐wide investor sentiment by exploring the relation between sentiment and investor expectations of future earnings. Prior research argues that sentiment‐driven mispricing should be most pronounced for hard‐to‐value firms, such as those reporting losses (Baker and Wurgler 2006). Using investor expectations of future earnings, we provide empirical results consistent with this behavioral finance theory. We predict and find that investors perceive losses to be more (less) persistent during periods of low (high) sentiment; that (in contrast) investors perceive profit persistence to be lower (higher) during periods of low (high) sentiment; and that the effects appear stronger for loss firms relative to profit firms. We also document predictable cross‐sectional variation within losses (with the mispricing mitigated for losses associated with activities expected to generate future benefits), R&D, growth, large negative special items, and severe financial distress. Overall, our results document a new and important channel—investor expectations of future earnings—to explain sentiment‐driven mispricing. 相似文献
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Maximilian John Bettles Hall 《Journal of Financial Services Research》1999,15(3):211-242
Introduced in 1971 as a response to the intensification in competition in the deposit-taking sector induced by the adoption of a program of liberalization and globalization, the deposit insurance system in Japan has since undergone a number of significant changes to accommodate developments in the local financial sector. The pace of such reform accelerated markedly in recent years to help stabilize the Japanese financial system in the face of systemic risk, be it due to the failure of the housing loan companies (the jusen) or other major institutions, such as Yamaichi Securities and the city bank Hokkaido Takushoku Bank. The evolution of local deposit insurance arrangements to cope with such events is explained here and an assessment of the policy responses is provided. The part played by deposit insurance in alleviating the pressures currently experienced by the Japanese banking sector also is addressed. Finally, the extent to which the Japanese authorities have learned from the U.S. experience with deposit insurance is examined. 相似文献
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Asymmetric timeliness tests of accounting conservatism 总被引:6,自引:1,他引:6
J. Richard Dietrich Karl A. MullerIII Edward J. Riedl 《Review of Accounting Studies》2007,12(1):95-124
Recent accounting research employs an asymmetric timeliness measure to test the hypothesis that reported accounting earnings
are “conservative.” This research design regresses earnings on stock returns to examine whether “bad” news is incorporated
into earnings on a more timely basis than “good” news. We identify properties of the asymmetric timeliness estimation procedure
that will result in biases in the test statistics except under very restrictive conditions that are rarely met in typical
empirical settings. Using data series that are devoid of asymmetric timeliness in reported earnings, we show how these biases
result in evidence consistent with conservatism. We conclude that the biased test statistics inherent in the asymmetric timeliness
research design preclude using this method to measure conservatism; that these biases are irresolvable as they originate in
the test’s specification; and that studies employing asymmetric timeliness tests cannot be interpreted as providing evidence
of conservatism.
相似文献
Edward J. RiedlEmail: |
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The events surrounding the stock price peak of March 2000 are commonly interpreted as the bursting of a technology or Internet bubble, with some researchers pointing out that the pattern could also arise in fundamental models. We inform the debate by studying the long‐run performance of Internet and technology stocks from March 2000 onward. Using calendar‐time regressions, we do not find conclusive evidence of negative abnormal returns. The results are consistent with a new interpretation of the events; namely, the price drop of the early 2000s was not warranted in light of future cash flows and risk. 相似文献
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Maximilian Günnewig-Mönert;Ronan C. Lyons; 《Real Estate Economics》2024,52(4):1075-1102
This article examines the responsiveness of new housing supply to prices and costs, using the case of Ireland at quarterly frequency from the 1970s, as well as a county-level panel from the 1990s. Across four error-correction specifications, and supported by an instrumental variables approach, we find the estimated elasticity of new housing supply to prices of +0.9 in the baseline, while that of costs is larger in magnitude (−1.9). We present evidence that responsiveness to prices rose after the 1980s, then fell in the 2000s, before rising again and also that elasticities vary at the county level. 相似文献