西方文学商人形象的借鉴价值

本文对西方商人产生的社会条件及其他们所显示的人生价值，以及西方文学中商人典型形象进行分析，认为西方商人社会地位的确认是随着市场经济的成熟而获得提升的；研究市场经济的规律，创造性地发展与完善商业竞争中的“游戏规则”，是研究西方文学商人形象的宝贵鉴戒。     

股指期货对资产管理行业的影响——基于新兴古典经济学视角

本文从新兴古典经济学的视角探讨股指期货对中国资产管理行业的影响,以及股指期货对中国资本市场的结构性影响.从理论视角来看,基金业规模经济的实现途径是通过不断提高基金业的专业分工水平,增强基金业的生产力而实现.这种专业分工分为横向、纵向两种扩张.公募基金的投资管理能力横向扩张,指的是从传统的股票和债券市场延伸到金融衍生工具市场、实业投资等领域,投资能力纵向的分解,是将基金的收益分解为Alpha和Beta两部分.随着股指期货的推出,国内公募基金的投资管理沿横向、纵向的扩张,成为现实、具体的可能.投资策略的演变推动投资部门的变化,使投资策略经历再构造过程,形成Alpha和Beta的分离,并促进Beta产品、Alpha产品的深化发展.     

A look into the factor model black box: Publication lags and the role of hard and soft data in forecasting GDP

We derive forecast weights and uncertainty measures for assessing the roles of individual series in a dynamic factor model (DFM) for forecasting the euro area GDP from monthly indicators. The use of the Kalman smoother allows us to deal with publication lags when calculating the above measures. We find that surveys and financial data contain important information for the GDP forecasts beyond the monthly real activity measures. However, this is discovered only if their more timely publication is taken into account properly. Differences in publication lags play a very important role and should be considered in forecast evaluation.     

Conditional Dependence in Precious Metal Prices

This study investigates the time-series properties of gold and silver spot prices. Both precious metal price series are found to exhibit time dependence and pronounced generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (GARCH) effects. Splitting the data into similar economic subperiods provides superior explanation of these effects because of the observed long-run nonconstancy of the unconditional variance. Further, the power exponential distribution, as opposed to the Student-t, is found to portray accurately the thick-tailed conditional variance that remains after the GARCH effects are removed. These findings imply that constant variance pricing models are inappropriate for securities that are based on precious metal prices.     

Rate of Return Regulation: The Case of Spanish Ports

An original model is put forward in this article to explain and consider the behavior of some of the most important public services in Spain. The cost function approach and the input distance function approach are used to estimate the existence of overcapitalization as a result of rate of return regulation. The results show that overcapitalization generated by this regulation is too significant not to be taken into account.     

The role of Malawian local government in community development

The promotion of basic elements of good governance including community involvement through a decentralised local governance system has been at the centre stage since the advent of the multiparty democracy in Malawi in the 1990s. This article examines the role of Malawian local government in community development and analyses the context of community involvement in local governance. The article is primarily based on documentary research, which includes journal and newspaper articles, and interviews with senior district assembly officials and local people. The major conclusions drawn are that, firstly, the decentralisation process tends to feature the district assembly very highly, with little clarity on how community-based institutions are integrated into the local government system. Secondly, the political, socio-economic and administrative factors prevailing at the local level need to be addressed pragmatically for efficient and effective community participation in development.     

青藏铁路开通与西藏大发展——青藏铁路：西藏发展的助推器

2005年我国历史上最重要的一条铁路——青藏铁路全线贯通，2006年7月正式试运营。对于这样一条全世界都关注的铁路的建成和运营，将对西藏的经济社会发展产生什么影响？我们应该选择什么样的应对策略，是值得认真研究的大课题。为此，本期封面文章全力推出专题：青藏铁路开通与西藏大发展。本刊特邀《西藏人口发展战略研究》课题组专家学者，力图从西藏的社会、文化、经济各个方面作一深入探讨，为各级政府决策提供科学建议，为西藏的发展建言献策。[编者按]     

组建社区银行应对基层信贷服务缺失的思考

本文介绍了社区银行的概念、经营特点及其在社区金融服务领域的比较优势,提出应该组建社区银行来应对目前存在的基层信贷服务缺失,并探讨了社区银行的组建方式以及在组建和发展过程中应该注意的问题。     

Inflation targeting in an import dependent indebted economy

This paper develops a one-sector Kaleckian model of an import dependent indebted small open economy; where the mark-up rate is sensitive to both changes in the interest rate and the exchange rate and foreigners provide part of the long-term finance. The short-run consequences of an inflation targeting policy in the form of high interest rates and strong domestic currency are explored. Among the possible short-run scenarios, the one most relevant for developing countries involves a decline in the profit rate, the capacity utilization rate and the rate of accumulation as well as the employment rate and the real wage. Leverage ratio of the firms and the extent of external indebtedness play an important role in bringing about this result. Long-run analysis reveals that this scenario is associated with instability in the long run and that, also in the long run, the extent of foreign indebtedness and the responsiveness of capital inflows to the return on existing portfolios are important in determining the direction of the effects of inflation targeting on the equilibrium debt–capital ratio.