False Discoveries und Fehlinterpretationen wissenschaftlicher Ergebnisse

High-quality science communication to the public depends to a large extent on the way research findings are translated into comprehensible language and common speech. In this communicative process, a reasonable evaluation of the trustworthiness of empirical findings, based on an adequate interpretation of statistical analyses, is absolutely crucial. This paper’s authors argue that the credibility of science is jeopardised by two compromising developments within science itself: on the one hand, an inflation of ostensible empirical evidence related to misuses and misinterpretations of the concept of statistical significance, and, on the other, a sensationalist overvaluation of the results of single studies instead of an adequate representation of the available body of evidence in a given scientific field.     

The European Monetary System five years on: Achievements and prospects

The record of the European Monetary System at the five-year mark is rather a disappointment for the System’s advocates. Has the “EMS experiment” failed? Or is there potential for developing the System further to the advantage of all member countries?     

Investment planning under uncertainty and flexibility: the case of a purchasable sales contract*

Investment decisions are not only characterised by irreversibility and uncertainty but also by flexibility with regard to the timing of the investment. This paper describes how stochastic simulation can be successfully integrated into a backward recursive programming approach in the context of flexible investment planning. We apply this hybrid approach to a marketing question from primary production which can be viewed as an investment problem: should grain farmers purchase sales contracts which guarantee fixed product prices over the next 10 years? The model results support the conclusion from dynamic investment theory that it is essential to take simultaneously account of uncertainty and flexibility.     

Verbraucherpolitische Probleme bei der Anwendung des Gesetzes zur Regelung des Rechts der Allgemeinen Geschäftsbedingungen (AGBG). Zugleich eine Würdigung neu erschienener Erläuterungsliteratur

Zusammenfassung Der Beitrag untersucht den Schutzzweck des neuen AGB-Gesetzes anhand der Entstehungsgeschichte des Gesetzes. Er weist darauf hin, daß in der neuen Kommentarliteratur der verbraucherpolitische Schutzzweck nur unzureichend reflektiert wird. Dies zeigt sich insbesondere an der Auslegung des gesetzlichen Zentralbegriffs der »Allgemeinen Geschäftsbedingung« und an seiner Ausnahme, den »im einzelnen ausgehandelten« Bedingungen. Hier ist nach Meinung des Autors eine Differenzierung in Geschäftsbedingungen zwischen Unternehmen einerseits und im Verhältnis Unternehmen-Verbraucher (Nichtkaufleute) andererseits erforderlich. Schließlich wird auf Probleme der Verbandsklage eingegangen.

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On the difficulties of protecting the consumer by means of the new german law on standard terms of contract (ABGB)

The paper analyses the attempts made in this Law to increase the protection of the consumer against unfair contract clauses. It reviews recent legal writings which have tried to evaluate the substance and scope of the protection provided by the Law. It is maintained that in these writings, the aims of the legislation are not examined at sufficient depth. Criticism is levelled especially against the way in which the concept standard contract term has been expounded.The author argues that standard contract terms have to be given different interpretations depending upon whether contracts are made between an enterprise and consumers or between two enterprises. In the first case (enterprise-consumer) a wide definition of standard contract terms should be applied in order for the courts to be able to deal with most consumer contracts. In particular, the author opposes the notion of individually negotiated contracts in Art. 1 § 2, which by literal interpretation would provide loopholes enabling enterprises to evade the law. In the second case (enterprise-enterprise), one should pay attention to the distribution of market power; the more powerful an enterprise in relation to the contract partner, the greater the need for legal control of contract terms.The paper also contains a commentary on the legal procedure of collective action (Verbandsklage) whereby consumer organizations can protest against unfair standard form contracts; some first practical experiences with the procedure are mentioned.

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Norbert Reich ist Professor für Rechtswissenschaft an der Hochschule für Wirtschaft und Politik, 2000 Hamburg 13, Von-Melle-Park 9.