凯恩斯货币与通货膨胀理论的演进及启示

学术界对凯恩斯经济学的探索往往止步于其萧条经济方面,缺乏对凯恩斯货币与通货膨胀理论深入的探讨,致使出现对相关理论认识不清和盲目运用的现象。研究发现,凯恩斯对于通货膨胀的原因判断、发展研究和利弊分析,都有深刻的理论前瞻性。应辩证地分析和运用其货币与通货膨胀理论。     

中国经济增长与金融中介关系的计量分析

文章以国家统计局发布的1978—2007年统计数据为基础,运用计量经济学中GrangerCausality因果关系检验法和回归分析法对中国经济增长与金融中介之间的关系进行了实证研究。结果表明：中国经济增长与金融中介之间存在双向明显的因果关系。1978—2007年,金融中介对中国经济增长的贡献率约为25．43％,表明金融中介在一定程度上促进了中国经济的增长。     

国外国有控股公司董事会制度比较研究及对我国的启示

国外控股公司董事会和国有控股公司董事会在公司治理中居于核心地位。我国应借鉴其有益的制度经验建立适合我国国有控股公司运营发展需要的董事会制度,建立科学合理的控股公司董事会内部构架,完善国有控股公司董事的提名制度,提高董事的素质,为国有控股公司董事会科学决策奠定基础。     

Blending package shape with the gender dimension of brand image: How and why?

We investigate the congruence of brand image and package shape on product preferences, the moderating role of a creative mindset, and the underlying processes. Across four studies, we show that consumers generally prefer products with curved-shaped (versus angular-shaped) packaging for a “feminine” brand and prefer products with angular-shaped (versus curved-shaped) packaging for a “masculine” brand (Study 1a). This effect is mediated by the perceived congruence between brand image and package shape (Study 1b). We further demonstrate that the congruence effect is reversed when consumers adopt a creative (versus less creative) mindset (Study 2), since a creative mindset leads consumers to perceive curved-shaped packaging as more congruent with a masculine (versus feminine) brand and angular-shaped packaging as more congruent with a feminine (versus masculine) brand (Study 3).     

How the Internet Promotes China's Exports: A Firm‐level Perspective

The development of information and communications technology (ICT), particularly the Internet, has reduced trade costs. However, it remains unclear whether these reduced costs are reflected in the “extensive margins” of firms’ exports (which refer to the probability of firms exporting) or the “intensive margins” (which refer to the value of firms’ export). To test this, we used the concepts of information cost and binary margins, an augmented trade model of firm heterogeneity, a two‐stage Heckman estimation, and data from the World Bank Enterprise Survey of Chinese firms in 2012. The results revealed that reduced trade costs from the use of ICT were positively related to extensive margins but that the connection with intensive margins was not significant. The results lead to the conclusion that reduced information costs related to a firm's exporting behavior were primarily reflected in variable trade costs. This study offers theoretical and empirical evidence for China's policies towards the Internet, which are relevant for the export of manufactured goods. The government should encourage the use of ICT to enhance firms’ export opportunities while facing current trade policy uncertainty.     

The role of top management team diversity in shaping the performance of business model innovation: a threshold effect

Business model innovation is one of the firm’s most important strategic decisions. Top management team (TMT), as the critical decision-makers, has essential influence upon such decisions. However, the role of TMT diversity in shaping the performance of business model innovation is less explored in the literature. Based on a sample dataset of 906 observations of small and medium enterprises from China Startups Stock Market during the period of 2009–2011, we find that TMT diversity exhibits a significant threshold effect on the relationship between business model innovation (in terms of novelty-centred and efficiency-centred business model) and firm performance. More specifically, when TMT functional diversity arrives at a certain level, the positive relationship between novelty-centred business model and firm performance becomes more pronounced. On the other hand, the positive relationship between efficiency-centred business model innovation and firm performance will be more significant when TMT tenure diversity increases to a certain level.     

短肢剪力墙结构设计分析

文章介绍了短肢剪力墙结构体系设计的一般规定,包括短肢剪力墙的形状区分、最大适用高度、布置原则及构件设计要点等.同时介绍了可计算短肢剪力墙体系的软件SATWE,供同行参考.     

税制改革应整体推进

近30年来,与整个市场化取向的改革相适应,税制作为各方利益调整的载体,进行了若干次改革,但每次改革离预想的或希望达到的目标都存有一定的差距。本文认为,税制改革是个综合性的改革,如单科独进,必将导致税制实施效果与理论设计初衷的严重背离。因此,增强未来税制改革效果的基本出路是:整体推进并注重相关改革的配套进行。     

减排与增长:服务业如何实现绿色均衡发展?

服务业是中国经济转型和产业结构升级的重要抓手,在资源与环境"双重"约束日益趋紧的背景下,有必要研究服务业绿色发展问题。能否在减排成本最小的前提下提高服务业增长率,走出一条绿色发展路径?为此,文章创新性地将排放权交易市场引入服务业部门,采用方向性距离函数、非线性规划等实证研究方法测算2004-2012年中国服务业14个细分行业的绿色效率和碳排放影子价格。研究表明:中国服务业发展方式并非"绿色",服务业减排成本和碳排放量逐年增长,减排面临巨大的经济压力;在文章设计的排放权交易模型下,服务业细分行业能够形成一个统一的影子价格,从而实现一条绿色发展路径,该路径满足帕累托有效和投入产出技术有效;在均衡路径上,流通服务业应出售排放权,而其他减排成本较高的服务业购买排放权。     

Market Reaction to Seasoned Offerings in China

This study examines stock market reaction to the announcement of various forms of seasoned issues in China. Our empirical evidence demonstrates that market reactions differ in ways that suggest a difference between management's internal assessment and the market's assessment of the stock price. The market responds unfavourably to the announcement, notably in the case of rights issues and also with regard to open offers. Private placements experience an unfavourable pre‐announcement reaction, which contrasts with the favourable reaction after the event. Convertible bond issues generate positive excess returns consistent with the market's confidence that they can help to align management and shareholders’ interests. Further investigation shows that market reaction is related to factors specific to the issuer and issue by reference to the period immediately surrounding the issue. Specifically, ownership concentration, agency matters connected with equity offerings, investor protection connected with fund allocation and security pricing, and the influence of powerful moneyed interests together provide an instructive insight into market reaction. Institutional inefficiency pertaining to underwriting, auditing, analysts’ forecasts and credit ratings are found to have a weak association with market price, consistent with due public scepticism concerning management and their gatekeepers.