PENN SQUARE,PROBLEM LOANS,AND INSOLVENCY RISK

This paper investigates the influence of the failure of Penn Square Bank of Oklahoma City on stock prices within the banking industry. This influence is compared to the results of previous studies of the failures of Franklin National Bank of New York and United States National Bank of San Diego. While each of these earlier studies finds only a transitory impact on bank securities, this paper finds evidence of a structural change in the pricing mechanism for bank stocks after the Penn Square failure.     

THE INFLUENCE OF OFFERING YIELD ON UNDERWRITING SPREAD

This paper presents a model that explains variation in underwriting spreads among primary issues of investment quality bonds and assesses the impact that offering yields have on underwriting spreads. The results indicate that issues having higher (lower) offering yields pay lower (higher) underwriting spreads.     

Program context antecedents of attitude toward radio commercials

A theoretical model of program context effects on attitude toward the ad (Aad) is developed and tested. Involvement in and liking for a program are shown to exert a positive influence on both claim and nonclaim components of Aad by enhancing commercial-processing motivation. Additional analyses replicate earlier findings that Aad mediates program influence on brand attitude and identify claim strength, appeal of nonclaim factors, and number of exposures as moderators of program effects on Aad. His research has appeared in theJournal of Consumer Research, Journal of Advertising, andJournal of Economic Psychology. He has published previously in theJournal of Economic Psychology. He is the author of articles appearing in theJournal of Consumer Research, Journal of International Consumer Marketing, Journal of Direct Marketing, andEDI Forum.     

Sarcoidosis: a review

Sarcoidosis is a systemic inflammatory disorder characterized by non-caseating granulomas found in the lung, lymphatic systems, and potentially in a host of other tissues and organs. Despite intriguing hints of infectious or environmental etiology, causation remains a mystery. The diagnosis, therefore, requires demonstration of granulomatous inflammation in more than one organ and exclusion of any of the known causes of granulomatous disease or local sarcoid reaction. Clinicians and underwriters alike frequently forget the latter requirement. For this reason, the other causes of granulomatous inflammation will be included in this treatise. Although the vast majority of applicants with sarcoidosis exhibit limited or remitting disease, the remaining applicants represent increased risk of both morbidity and mortality. This paper reviews the relevant clinical, radiographic, and laboratory findings that may help identify those applicants with increased or prohibitive risk for life or disability insurance.     

Between debt and the devil: beyond the normalization delusion

Since 2008, we have found it incredibly difficult to achieve adequate nominal demand growth. I think a fundamental reason we found it so difficult focuses on debt overhangs, if we first allow private leverage to grow too high, we end up in a situation where the debt doesn’t go away, it just moves around the global economy. Total global debt to global GDP is now higher than it ever was before. When interest rates are already low, further reductions of interest rates have very little influence on investment and consumption. Ultra-loose monetary policy does produce increases in asset prices. But if that’s driving an increase in inequality on top of slow growth of real wages. There has been inadequate focus in economics on the different functions that credit creation plays within the economy. We have to think about control of the credit cycle as an end, per se. Our orthodoxy before the crisis was that private credit and money creation is just fine. We have to understand that both governments can fail and be dangerous, and that markets can fail and be dangerous.