税制变革、人口增长及其对中国历史演进的长期影响——基于“两税法”前后的考察

正确认识中国历史上的人口增长对理解中国经济与社会的长期变迁具有十分重要的意义.文章使用现代经济学的分析方法对中国历史上税制变革的人口效应及其长期影响进行了分析.研究表明,不但税额的变化对人口增长有很重要的影响,而且税制结构的变化也是影响人口数量的一个重要因素:(1)当税额给定时,丁税占比与长期人口水平负相关,与稳态人均产出以及稳态家庭收入正相关;(2)当税收结构给定时,税额与长期人口水平负相关,与稳态人均产出正相关,对家庭收入的长期影响则取决于丁税占比和劳动产出弹性的大小.结合历史上赋役变化的具体情况,我们预测两税法以来的税制变革倾向于释放更多的人口,并引起劳动生产率的长期下降,但是,稳态人口水平的提高却为两宋以后王朝寿命的延长提供了经济基础.文章对于分析当代税收的长期经济效应以及研究税收调整和税制改革也具有一定的启示.     

Timing decisions of new product preannouncement and launch with competition

We develop a game-theoretic model to study the timing of new product preannouncement and launch under competition. We derive firms’ optimal timing choices and conducted a numerical analysis to evaluate the role of various factors. Our analytical and numerical results showed that anticipated competitor’s timing choices are the most significant factors. A firm should not preannounce early unless the preannouncement is effective in creating pent-up demands. However, the preannouncement and launch should be rushed if the quality or profit margin of the new product is high, and postponed if the market share of the existing product is high. The market leader should preannounce earlier in a simultaneous game than in a sequential game, but the opposite for the market follower. Data collected from the microprocessor industry validated our model.     

承包商创收策略研究——基于一次、二次、三次经营视角

在我国建筑市场竞争激烈的情境下,业主普遍倾向于将风险交由承包商承担,这就使得承包商的被动地位越为明显.在此情况下,承包商的利润空间较低.为提升承包商利润,本文提出三次经营的模式,建立基于信任型合作关系的承包商创收体系.在项目各参与方共赢的理念下,实现承包商的创收和永续发展.     

Intercorporate Ownership,Taxes, and Corporate Payout Choices*

This paper examines whether corporate payout choices (dividends or share repurchases) are associated with intercorporate ownership in a firm. Using the System for Electronic Document Analysis and Retrieval (SEDAR) and the Inter‐Corporate Ownership (ICO) database from Statistics Canada, I find that intercorporate ownership is positively associated with a firm’s propensity to pay dividends and negatively associated with a firm’s propensity to repurchase shares. The findings are robust to the endogeneity of intercorporate ownership and the inclusion of various control variables such as firm size, risk, liquidity, growth, and profitability.     

基于专业质量保障体系的德育为先与创新策略——以高职专业人才培养为例

党的教育方针把德育放在学生全面发展的领先地位,"德育为先"在理论与实践中被证明是正确的。针对传统德育工作存在的淡化僵化等不足,必须重点推行"三个转变",构建"全体性、全程化、全方位"德育为先体系,在坚持高职专业质量"德育为先"原则的同时,更应重视德育思路与方式的创新。     

上海市总部集群建设与区域创新发展

上海依托其金融、贸易、航运的中心地位,吸引大量的跨国公司总部进驻。近10来年,上海的总部经济规模迅速扩大,形成几个特大规模的总部经济集聚区,但其总部经济的发展也存在较大的问题,总部集群的要素集聚度低,总部集群的创新水平低,总部集群创新环境较差等问题。建设好上海的总部经济有其重要的现实意义,我们应大力提高总部经济的自主创新能力、促进创新环境的建设、构建创新要素的网络结构等。     

Is time-variant information stickiness state-dependent?

This paper estimates information stickiness with regard to inflation expectations in the United States and the Eurozone for the 1981/06–2015/12 and 1998/Q4–2015/Q2 periods, respectively, and further investigates whether such information stickiness is state-dependent. Based on a bootstrap sub-sample rolling-window estimation, we find that information stickiness varies over time, which contradicts the strict time dependency implied under sticky-information theory. We provide evidence that information stickiness depends on inflation volatility, which indicates that information stickiness is state-dependent and that it has a time trend. Using a threshold model, we estimate structural changes in the state-dependence and time-trend of information stickiness. The results show that information stickiness has been more dependent on inflation volatility and has had a higher time-trend in both regions following the 2008 financial crisis.     

数字图书馆防盗链设计以及实现研究

数字资源的拥有者应该设计图书馆数字资源的防盗链方案,提升数字图书馆的防盗链能力。本文通过对数字图书馆的了解,进行数字图书馆防盗链设计的研究。     

浅议建筑给排水实验教学的研究意义

文章通过跟踪调查实际教学中的《建筑给排水》课程,研究和寻找建筑专业课程在探究型教学模式下的应用和效果,对教学中的问题进行分析,提出适合专业教学的方法,并就如何更加完善《建筑给排水》的教学模式进行讨论。