How Do Institutional Investors Affect Corporate Performance? Evidence from Private Placements in China

Using data on private placements in China from 2007 to 2014, we show that abnormal returns of issuing companies’ stocks are significantly positive on the announcement day, but they become significantly negative during the event window [?20, +20]. Participation by institutional investors has a significant and negative impact on the short-term stock returns. This negative effect is also present in issuing companies’ long-term stock returns and profitability. Furthermore, we find that participation by institutional investors reduces dividend payments after private placements. Overall, our findings do not support the monitoring hypothesis of institutional investors’ role in corporate finance but are consistent with the management entrenchment hypothesis and shareholder pessimism hypothesis.     

Steward Effects of Target Founder-CEO in Takeovers

Built upon the agency theory and the stewardship theory, this study examines the mergers and acquisitions (M&A) activities among Chinese publicly listed firms. Using a founder-CEO indicator, we separate steward effects from agency effects, and find that Chinese firms’ M&A activities are significantly influenced by the steward factors after controlling for the agency factors. Firms, of which CEO is a founder, enjoy relatively higher premium during M&A. Further investigation reveals that the steward effects vary in the power of CEO. The results show that steward effect is reinforced when founder-CEO is more powerful.     

精准扶贫背景下农村资金投入与农民收入增长研究

本文采用时间序列数据对财政支农支出与农民收入之间的关系进行了实证研究。 结果显示财政支农资金对农村居民收入产生了显著的正面影响;财政支农结构中,支援农业生 产支出对农民收入的影响最大,然后依次是农业基本建设支出和农村救济费,而农业科技三项 费用对农民收入的影响不显著。综合考虑财政对三农、教育、健康的投入的研究结果显示,国 家在健康方面的投入对农村居民纯收入的正面影响最大,其次是对“三农”的支出,农村居民 的受教育水平对农村居民的纯收入的影响为负,但对农村居民的经营性纯收入和工资性纯收入 的影响为正。在此基础上,结合国家精准扶贫背景,本文建议应继续加大财政对“三农”的支 持力度,同时重视对农村健康和教育方面的投资,在健康与教育之间,应该优先选择提升农村 居民的健康水平。     

资本结构研究之动态权衡理论新证据

本文研究了井购交易对中国主并公司资本结构的影响,以检验关于动态权衡理论的假设.针对2000-2010年发生的158宗并购交易,通过托宾模型预测了主并公司在并购发生前后的最优杠杆率,并在此基础上研究了并购对杠杆率偏差的影响.结果显示,主并公司在并购前存在着资本结构对于最优值的偏差;主并公司运用并购来矫正该偏差,由于矫正过度,它们在并购交易完成后的长期内继续消除这种偏差.基于对经典研究方法的三点改进,本文结果显著支持动态权衡理论,并且比先前的研究更加符合经验证据.稳健性检验揭示,中国上市公司在资本结构方面的行为模式与美国上市公司高度一致.     

外资风险投资在中国内地投资影响因素研究

借用国际生产折衷理论,并结合不确定性理论研究影响外资风险投资决策的因素,结果发现:当中国内地与投资国(地区)的创业水平越高、文化差异越小时,外资风险投资的投资可能性越高;创业水平越高,投资规模和数量越大;文化差异越大,外资风险投资的数量越多.本文建议进一步改善中国内地创业环境,以更多地吸引外资风险投资,提高企业创新动力,推进优质企业国际化.     

税制变革、人口增长及其对中国历史演进的长期影响——基于“两税法”前后的考察

正确认识中国历史上的人口增长对理解中国经济与社会的长期变迁具有十分重要的意义.文章使用现代经济学的分析方法对中国历史上税制变革的人口效应及其长期影响进行了分析.研究表明,不但税额的变化对人口增长有很重要的影响,而且税制结构的变化也是影响人口数量的一个重要因素:(1)当税额给定时,丁税占比与长期人口水平负相关,与稳态人均产出以及稳态家庭收入正相关;(2)当税收结构给定时,税额与长期人口水平负相关,与稳态人均产出正相关,对家庭收入的长期影响则取决于丁税占比和劳动产出弹性的大小.结合历史上赋役变化的具体情况,我们预测两税法以来的税制变革倾向于释放更多的人口,并引起劳动生产率的长期下降,但是,稳态人口水平的提高却为两宋以后王朝寿命的延长提供了经济基础.文章对于分析当代税收的长期经济效应以及研究税收调整和税制改革也具有一定的启示.     

Timing decisions of new product preannouncement and launch with competition

We develop a game-theoretic model to study the timing of new product preannouncement and launch under competition. We derive firms’ optimal timing choices and conducted a numerical analysis to evaluate the role of various factors. Our analytical and numerical results showed that anticipated competitor’s timing choices are the most significant factors. A firm should not preannounce early unless the preannouncement is effective in creating pent-up demands. However, the preannouncement and launch should be rushed if the quality or profit margin of the new product is high, and postponed if the market share of the existing product is high. The market leader should preannounce earlier in a simultaneous game than in a sequential game, but the opposite for the market follower. Data collected from the microprocessor industry validated our model.     

承包商创收策略研究——基于一次、二次、三次经营视角

在我国建筑市场竞争激烈的情境下,业主普遍倾向于将风险交由承包商承担,这就使得承包商的被动地位越为明显.在此情况下,承包商的利润空间较低.为提升承包商利润,本文提出三次经营的模式,建立基于信任型合作关系的承包商创收体系.在项目各参与方共赢的理念下,实现承包商的创收和永续发展.     

Intercorporate Ownership,Taxes, and Corporate Payout Choices*

This paper examines whether corporate payout choices (dividends or share repurchases) are associated with intercorporate ownership in a firm. Using the System for Electronic Document Analysis and Retrieval (SEDAR) and the Inter‐Corporate Ownership (ICO) database from Statistics Canada, I find that intercorporate ownership is positively associated with a firm’s propensity to pay dividends and negatively associated with a firm’s propensity to repurchase shares. The findings are robust to the endogeneity of intercorporate ownership and the inclusion of various control variables such as firm size, risk, liquidity, growth, and profitability.