休闲位置消费的经济分析及对策研究

争名与逐利一样都是人的经济本性,因而位置消费现象在休闲消费领域也同样存在。运用经济学的相关理论对休闲消费中的位置消费行为进行分析发现:该行为既无法使休闲消费资源达到帕累托最优状态,也不能使人们从休闲消费中获得最大效用,且个人休闲位置消费的理性选择还会导致集体消费的非理性结果。因此,政府应加强引导,采取有效措施降低位置消费的负面影响,促进休闲经济健康发展。     

山区公路交通流特性分析与评价

首先由观测数据确定代表车型的运行速度,采用实际路段调查得到的运行速度作为评价指标,分析山区公路的交通流运行状况,然后通过实地调查采集山区公路典型断面的交通流数据,统计交通量、交通组成以及不同车型运行速度的分布情况,并通过分析交通组成以及车速连贯性和离散性等直接影响道路交通安全的因素,对事故多发路段的交通流运行状态特征进行分析和评价。最后,选取京昆高速公路某典型路段,对该路段的交通流特性进行分析与评价,可为相关工作人员提供借鉴和帮助。     

冬季油田压裂供水技术的研究及应用

石油是现代工业的“血液”,是国家生存和发展不可或缺的战略资源,对保障国家经济和社会发展以及国防安全有着不可估量的作用。油田钻井开发工程中的体积压裂技术在低渗透油田的开发中有着显著的增产效果,压裂供水是压裂作业的重要组成部分。我国西北地区冬季气候寒冷,为保障压裂作业在冬季正常开展,冬季的压裂供水研究和应用,对油田钻井开发具有重要的意义。     

加快边疆城市城镇化建设路径研究

推进以人为核心的新型城镇化建设是落实党中央精神的重要举措。加快边疆城市城镇化建设是协调区域发展、平衡东西部差距的重要任务。通过完善空间结构、修复城市生态、完善城市功能、加强历史文物保护、塑造城市风貌、推进城市改造等多种方式提升城市成长空间,为城市带动周边乡镇融合发展奠定坚实基础。     

法典化目标下税法总则立法的三个问题

《民法典》开启了中国特色社会主义法治的法典化时代。法典化研究在多个法律领域都取得了进展和成果。随着税收法定原则加快落实,以税法总则为龙头的税法法典化被提上日程。税法法典化是历史的、逻辑的和现实的统一。其不仅是中国特色社会主义法治进程的重要组成部分,也符合近代历史以来世界法典化的普遍性规律。在法典化目标下,税法总则作为法典总则法、纳税人权利平衡法、税收行政行为规范法,又决定了其立法逻辑上有需要解决的一系列特殊问题。在此基础上,税法总则应构建税法原则、纳税人保护、纳税义务、税务行政规范制定与解释等支柱性制度。     

科技金融投入、技术创新与产业结构升级

科技金融投入对产业结构优化升级具有重要影响作用。本文基于2011~2019年的省际面板数据,使用固定效应模型对中国30个省份进行实证分析,并使用工具变量解决内生性问题。研究结果表明,科技金融投入对产业结构的影响呈现"倒U型"的非线性特征;从作用机制来看,科技金融投入影响技术创新进而作用于产业结构升级;从地区上来看,科技金融投入对产业结构升级的影响在东部地区表现明显,中、西部地区作用不明显。据此,提出加快完善科技金融制度、完善多层次资本市场体系、注重高技术人才的培养、平衡地区发展等政策建议。     

Earnings management by firms announcing earnings after SEC filing

This study examines motivation and stock market reactions of firms announcing earnings in the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) after filing with the Security Exchange Commission (SEC). Most firms announce earnings in the WSJ before SEC filing. Firms that reverse this sequence are voluntarily delaying public earnings announcements. The authors find that these firms are not only poor financial performers but also engage in earnings managements. They are delaying their WSJ announcements to postpone announcing bad news. The authors find significant stock price reactions to both the SEC filing and the WSJ announcement. The price reaction to earnings is incomplete at the SEC filings. The market continues reacting to firms' subsequent WSJ announcements as if the SEC filing fails to communicate earnings information to some investors.     

民族文化生态旅游可持续发展水平的测度研究——以四川省为例

本文以四川省为例对民族文化生态旅游可持续发展的评价问题进行了实证研究，通过因子分析确定了三个主导因素．并综合模糊二元对比决策方法．提出了建立模糊因子分析模型的思想，丰富了定量研究该问题的可操作性方法。     

Tofacitinib in the treatment of moderate-to-severe rheumatoid arthritis: a cost-effectiveness analysis compared with adalimumab in Taiwan

Aims: Tofacitinib is an oral Janus kinase inhibitor for the treatment of rheumatoid arthritis (RA). This analysis investigated the cost-effectiveness of the second-line treatment with tofacitinib, compared with adalimumab, both plus methotrexate (MTX), in patients with moderate-to-severe RA and an inadequate response to the first-line MTX, from a Taiwan National Health Insurance Administration perspective.

Materials and methods: A patient-level simulation model was used to project lifetime costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). Base-case analysis compared second-line treatment with tofacitinib 5?mg twice daily plus MTX vs adalimumab 40?mg every 2?weeks plus MTX. Patients switched or discontinued treatment due to a lack or loss of effectiveness or a serious adverse event. Efficacy was measured by change in Health Assessment Questionnaire-Disability Index (HAQ-DI) score. HAQ-DI scores were used to predict mortality and resource utilization, and were mapped onto utility values to estimate QALYs. Efficacy and safety data were derived from clinical trials and other secondary sources. Uncertainty in model parameters was explored using one-way deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.

Results: Patients gained 0.09 more QALYs with second-line tofacitinib plus MTX compared with adalimumab plus MTX (5.13 vs 5.04, respectively) at an additional cost of New Taiwan Dollars (NT$) 12,881. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was NT$143,122/QALY. One-way sensitivity analysis confirmed the base-case result was robust.

Limitations: The lack of available clinical data, particularly for HAQ-DI scores, may introduce some bias in the analysis. No patients were in an early stage of RA, which may limit the generalizability of these results. Base-case results from our study are not necessarily generalizable to countries with healthcare systems that differ considerably from Taiwan.

Conclusions: From a payer perspective, second-line treatment with tofacitinib plus MTX is a cost-effective treatment strategy, compared with adalimumab plus MTX, in patients with moderate-to-severe RA in Taiwan.

Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT00853385.     

关于我国财政政策导向调整的研究

近年来我国实施的积极财政政策确实在很大程度上促进了经济和社会的发展。但是随着经济市场化程度的不断提高和经济环境的变化，这种积极财政政策也表现出诸多的不适应性。因此应适时调整财政政策导向以适应经济和社会发展的新要求。拟从我国近年来实施的积极财政政策的成效分析出发，阐述了当前调整财政政策导向的必然性，并提出了今后我国财政政策的调整方向。