Factors influencing cultural event tourism in Nelson Mandela Bay,South Africa

ABSTRACT

Cultural tourism has established a market share of approximately 20% in the tourism sector globally. In addition, it fosters socio-economic benefits for a destination and its residents. This study explores residents’ attitudes towards cultural events in Nelson Mandela Bay (NMB), South Africa, to enhance the destination image and induce stakeholder engagement. In this study, 3659 residents of NMB either completed an online questionnaire or a face-to-face interview. The results indicate that the residents of NMB have a positive attitude to cultural events. Notably, the demographic profile of the respondents is representative of the country and may be transferred to a national level to assist the South African tourism industry. The findings clarify insights to the market needs and cultural differences that may be used to tailor unique selling propositions in culturally diverse destinations.     

Demand for dairy products in the EU

In the EU dairy sector, given the remaining high protective tariffs and the quota system, the main factor that drives dairy product market prices is the demand. This paper evaluates the development of demand in the EU and presents estimates of consumption trends and forecasts for the future as well as estimates of elasticity with respect to prices and income in two major EU consumer countries: France and Italy. We use two methods to estimate the development of demand for dairy products, one based on a multi-stage demand system and another based on a single trend equation. The two methods generally lead to the same qualitative results but trend projections are larger using the demand system approach which is based on a shorter data period. This difference is thus partly explained by the fact that high trend projections are not sustainable over a long period. The results show a decreasing consumption of butter and fluid milk and an overall growth in protein and fat consumption. Nevertheless, the increase in fat consumption should be more moderate than the consumption of protein. The results also show that the demand for dairy products is relatively price inelastic but is more sensitive to changes in income (especially for butter and cheese categories). As shown by the use of a partial equilibrium model of dairy markets, the likely impact of the CAP reform strongly depends on the development of demand for dairy products in the EU. More research effort on demand analysis is therefore crucial in order to assess the impact of reforms or trade negotiations more accurately and effectively.     

A Model of Competing Jurisdictions with Locally Polluting Environments and Mobile Populations

In this model we consider a federation consisting oftwo geographically separated Regional states withlocal taxing authority. The residents of thefederation are identical in preferences and haveexplicit tolerance to pollution. Pollution is local innature and is a by-product of production implying amore highly populated region would generate morepollution. Local authorities in the regions can andwill (in the interest of local residents) engage ingame theoretical taxation strategies. The model isused to illustrate that Nash Equilibrium can resultwherein the two regions have different levels ofenvironmental quality. The resulting Nash conditionsimply for instance that residents of the ``cleanregion' will subsidize those in the other region tostay in the more polluted environment (in order foreach to accomplish their preferred consumption andenvironmental quality pair).     

Will AI ever sit at the C-suite table? The future of senior leadership

As the sophistication of artificial intelligence (AI) systems develop and AI becomes a key element of organizational strategy across a wide spectrum of industries, new demands are being placed on senior leaders. To understand the growing challenges leaders will face in the age of AI, we conducted interviews with 33 senior leaders in several countries across a wide range of industries. Our research highlights key capabilities and skills that leaders will require. Underlying these capabilities is a mindset oriented toward continuous learning and self-development, which will enable ongoing and rapid adaptation to change. Our findings identified the following key capabilities: digital know-how, data-driven focus, networking, ethics, and agility. To successfully navigate the coming era, senior leaders will need to focus on reskilling the workforce, recruiting and retaining highly skilled talent, building an intrapreneurial culture, and managing unprecedented changes in technologies and the nature of work.     

CURRENCY UNION WITH OR WITHOUT BANKING UNION

We build a symmetric two‐country monetary model with credit to study the interplay between currency integration and credit markets integration. The currency arrangement affects credit availability through default incentives. We capture credit markets integration by the extra cost incurred to obtain credit for cross‐border transactions and, with the euro area context in mind, label as banking union a situation where this cost is low. For high levels of the cross‐border credit cost, currency integration may magnify default incentives, leading to more credit rationing and lower welfare. The integration of credit markets restores the optimality of the currency union.     

Short interval forecasting of emergency phone call (911) work loads

There has been an increasing emphasis over the last 5 to 10 years to improve productivity in the Service Sector of the U.S. economy. Much of the improvement obtained by these managers has come about through better scheduling of the work force in these organizations. Effective scheduling of this personnel requires good estimates of demand, which may exhibit substantial variations between days for certain times of the year. The Indianapolis Police Department (IPD) Communications area is one such organization that exhibits varying workloads and is interested in improving staff scheduling of dispatch operators.This article explores the use of six different forecasting techniques for predicting daily emergency call workloads for the IPD's communications area. Historical call volume data are used to estimate the model parameters. A hold-out sample of five months compares forecasts and actual daily call levels. The forecast system utilizes a rolling horizon approach, where daily forecasts are made for the coming month from the end of the prior month. The forecast origin is then advanced to the end of the month, where the current month's actual call data are added to the historical database, new parameters are estimated, and then the next month's daily estimates are generated. Error measures of residual standard deviation, mean absolute percent error, and bias are used to measure performance. Statistical analyses are conducted to evaluate if significant differences in performance are present among the six models.The research presented in this article indicates that there are clearly significant differences in performance for the six models analyzed. These models were tailored to the specific structure and this work suggests that the short interval forecasting problems faced by many service organizations has several structural differences compared to the typical manufacturing firm in a made-to-stock environment. The results also suggests two other points. First, simple modeling approaches can perform well in complex environments that are present in many service organizations. Second, special tailoring of the forecasting model is necessary for many service firms. Historical data patterns for these organizations tend to be more complex than just trend and seasonal elements, which are normally tracked in smoothing models. These are important conclusions for both managers of operating systems and staff analysts supporting these operating systems. The design of an appropriate forecasting system to support effective staff planning must consider the nature, scope, and complexity of these environments.     

Learning behavior and mixed-strategy Nash equilibria

The paper considers whether an adaptive justification, like those commonly available for non-interactive optimization models, can be found for the mixed-strategy Nash equilibrium. Although it is known that such a justification is frequently available for pure-strategy equilibria, it is shown that all members of a wide class of behaviorally plausible learning mechanisms must fail to converge in ‘almost all’ games in which the equilibrium involves mixed strategies. An exact formal analogy is developed, which allows these learning mechanisms to be viewed as discrete ta?tonnement processes in properly chosen competitive exchange economies. In the analogy, the instability derives from the independence of excess demand functions (except at the boundaries) from ‘own’ prices. This independence arises because of the linearity in probabilities of von Neumann-Morgenstern risk preferences, and therefore does not extend to pure-strategy equilibria in general. Thus, assuming that agents will play equilibrium strategies implicitly assumes more sophistication when the equilibrium involves mixed strategies than when it involves only pure strategies.     

Environmental performance and competitive advantage in Canada's paper industry

A new environmental performance model is developed, explained and subsequently applied to a study of the Canadian recycled paper industry. The strategic position of the industry is explored as it takes the progressive steps needed to improve its environmental performance and competitive advantage in response to this rising regulatory agenda. Three policy options facing the Canadian pulp and paper industry are examined: the status quo, process technology innovation and product development. The strategic position of the industry is also examined using measurement of stance, attitude, government response, values, planning horizon and environmental integration. The supplier-consumer relationship, capital-technology and locational factors are also used to further discuss the links between competitive advantage and environmental performance. From this discussion, conclusions are drawn on competitive environmentalism: ethics and profit are compatible; newsprint mills must improve their locational, technology and market actions; the industry must proactively seek out environmental market and stakeholder opportunities and; further management research is needed to demonstrate the links between environmental performance, innovation and competitiveness.