Behavioral Governance and Self-Conscious Emotions: Unveiling Governance Implications of Authentic and Hubristic Pride

The main purpose of this article is to elucidate the bright connotation of the self-conscious emotion of pride, namely authentic pride, in the broader context of behavioral governance literature. Scholars in the field of psychology suggest that authentic and hubristic pride represent two facets of the same emotional construct. Yet, our review indicates that in the extant governance research pride has been treated as an exclusively dark leadership trait or self-attribution bias, thereby placing hubris among the main causes of managerial failure. After conceptually differentiating the two aspects of pride, we identify and discuss the myriad of positive governance implications stemming from firm members’ tendency toward authentic pride. We argue that the examination of both positive and negative facets of pride constitutes a critical complement to the existing governance landscape largely dominated by economic theories and formal mechanisms of control. This article allows practitioners to better understand the emotional processes involved in governance that are needed to predict the workplace effectiveness of employees, identify individuals prone to experience authentic pride in the early stages of the recruitment process, and design specific interventions for acting upon and putting emotional energy into productive use.     

Credibility ratemaking using collateral information

Credibility ratemaking is a technique used in pricing health care, property and casualty, workers’ compensation, and group life coverages. It has been a part of actuarial practice since the time of Mowbray's (1914) contribution. In earlier work, we showed how many types of credibility models could be expressed as special cases of mixed linear models. This article extends this approach to credibility by formally introducing collateral information through the use of Bayesian methods.

Specifically, we derive credibility estimators and mean square errors for normal hierarchical linear models. We provide intuition for the credibility estimators by establishing the link between these estimators and homogeneous and inhomogeneous estimators that appear in non-Bayesian credibility theory.     

Short Reports

As the US population ages, more older adults will face transportation and mobility challenges. This study examines the characteristics and contributing circumstances of nonfatal older adult pedestrian injuries. Data were obtained from the National Electronic Injury Surveillance System-All Injury Programme (NEISS-AIP) for the years 2001 through 2006. Cases included persons aged 65 years and older who were nonfatally injured on a public roadway. The results indicated that on average, an estimated 52,482 older adults were treated in emergency departments each year for nonfatal pedestrian injuries. Falling and being hit by a motor vehicle were the leading mechanisms of injury, resulting in 77.5% and 15.0% of older adult pedestrian injuries, respectively. More than 9000 older pedestrian fall-related injuries each year involved a kerb. It is concluded that the growth in the older adult population could add to the overall burden of these nonfatal pedestrian injuries. Making transportation and mobility improvements, including environmental modifications, is important for preventing these injuries.     

Demographic Change and Pension Reform in Spain: An Assessment in a Two‐Earner,OLG Model*

Recent pension reforms in Spain have been guided by two opposite goals: achieving financial stability and improving redistributive aspirations. In particular, reforms implemented in 1997/2001 entailed a mixture of both through: (i) changes in the pension formula; (ii) the extension of entitlement to early retirement to all cohorts; and (iii) increases in survival pensions. This paper builds an applied general equilibrium OLG model that captures the fundamental non‐stationarity of the Spanish reality (ageing population, education transition and increasing female attachment to the labour market) to assess the impact of those reforms. As a novel feature with respect to the literature, households in our model economy are made up of two potential earners who make saving and labour supply decisions. Our main conclusions from the analysis are at three different levels. First, the Spanish pension system is clearly unsustainable, with pension expenditure reaching a figure of about 18 per cent of GDP in 2050, and the reforms have clearly been     

La formación en el trabajo en Europa. Determinantes y rendimiento salarial

Los autores analizan los determinantes de la participación de los trabajadores en actividades formativas y los efectos de éstas sobre los salarios. A partir de datos de seis países del Panel de Hogares de la Unión Europea del período 19952001, construyen cuatro tipos de indicadores de formación. Sus estimaciones con mínimos cuadrados ordinarios indican que las actividades formativas generan unos rendimientos salariales notables en casi todos los países analizados. Sin embargo, los rendimientos no son estadísticamente distintos de cero cuando repiten las estimaciones con modelos de efectos fijos. Por tanto, las ganancias salariales debidas a la formación podrían estar siendo sobrestimadas al no tenerse en cuenta adecuadamente otros factores.     

Forecasting Social Security Actuarial Assumptions

Abstract

This paper presents a forecasting model of economic assumptions that are inputs to projections of the Social Security system. Social Security projections are made to help policy-makers understand the financial stability of the system. Because system income and expenditures are subject to changes in law, they are controllable and not readily amenable to forecasting techniques. Hence, we focus directly on the four major economic assumptions to the system: inflation rate, investment returns, wage rate, and unemployment rate. Population models, the other major input to Social Security projections, require special demographic techniques and are not addressed here.

Our approach to developing a forecasting model emphasizes exploring characteristics of the data. That is, we use graphical techniques and diagnostic statistics to display patterns that are evident in the data. These patterns include (1) serial correlation, (2) conditional heteroscedasticity, (3) contemporaneous correlations, and (4) cross-correlations among the four economic series. To represent patterns in the four series, we use multivariate autoregressive, moving average (ARMA) models with generalized autoregressive, conditionally heteroscedastic (GARCH) errors.

The outputs of the fitted models are the forecasts. Because the forecasts can be used for nonlinear functions such as discounting present values of future obligations, we present a computer-intensive method for computing forecast distributions. The computer-intensive approach also allows us to compare alternative models via out-of-sample validation and to compute exact multivariate forecast intervals, in lieu of approximate simultaneous univariate forecast intervals. We show how to use the forecasts of economic assumptions to forecast a simplified version of a fund used to protect the Social Security system from adverse deviations. We recommend the use of the multivariate model because it establishes important lead and lag relationships among the series, accounts for information in the contemporaneous correlations, and provides useful forecasts of a fund that is analogous to the one used by the Social Security system.     

Teaching Business Ethics Through Literature

America's economic ideology lacks a vocabulary of ethics. If, as we assume, an economic system requires a moral component for long-term survival, students in business schools must be exposed to a vocabulary of ethics that is consistent with the ideology of capitalism. We present a vocabulary of ethics and describe an approach to teaching business ethics based on business-related classic literature and moral philosophy.     

Trust,authentic pride,and moral reasoning: a unified framework of relational governance and emotional self‐regulation

This conceptual article introduces behavioral perspectives into the governance arena and undertakes a psychological assessment of managerial decision making in organizations by elaborating on the treatment of trust and (authentic and hubristic) pride in the extant literature. While trust is conceived by governance scholars as a device for monitoring relationships with others, we argue that authentic pride, contrary to hubris, could operate as an attribute of emotional self‐regulation allowing corporate leaders to govern the social behavior of their own self. Contrasting the features of trust and authentic pride, we advance several propositions to capture their relevance and simultaneous importance as viable governance mechanisms in light of a manager's level of cognitive moral reasoning. Our study builds a unified theoretical framework of governance which integrates human agency, psychological states, and moral judgment to foster a deeper understanding of complex self‐regulatory processes that are activated by decision makers in the execution of their roles.     

Mergers, Method of Payment and Returns to Manager- and Owner-Controlled Firms

Previous work provides evidence of disparate consequences for acquiring firms initiating stock and cash merger exchanges. These studies show that the choice of payment method and the subsequent consequences may be a result of dissimilar motivations. This paper addresses the role of corporate control by examining the consequences of stock, cash and mixed exchanges to manager- and owner-controlled firms. Particular attention is paid to mixed exchanges as a test of the total consequences of acquisition activity. The results indicate that the market valuation of the acquiring firm's stock is related to both the method of payment and the acquiring firm control structure.     

Explaining Insurance Policy Provisions via Adverse Selection

In this article, we show that common insurance policy provisions—namely, deductibles, coinsurance, and maximum limits–can arise as a result of adverse selection in a competitive insurance market. Research on adverse selection typically builds on the assumption that different risk types suffer the same size loss and differ only in their probability of loss. In this study, we allow the severity of the insurance loss to be random and, thus, generalize the results of Rothschild and Stiglitz [1976] and Wilson [1977]. We characterize the separating equilibrium contracts in a Rothschild-Stiglitz competitive market. By further assuming a Wilson competitive market, we show that an anticipatory equilibrium might be achieved by pooling, and we characterize the optimal pooling contract.