Evaluating cultural industries: investigating visitors' satisfaction in theatres

This study investigates visitors' satisfaction with their subjective experience in theatres. Reconciling research on theatre marketing and theatre studies, a model of visitors' satisfaction in theatre is suggested and an instrument to capture visitors' satisfaction and its determinants is developed. Results from a field study (n?=?158) on three performances of ‘Twelfth Night or What You Will’ (Shakespeare) in a German community theatre revealed spectators' perception of stage direction and their emotional response as significant determinants. Comparing experienced to inexperienced visitors' judgements, no differences were found. Conclusions for theatre marketing are drawn.     

Coexistence of disposition investors and momentum traders in stock markets: experimental evidence

Prior research documents that many investors disproportionately hold on to losing stocks while selling stocks which have gained in value. This systematic behavior is labeled as the “disposition effect”. The phenomenon can be explained by prospect theory's idea that subjects value gains and losses relative to a reference point like the purchase price (PP), and that they are risk-seeking in the domain of possible losses and risk-averse when a certain gain is obtainable. Our experiments were designed to test whether individual-level disposition effects attenuate or survive in a dynamic market setting. We analyze a series of 36 stock markets with 490 subjects. The majority of our investors demonstrate a strong preference for realizing winners (paper gains) rather than losers (paper losses). We adopt different reference points and compare the behavioral patterns across three main trading mechanisms, i.e. rules of price formation. The disposition effect is greatly reduced only within high-pressure mechanisms like a dealer market (DM) when the last price (LP) is assumed as a reference point, which is a more market driven (external) benchmark. If disposition investors use the PP as a reference point, which is a more mental-accounting driven (internal) benchmark, they die hard in all market settings. Interestingly, our markets do not collapse or become illiquid by disposition investors' reluctance to trade. A main reason for this is the coexistence of two or more groups of investors, e.g. momentum traders and disposition investors.     

Efficient Transfer of Aging Provisions in Private Health Insurance

In German-style private health insurance contracts, aging provisions are used to flatten premium profiles. An individual would like to change insurer if she perceives a low service quality. The first-best optimum is characterized by provision transfers upon insurer changes which are higher for high risks and may be negative for low risks. Should the actual risk status not be verifiable, provision transfers have to be uniform. Efficient transfers will equalize consumption across periods and states if high risks are deterred from switching. Otherwise, the optimum transfer balances the distortion of incentives for high-risk and low-risk individuals.     

MEAN VARIANCE PREFERENCES, EXPECTATIONS FORMATION, AND THE DYNAMICS OF RANDOM ASSET PRICES

This paper analyzes the dynamics of an explicit random process of prices and price expectations of finitely many assets in an economy with overlapping generations of heterogeneous consumers. They maximize expected utility with respect to subjective transition probabilities defined by Markov kernels which describe the forecasting behavior of agents. Given such forecasting rules (predictors) and an exogenous process of dividends, the evolution of equilibrium asset prices and expectations is described by a random dynamical system in the sense of Arnold (1998) . The paper investigates the long-run behavior (stationary solutions) by proving the existence and stability of random fixed points for mean-variance preferences under various predictors, including unbiased predictions, and adaptive, as well as OLS forecasting. An explicit characterization of rational expectations solutions is given, providing a full dynamic characterization of asset price processes for the classical CAPM in the case of stationary OLG economies. Numerical simulations are used to compare the performance of the different predictors under an AR(1) dividend process.     

Interactive unawareness

The standard state-spaces of asymmetric information preclude non-trivial forms of unawareness (Modica and Rustichini (Theory Decision 37 (1994) 107–124); Dekel, Lipman and Rustichini (Econometrica 66 (1998) 159–173)). We introduce a generalized state-space model that allows for non-trivial unawareness among several individuals, and which satisfies strong properties of knowledge as well as all the desiderata on unawareness proposed this far in the literature.     

Courts and contract enforcement in transition agriculture: theory and evidence from Poland

The paper investigates theoretically and empirically the role of courts for contract enforcement in transition agriculture. In a survey of 306 Polish farmers conducted in 1999, only 38.5% respondents reported to believe that they could use courts to enforce contracts with their most important customer. Furthermore, those who believed the legal system could be used would accept significant financial losses before taking action. We develop a theoretical model, based on the costs and benefits of court enforcement, which captures the boundary between contracts to be regarded as 'enforceable' and 'not-enforceable' and, simultaneously, the threshold of taking legal action. The empirical analysis strongly supports our model: (1) the farmers' responses can be explained by cost-benefit calculations regarding the use of courts, (2) the legal 'enforceability' of contracts depends not only on the efficiency of the legal system but also on the attributes of the transaction, the contracts and the relationship between buyer and seller and (3) the threshold of taking legal action is significantly influenced by indirect costs of court enforcement, such as the disruption of a valuable business relationship, and by the availability of alternative enforcement mechanisms.     

Point De Vue Fadn: Buttress for Farm Policy or a Resource for Economic Analysis?

FADN: Buttress for Farm Policy or a Resource for Economic Analysis? We argue that the Farm Accountancy Data Network (FADN) is capable of much more than it currently achieves and that it has been greatly under‐utilised for policy analysis by economic researchers. We illustrate graphically some of the wider possibilities offered by FADN beyond its traditional role as a buttress for farm policy Farm incomes differ enormously between farms and differences within a member state are often more important than differences between member states. The dataset allows us to make differences explicit. It is possible to analyse the composition of farm incomes, for example the significance of subsidies amongst different farm types and farming systems. Some national FADN datasets also permit classification of farm households according to the relative importance of farm and non‐farm incomes and allow us to examine the impact of income composition on, for example, investment behaviour, FADN data can be used for ex‐ante as well as ex‐post policy evaluations and we illustrate with an example of the impact of different models for implementing the Single Farm Payment in Germany. We believe that certain enhancements to the dataset are possible to improve further its potential for research support, for example by including more non‐agricultural income sources in the European FADN. Le RICA:instrument d'appui à la politique agricole, ou ressource pour l'analyse économique? Le réseau d'informations comptables agricoles (RICA) dispose d'un potentiel très supérieur à son usage actuel et il est fortement sous‐utilisé par les chercheurs qui s'intéressent à l'analyse économique des politiques agricoles. On illustre ici, à l' aide de quelques graphiques, quelques‐unes des possibilityés d'élargissement de l'usage du RICAau‐delà de son rôle habituel d'appui à la politique agricole. Les revenus agricoles different fortement d'une exploitation à l'autre et les disparités intra‐Etats membres sont souvent plus importantes que les disparités inter‐Etat Le RICA permet de visualiser ces différences. Il est possible d'analyser la formation du revenu agricole, par exemple le rôle des subventions d'un système de production ou d'un type d'exploitation à l'autre. Pour certains pays, il est possible de trier les ménages agricoles en fonction de l'importance de leurs revenus non agricoles, ce qui permet par exemple l'étude des relations entre revenus extérieurs et investissements. Les données du RICA peuvent être utilisées ex ante pour prévoir les conséquences d'une mesure politique ou ex post pour en évaluer les effets. Ce point est illustré par un exemple qui consiste àétudier l'impact des effets du ‘paiement unique’ sur différentes exploitations types en Allemagne. Il devrait être possible d'ajouter des améliorations supplémentaires au stock de données existantes pour le rendre encore plus utile à la recherche, en particulier en incluant systématiquement les relevés de revenus non agricoles dans le RICA européen. INLB: Stützpfeiler der Landwirtschaftspolitik oder Ressource für wirtschaftliche Analysen? Wir vertreten den Standpunkt, dass das Informationsnetz landwirtschaftlicher Buchführungen (INLB) weit mehr als zur Zeit zu leisten vermag und dass Wirtschaftsforseher es für Politikanalysen nur unzureichend genutzt haben. Wir erläutern mit Hilfe von Grafiken einige der weiteren Möglichkeiten von INLB, die über die traditionelle Rolle als Stützpfeiler der Landwirtschaftspolitik hinaus gehen. Die landwirtschaftlichen Einkomrnen variieren sehr von Betrieb zu Betrieb, und Unterschiede innerhalb eines Mitgliedstaates sind oftmals von größerer Bedeutung als Unterschiede zwischen den Mitgliedstaaten. Der Datensatz ermöglicht es uns, diese Unterschiede zu verdeutlichen. Es ist möglich, die Zusammensetzung der landwirtschaftlichen Einkomrnen zu analysieren, beispielsweise die Bedeutsamkeit von Subventionen zwischen verschiedenen Betriebstypen und ‐systemen. Einige nationale INLB‐Datensätze ermöglichen es uns zudem, landwirtschaftliche Haushalte gemäß der relativen Bedeutung von landwirtschaftlichen und außerlandwirtschaftlichen Einkomrnen zu klassifizieren, und die Auswirkungen der Zusammensetzung der Einkomrnen beispielsweise auf das Investitionsverhalten zu untersuchen. Die INLB‐Datensätze können sowohl ex‐ante als auch ex‐post für Politikbewertungen herangezogen werden, und dies erläutern wir anhand des Beispiels, welches die Auswirkungen verschiedener Alternativen bei der Umsetzung der einheitlichen Betriebsprämie in Deutschland darstellt. Wir sind der Auffassung, dass bestimmte Verbesserungen am Datensatz möglich sind, um das Potenzial des INLB zur Unterstützung von Forschungsarbeiten weiterzu verbessern, beispielsweise durch die Aufnahme weiterer außerlandwirtschaftlicher Einkommensquellen in das europäische INLB.     

»In die Illegalität gedrängt«?

Press historians so far thought that the Evangelischer Pressedienst (epd), a Berlin news agency of the German protestants, was banned by the Nazi censorship authorities in 1937. Focko Luepsen, the chief editor of epd until 1940, officially even until 1941, put forward this assertion in 1950. To this day, many scholars and journalists have passed on Luepsen’s version of history without testing it. Actually epd could be published until May 1941, and was then not a victim of political censorship, but of the short supply of printing paper in the times of World War II (as were many other publications). The editorial content in these years was in line with official Nazi propaganda. There was no dissident deviation that could have given cause for prohibition. In post-war times, Focko Luepsen used the legend of a Nazi ban of epd to get a press licence from the British military government in north-western Germany. His aim was to relaunch the protestant news agency very quickly under the new political conditions.