Intraday Lead-Lag Relationships Between the Futures-, Options and Stock Market

In rational, efficiently functioning and complete markets, returns on derivative and underlying securities should be perfectly contemporaneously correlated. Due to market imperfections, one of these markets may reflect information faster. The use of high-frequency data and the choice for a small unit time interval to measure these lead-lag relations comes at the cost of some or many missing observations, causing traditional estimators to either under- or overestimate covariances and correlations. We use a new estimator to estimate lead-lag relationships between the cash AEX index, options and futures. We find that futures returns lead both options and cash index returns by approximately 10 minutes. The relationship between options and the cash market is not completely unidirectional.     

Programme Evaluation with Unobserved Heterogeneity and Selective Implementation: The Mexican PROGRESA Impact on Child Nutrition

This paper considers the impact of Programa de Educación, Salud y Alimentación ( PROGRESA ), a large Mexican rural anti-poverty programme that had an evaluation sample in which overall treatment was randomly assigned to some communities but not others, on child nutrition. When we examine the impact of PROGRESA based on the presumption of randomized allocations, we find that PROGRESA had no or even a negative impact on child nutrition. However, not all children designated to receive nutritional supplements actually did so. Our preferred estimates – child fixed-effects estimates that control for unobserved heterogeneity that is correlated with access to the supplement – indicate a significantly positive and fairly substantial programme effect of the nutritional supplements on children 12–36 months. They imply an increase of about a sixth in mean growth per year for these children and a lower probability of stunting. Effects are somewhat larger for children from poorer communities but whose mothers are functionally literate. The long-term consequences of these improvements are non-trivial; its impact working through adult height alone could result in a 2.9% increase in lifetime earnings.     

对纳税筹划问题的理性思考

纳税筹划近年来日益受到人们的关注,但国内研究多侧重于筹划策略和方法。本文试图从理论上对纳税筹划的必然性、可能性及其经济和社会效应进行较深入的探讨,完善纳税筹划的指导思想,纠正对其错误的认识。     

浅析公共服务有效供给的新模式

通过对公共服务的属性分析，结合新政治经济学理论和政府失败的现实因素，探索公益物品的有效供给模式，提出了公共服务的签约转包机制，并分析了这一机制的不足和政府的作用。     

朱生豪莎士比亚戏剧的译介思想和成就

文章通过大量的文献资料，从三个方面全面介绍了朱生豪的莎士比亚戏剧译介过程及其贡献：朱生豪是我国解读说不完、道不尽的莎士比亚的第一人；朱译莎剧质量之高“迄今仍无出其右者”；朱生豪是不屈不挠、立志填补中国文化空白的民族英雄。     

新世纪高职英语教学面临的问题和对策

高等职业教育作为我国高等教育的重要组成部分，高职英语教学必须突出对学生语言实际交际能力的培养。但目前的高职英语教学存在学生英语基础薄弱，教师授课任务繁重。教材建设缓慢等问题。搞好高职英语教学，需要我们从师资、教材、教学手段等过多方面下功夫。     

金融机构呼唤税负公平

自改革开放以来，为吸引外资，对进入我国金融市场的外资金融机构提供了一定程度的税收优惠政策。在加入世界贸易组织，实现金融领域的全面开放以后，如果不及时改变对外资金融机构倾斜的财税政策，将对我国民族金融业的发展产生不利影响。     

Exit Options in Corporate Finance: Liquidity versus Incentives

This paper provides a first study of the optimal design of active monitors'exit options in a problem involving a demand for liquidity and costly monitoring of the issuer. Optimal incentives to monitor the issuer may involve restricting the monitor's right to sell her claims on the firm's cash-flow early. But the monitor will then require a liquidity premium for holding such an illiquid claim. In general, therefore, there will be a trade off between incentives and liquidity. The paper highlights a fundamental complementarity between speculative monitoring in financial markets (which increases the informativeness of prices) and active monitoring inside the firm: in financial markets where price discovery is better and securities prices reflect the fundamentals of the issuer better, the incentive cost of greater liquidity may be smaller and active monitoring incentives may be preserved. The paper spells out the conditions under which more or less liquidity is warranted and applies the analysis to shed light on common exit provisions in venture capital financing.     

关于铁路精益生产指标体系及其作用的经济学分析

在铁路精益生产制推行过程中,要特别重视指标体系的构建及其作用的发挥。考核指标体系构建紧密结合铁路运输生产特点和生产流程,以完整运输产品供给为导向,以信息化为基础,以组织模式优化为保障,注重精益生产考核指标体系的激励性。