China’s Labor Market on Crossroad

I.IntroductionSincethelate1990s,China’slabor market has comeundergreat pressure,asreflected by anincreasing unemployment rate,and adeclining labor force participation rate.The causesofthe severe unemployment are threefold.First,due to the macro-economic downturn andrapid industrial structural change in the late1990s,state-owned enterprises(SOEs),whichlost their comparative advantage and competitiveness,have been unable to fully utilizetheir production capacity,and have become loss-makers.Se…     

服务为先 营销为本——中国建设银行股份有限公司宁波市分行行长沈义明专访

记者：当前，随着银行业竞争的加剧，银行家们开始将注意力转移到银行服务与顾客需求的统一性上来银行服务营销也逐渐成了银行家们考虑的重要因素。沈行长，请您谈谈对服务营销的认识和看法     

Promoting exports: the role of inward FDI in China

Since the late 1970s, exports and inward foreign direct investment (FDI) in China have risen dramatically under the open-door policy. The critical role of FDI in China's exports may be indicated by the fact that exports by foreign affiliates in China in 1998 were US$81 billion, comprising 44% of China's total exports in that year. While there is considerable evidence on the FDI export linkage in China, systematically empirical analyses have been limited. This paper investigates the issue using panel data at the provincial level in the period of 1986–1997. The findings support the widely held belief that increased levels of FDI positively affect provincial manufacturing export performance.     

Structural reform,intra-regional trade,and medium-term growth prospects of East Asia and the Pacific—Perspectives from a new multi-region model

This paper analyses the potential benefits from reforms aimed at promoting domestic demand in the region, as well as the effects of slower growth in the US and the G3 (US, euro area, and Japan) on the members of the Executives’ Meeting of East Asian-Pacific Central Bank (EMEAP). The analysis is based on simulation scenarios using an expanded version of the IMF Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal (GIMF) model which is particularly useful for conducting medium-term policy analysis, as it incorporates rich layers of intra-regional trade, production, and demand allowing the transmission mechanism of structural reforms and external shocks to be fully articulated. The simulation results show that reforms to rebalance the pattern of demand in regional economies (such as Mainland China) more towards domestic demand could entail non-negligible benefits for the EMEAP. These benefits could be even larger for those economies that more flexibly adjust to the shift in China's trade pattern. The simulation results also demonstrate that structural reforms in EMEAP economies will allow them to reduce vulnerabilities to economic downturns in major economies.     

青藏铁路开通与西藏大发展——青藏铁路：西藏发展的助推器

2005年我国历史上最重要的一条铁路——青藏铁路全线贯通，2006年7月正式试运营。对于这样一条全世界都关注的铁路的建成和运营，将对西藏的经济社会发展产生什么影响？我们应该选择什么样的应对策略，是值得认真研究的大课题。为此，本期封面文章全力推出专题：青藏铁路开通与西藏大发展。本刊特邀《西藏人口发展战略研究》课题组专家学者，力图从西藏的社会、文化、经济各个方面作一深入探讨，为各级政府决策提供科学建议，为西藏的发展建言献策。[编者按]     

马克思的生态观及对我国生态文明建设的启示

马克思主义的生态思想包含丰富的观点,提出了人类与自然和谐相处的条件,认为共产主义社会才能最终解决生态环境问题.此外,马克思主义的生态思想中还初步具体地提出了现代社会的“可持续发展”的雏形概念.在今天我国大力构建中国特色社会主义事业总布局,进行生态文明建设的过程中,马克思主义的生态观将为我们如何建设生态文明提供了非常重要的启示指导意义.     

经济增长能带来共同富裕么——基于香港地区收入分配状况的研究

库兹涅茨倒U假说揭示的工业化国家(地区)收入分配差距"先上升,后下降"的倒U型运动轨迹在很多国家(地区)的发展经验中都无法得到验证,包括香港。作为亚洲四小龙之一,香港经济已保持了近半个世纪的持续快速增长,然而我国香港地区的收入分配状况不仅没有随着经济增长而获得改善,反而是不断恶化。造成香港社会贫富悬殊的原因有很多,主要包括缺少全面的社会保障体系,为追求经济增长实行不利于中低层群体的人才引进制度、工资制度和税收制度,市民教育程度底下,政治民主发育不足,特殊的产业结构以及经济过度的自由化等等。香港经验给我们带来的启示是不能片面追求经济增长,全民的共同富裕不会伴随着经济增长自动到来,改善收入分配状况,涉及到对各种国家政策、经济制度和政治制度全面改革。     

CEPA对澳门经济的影响与对策分析

CEPA实施以来,通过内地与澳门的共同努力,进展十分顺利,CEPA对提振澳门经济效应明显,但仍与人们当初的″火热″预期存有差距。为此,本文提出一些更紧密两地合作的思路与对策。     

长治：更加开放的城池

长治市地处山西省东南部,由于居太行之巅,有“与天为党”之说,故又称“上党”。它自古是兵家必争之地,有“得上党而望中原”的说法。当广州、上海、宁波等东南沿海城市日渐繁华并成为中国改革开放的前沿阵地之后,长治,也开始努力培育它新的梦想。     

新世纪初日台经贸关系现状及未来展望

日本是在台湾问题上介入最深的大国之一。由于历史和地理的原因,日台经贸关系一向十分密切。日台双边贸易交往在进入新世纪后的头5年内日趋频繁,呈现出一些新的特点。在可以预见的将来,在中国大陆经济对日台企业的“磁吸效应”不断扩大的同时,日台经贸关系将继续保持发展的势头。鉴于日本国内存在着根深蒂固的贸易保护主义,加上台湾岛内政治等因素,其进一步的发展会受到一定程度的制约。