对开设电子商务专业的构想

对在金融类院校开设电子商务专业的必要性，课程设置，实践方式以及师资队伍建设和教材建设等方面做了详细的论述。     

Banking deregulation and corporate tax avoidance

We investigate whether tax avoidance substitutes for external financing. We exploit interstate banking deregulation as a quasi-external shock to examine whether...     

Foreign bank penetration and the lending channel in emerging economies: Evidence from bank-level panel data

This paper examines the main implications of recently increasing foreign bank penetration on bank lending as a channel of monetary policy transmission in emerging economies. Using a dynamic panel model of loan growth, we investigate the loan granting behavior of 1273 banks in the emerging economies of Asia, Latin America, and Central and Eastern Europe during the period from 1996 to 2003. Applying the pooled OLS, system GMM, and panel VAR estimators, we find consistent evidence that foreign banks are less responsive to monetary shocks in host countries, as they adjust their outstanding loan portfolios and interest rates to a lesser extent than domestic private banks, independent of their liquidity, capitalization, size, efficiency, and credit risk, and although there exists a bank lending channel in the emerging economies, it is declining in strength due to the increased level of foreign bank penetration. We also explore possible driving factors for the different responses of foreign and domestic banks to monetary policy shocks by investigating foreign banks’ different behavior during banking crises and tranquil periods, the effects of mode of entry to host countries, the home-country effects, and the response of foreign banks from OECD countries vs. all foreign countries including non-OECD countries. We suggest the access of foreign banks to funding from parent banks through internal capital markets as the most convincing explanation.     

国外寿险领域银行保险的发展及对中国的启示

银行保险是目前国际上盛行的保险销售渠道,尤其是在寿险领域中成效显著。通过分析银行保险在寿险领域中的发展状况,研究了银行保险寿险产品的特征与趋势,以及影响银行保险在寿险领域中发展的相关因素。本文认为,我国保险公司在开展银行保险方面,应首先保证银行保险的低成本优势,同时依据现阶段的政策环境,顺应银行与客户的需求,开发新型的银保寿险产品。     

Analysts' Forecasts Following Forced CEO Changes

This paper examines analysts' earnings forecasts during the period of uncertainty following a change of chief executive officer (CEO). It distinguishes between forced and non‐forced CEO changes, and examines whether analysts utilize their information advantage to reduce the heightened uncertainty of a forced change of CEO. Examining a sample of Australian companies followed by analysts between 1999 and 2009, we find that forecasting accuracy is lower and earnings forecasts are more optimistic for firms experiencing forced CEO turnover compared to firms not undergoing such a change. However, dispersion is not statistically different. The results suggest that forced CEO turnover events provide a challenge to the forecasting environment for analysts. During CEO changes, investors should be aware that forecasts are less accurate and have an optimistic bias.     

我国农村商业银行经营效率研究及预测

农村商业银行是农村金融发展的核心,是服务三农、推动乡村振兴战略的可靠保障.以30家农村商业银行为研究对象,运用改进DEA分析方法及灰色预测模型,对其经营效率进行分析及预测.研究表明,我国农村商业银行全要素生产率呈稳步上升趋势,受技术效率与技术进步效率影响较大,在未来保持稳步增长态势,不同地区生产率差异呈收敛趋势.技术效率始终保持相对稳定状态,在临界值1上下浮动,受纯技术进步效率影响较大,地区差异对其影响较小.在此基础上提出合理调整规模、加强金融创新等政策建议.     

人民币国际化之货币互换路径分析

货币互换作为央行间共同应对金融危机、维护金融稳定、促进双边贸易和投资的手段已经在实际中为我国和国外主要央行所实践,并且在应对金融危机、向国际金融市场提供国际货币流动性、维护金融稳定等方面发挥了显著的作用.本文通过对国外央行以及中国人民银行货币互换实践的介绍,提出:应在传统的互换作用机制的基础上,通过人民币与境外其他币种的互换,推动人民币走出去,在具体操作层面实现对人民币国际化的助推作用.从这一观点出发,文章重点对现阶段以货币互换形式推动人民币国际化的难点、策略选择以及相应的风险控制进行探讨.     

Why Do Traders Split Orders?

We examine factors that influence decisions by U.S. equity traders to execute a string of orders, in the same stock, in the same direction, around the same time. Order splitting is more likely to occur when traders submit larger‐size orders and when market depth and trading activity are lower. Order splitters demand liquidity more and pay higher trading costs, but their overall performance is better. When controlling for execution time, split orders are more informative than single orders. Our results suggest that order splitting arises from a variety of factors, including informational differences, order and trader characteristics, and market conditions.     

“The Time of Recovery and the Maximum Severity of Ruin in a Sparre Andersen Model,” Shuanming Li,October 2008

Abstract

In a first-party recovery scheme for automobile property damage, the first-party insurer compensates not-at-fault vehicular damage. In this scheme, adjusters may not have the incentive to assign liability when the driver is, in fact, at fault for the accident. This is due to adjusters not having to coordinate with a third-party adjuster, and, for insureds that carry collision coverage, the assignment of fault does not appreciably affect the compensation paid out. This in turn reduces the effectiveness of the experience-rating component of the insurance premium. Empirical evidence that supports the presence of incorrect fault assignment is provided. A stochastic model of experience rating analyzing the impact of incorrect fault assignment on driving record classes confirms that low-risk insureds pay more for insurance than if fault was correctly assigned.