完善我国耕地储备指标交易制度的建议——广东省耕地储备指标交易制度的思考与启示

对比分析我国各省市耕地储备(占补平衡)指标交易的具体做法,在交易对象、原则、管理权限和主要资金来源等方面基本相同,而交易的市场化程度、指标储备和交易的管理细则等差异较大。广东省耕地储备指标交易制度在耕地指标市场交易平台建设、交易方式与程序管理、交易后耕地的维护管理等方面进行了革新改进,但也存在交易指标使用管理缺失和权益分配管理不清等问题。完善我国耕地指标交易制度,应从建立有偿使用机制和市场化运作模式、强化指标交易和使用监管、严格补充耕地的质量评估和交易后的使用维护管理、引入社会资金和合理调整利益分配等方面着手,以实现耕地资源的最优利用。     

The Choice of Exchange Rate Regime and the Volatility of Exchange Rates after the Asian Crisis: A Counterfactual Analysis

The objective of this paper is to carry out a counterfactual analysis of the impact of alternative exchange rate regimes on the volatility of the nominal effective exchange rate (NEER) and the bilateral rate against the US dollar for nine East Asian countries after the Asian financial crisis. Our hypothetical regimes include a unilateral basket peg (UBP), a common basket peg (CBP) and a hard peg against the dollar. We find that a UBP would minimise effective exchange rate volatility for all countries and provides the highest regime gains compared to actual. Although the gains for a CBP are always less than those for a UBP, the absolute differences between the two regimes appear to be small. In terms of the bilateral relationship against the dollar, the gains from a UBP or CBP could be quite significant for the non‐dollar peggers since a fall in effective instability would be accompanied by a fall in bilateral instability.     

My Way or High Way? New relationship of employer/employee and their respective ways of survival

Early in the gestation stage of the new labor contract law, the intensive debates sparked by worries and doubts prevailed, and the event of Huawei Group forcing their employees to re-apply for their jobs made this controversy reach fever pitch. When it came into effect on 1st January, 2008, confusions still bothered people of all sides: someone were on thorns about the increased cost and found wry ways to digest it, and someone were scramble to their rights and looked for shortcut to get it, etc. in particular, textile industry featuring labor-intensive will increase 20% on average in terms of cost, so how to cushion the blow and reverse adversity become prominent, what’s more, we should emancipate our mind to create profits rather than make ourselves balky with losses. Brand-building, technology application as well as expanding business abroad where with relatively cheap cost, etc, all of which can be utilized. In fact, launch of new labor contract law coupled with other polices home and aboard and materials cost increment lift the threshold of Chinese textile industry and rendered a new shuffling, so that the conception of "survival of the fittest" becomes the last straw we should grasp……     

A Bayesian Multiple Comparison Procedure for Order-Restricted Mixed Models

A Bayesian hierarchical mixed model is developed for multiple comparisons under a simple order restriction. The model facilitates inferences on the successive differences of the population means, for which we choose independent prior distributions that are mixtures of an exponential distribution and a discrete distribution with its entire mass at zero. We employ Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques to obtain parameter estimates and estimates of the posterior probabilities that any two of the means are equal. The latter estimates allow one both to determine if any two means are significantly different and to test the homogeneity of all of the means. We investigate the performance of the model-based inferences with simulated data sets, focusing on parameter estimation and successive-mean comparisons using posterior probabilities. We then illustrate the utility of the model in an application based on data from a study designed to reduce lead blood concentrations in children with elevated levels. Our results show that the proposed hierarchical model can effectively unify parameter estimation, tests of hypotheses and multiple comparisons in one setting.     

浅议如何确定社会保障税的最优税率

社会保障制度是我国社会主义福利事业的一个重要组成部分。它不仅作为维持劳动力再生产的物质保证而构成促进社会再生产顺利进行的重要手段,而且是社会稳定机制的一个重要组成部分。目前已有140多个国家和地区建立了社会保障制度,其中有80多个国家和地区开征了社会保障税或类似税种。文中对我国如何确定社会保障税的最优税率进行了简单的分析。     

基于ANP原理的大型工程项目风险评价研究

项目是在复杂的自然环境和社会环境中进行的,面临着多种因素的影响,风险无时不在,无处不在。项目风险评价是指在项目风险识别和风险估计的基础上,综合考虑项目各风险之间的相互影响、相互作用以及对项目的总体影响,然后与风险评价基准进行比较,确定是否要对项目采取控制措施。     

外国石油公司动态

(2009年11月) 投资与合作 塞尔维亚天然气公司和Gazprom将组建合资公司 塞尔维亚国家天然气公司(Srbijagas)和俄罗斯天然气工业股份公司(Gazprom)将组建一家合资公司来共同建造塞尔维亚境内段的南流管道.Gazprom和Srbijagas将分别拥有合资公司51%和49%的股份.     

用CRM规避医药生产企业自设营销终端风险的探讨

医药企业自设营销终端给其带来利益的同时，也带来风险，本文简略探讨如何规避这些风险。     

加拿大应对"准农民工"权益保障问题的经验及启示

本文从加拿大应对墨西哥移民工人权益保障问题的过程入手，分析加拿大在该问题上的主要经验：把“准农民工”纳入加拿大完善的社会保障体系是制度基础，而支持成立各种安置组织并积极筹集安置和管理资金是解决“准农民工”权益保障问题的主要手段。在此基础上，结合中国具体国情，文章提出从政策体系改革、组织机构建立和资金筹集三个方面解决我国农民工的权益保障问题。     

Five Basic Opinions to Promote Fast and Healthy Development of the Capital Market

Shang Fulin, chairman of China Securities Regulatory Commission, wrote and released an article titled "Report on China Economy" and pointed out that the country has reached the target of completing reform on the longtime problem about the different privileges of the interest groups of state shares, corporate shares and common shares. Under this new arrangement, he put forward five basic opinions to promote healthy and fast development of China capital market.