求真务实：领导干部的本质要求

求真务实是党的优良传统和共产党人的优良政治品格，更是我们党的思想路线的核心内容。作为新时期的领导干部，要以“三个代表”重要思想为指导，站在全局和战略的高度，深刻理解求真务实的精神实质和时代内涵，深入把握求真务实在新的历史时期所蕴含的重大现实意义和重要时代价值，把求真务实作为想问题、作决策、抓工作的着力点，真正树立新时期领导干部求真务实的新形象。     

低碳经济的发展方向和政策选择——基于辽宁省的分析

辽宁省低碳经济发展水平低于全国平均水平,在技术水平上也比较低.今后辽宁省低碳经济发展的方向应是继续促进节能减排和发展循环经济,重点是发展新兴低碳产业和低碳技术,实现产业结构调整.促进辽宁省低碳经济发展的对策主要是金融支持和财税优惠政策.     

Computing DSGE models with recursive preferences and stochastic volatility

This paper compares different solution methods for computing the equilibrium of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models with recursive preferences such as those in Epstein and Zin, 1989, Epstein and Zin, 1991 and stochastic volatility. Models with these two features have recently become popular, but we know little about the best ways to implement them numerically. To fill this gap, we solve the stochastic neoclassical growth model with recursive preferences and stochastic volatility using four different approaches: second- and third-order perturbation, Chebyshev polynomials, and value function iteration. We document the performance of the methods in terms of computing time, implementation complexity, and accuracy. Our main finding is that perturbations are competitive in terms of accuracy with Chebyshev polynomials and value function iteration while being several orders of magnitude faster to run. Therefore, we conclude that perturbation methods are an attractive approach for computing this class of problems.     

Local elections and consumption insurance

During our sample period from 1987 to 2002, Chinese villages completed the transition from government‐appointed village leaders to elected ones. This article examines if and how much democratic elections of the village leaders affected consumption insurance by Chinese village residents. Exploring a panel dataset of 1,400 households from this period, we find that consumption insurance is around 20 percent more complete with elected village leaders. Furthermore, local elections improve consumption insurance only for the poor and middle‐income farmers, but not for the rich. The results are robust when we allow for pretrending, potential endogeneity of elections, and higher measurement errors for rich residents. We also find that the effects on consumption insurance are stronger when closer to the upcoming election year and when the village committees consist largely of non‐Communist Party members. These findings suggest that the election effects on consumption insurance partly come from increasing accountability to local constituents.     

"中蒙俄经济走廊"建设的政策效应分析——以沿线区域全要素生产率为视角

客观评价"中蒙俄经济走廊"建设对沿线区域的全要素生产率的政策效应,对政策的实施和完善,以及沿线区域经济的高质量发展具有重要意义.文章首先利用"永续盘存法"对样本区域的资本存量进行了评估,其次利用基于DEA的Malmquist指数及RD分解方法,测算了2004-2018年各样本区域的全要生产率(TFP)、技术效率和技术进步,并利用双重差分和基于倾向得分匹配的双重差分(PSM-DID)方法评估了"中蒙俄经济走廊"建设对沿线区域的全要素生产率及其分解指数的政策效应.结果 发现,尽管"中蒙俄经济走廊"建设显著正向影响了重点建设区域的TFP及技术进步,但"中蒙俄经济走廊"沿线区域TFP仍然呈现负增长,而且与技术效率相比,技术进步更多的制约了区域TFP.为此,沿线区域在下一阶段发展进程中,要依托资源和区位优势,积极参与"中蒙俄经济走廊"建设,继续挖掘技术效率的增长空间,更要激发技术进步的发展潜力,以实现经济高质量发展.     

珠三角城市综合竞争力双层次因素分析与聚类评估

采用最新权威统计数据,从人力资源、经济发展、社会发展、财政金融、知识经济、基础设施、生态环境、对外开放竞争力等八个子系统层构建全方位、多角度、动静结合的多指标评价体系,采用双层次因素分析法对珠三角城市群9个城市综合竞争力进行了分类测度和逐项竞争力排序;结合城市综合竞争力得分,对城市群进行了Q型系统聚类分析,将珠三角城市群按照综合竞争力强弱情况分为四类,在分析各城市优劣势的基础上提出珠三角城市群整体发展目标及政策建议。     

Firm location,political geography and environmental information disclosure

As the subjective and objective factors that influence corporate behaviours, political region and firm location are of great importance to environmental information disclosure (EID). With spatial and political geography as a research perspective, this article makes a study by using the samples of manufacturing listed companies from 2009 to 2011. As a result, we determine that regulatory distance and political geography had negative effects on EID, while political geography weakens regulatory distance’s function. After considering an enterprise’s administrative rank, we determined that when the rank is higher, regulatory distance has negative effects on EID; when the rank is lower, the effects are the opposite. Regarding political geography, it always weakened the regulatory distance’s function. Moreover, the effects are significant only when the enterprises had low governmental regulation. The study shows the effects that firm location and political geography have made on EID. At the same time, this study also gives theoretical and empirical evidence to the necessity of raising governmental regulatory effectiveness.     

Distance and government resource allocation: from the perspective of environmental information disclosure policy change

This article investigates the relationship between environmental information and government resources and focuses on the moderate effect of distance. The results show that (1) the promulgation and implementation of the Measures for the Disclosure of Environmental Information (MDEI) can improve the level and quality of environmental information and then increase resource allocation and (2), after the MDEI are issued, distance has a significant negative moderate effect on the positive impact of MDEI, and the negative moderate effect of distance is more significant in low GDP and marketization regions, high-polluting industries and firms audited by the non-Big 4 accounting firms.     

玩偶服饰设计影响因素分析

Doll,玩偶娃娃,是一种具有悠久历史的玩具。服饰作为玩偶设计、展示与欣赏的一个重要元素,是以特定的艺术形式为前提,根据玩偶所处的年代、扮演的角色进行设计的。随着时代的发展以及人们对服饰和视觉冲击的不断追逐,玩偶服饰的设计影响因素、表现形态以及与消费者的关系也在不断地发展变化。由此而引起的独特的视觉现象,越来越为人们所关注。主要从人文社会因素、服饰材料因素、服饰结构因素等几个方面,探讨影响玩偶服饰设计的因素。     

汇率波动与FDI区位分布——基于辖区间财政竞争视角的研究

为了获取相对的竞争优势,辖区政府会通过策略性财政政策影响砌的区位分布.文章利用中国省级面板数据,实证分析人民币汇率波动通过改变辖区政府的财政竞争策略,从而影响FI)I区位分布的实际效应.研究表明,人民币汇率升值会弱化FDI流入量与辖区政府财政支出竞争程度两者的正向关系,此时依靠财政支出结构偏向基本建设的竞争策略将收效甚微.