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101.
102.
Common sense tells us that the future is an essential element in any strategy. In addition, there is a good deal of literature on scenario planning, which is an important tool in considering the future in terms of strategy. However, in many organizations there is serious resistance to the development of scenarios, and they are not broadly implemented by companies. But even organizations that do not rely heavily on the development of scenarios do, in fact, construct visions to guide their strategies. But it might be asked, what happens when this vision is not consistent with the future? To address this problem, the present article proposes a method for checking the content and consistency of an organization's vision of the future, no matter how it was conceived. The proposed method is grounded on theoretical concepts from the field of future studies, which are described in this article. This study was motivated by the search for developing new ways of improving and using scenario techniques as a method for making strategic decisions. The method was then tested on a company in the field of information technology in order to check its operational feasibility. The test showed that the proposed method is, in fact, operationally feasible and was capable of analyzing the vision of the company being studied, indicating both its shortcomings and points of inconsistency. 相似文献
103.
Extant empirical research has reported nonlinear behavior within arbitrage relationships. In this article, the authors consider potential nonlinear dynamics within FTSE‐100 index and index‐futures. Such nonlinearity can be rationalized by the existence of transactions costs or through the interaction between informed and noise traders. They consider several empirical models designed to capture these alternative dynamics. Their empirical results provide evidence of a stationary basis term, and thus cointegration between index and index‐futures, and the presence of nonlinear dynamics within that relationship. The results further suggest that noise traders typically engage in momentum trading and are more prone to this behavior type when the underlying market is rising. Fundamental, or arbitrage, traders are characterized by heterogeneity, such that there is slow movement between regimes of behavior. In particular, fundamental traders act more quickly in response to small deviations from equilibrium, but are reluctant to act quickly in response to larger mispricings that are exposed to greater noise trader price risk. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 26:343–368, 2006 相似文献
104.
The links between the fuel and energy complex and the consolidated budget of Irkutsk oblast are examined; the budget balance of income and expenditure is evaluated in relation to the development of the fuel and energy complex; and factors affecting the budget proceeds from the energy sector and the related energy-intensive sectors are analyzed. 相似文献
105.
This paper investigates the nature and behavior of the domestic (local) currency market that existed in Florence (Italy) during the late 14th and early 15th centuries (a.k.a. the Early Renaissance). We find that the extant volatility and microstructure models developed for modern asset markets are able to describe the statistical volatility properties observed for the denaro-florin exchange rate. Volatility is clustered and is related to the bid–ask spread. This supports the notion that, although there are huge social, industrial and technological differences between capitalism then and now, individuals trading financial assets in an organized venue behave in a similar manner. 相似文献
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108.
G. A. Kessler 《De Economist》1948,96(1):598-614
Batavia, 7 Juni 1948. 相似文献
109.
J.R.G. BUTLER 《The Economic record》1992,68(2):165-180
The Commonwealth Grants Commission has, over the past ten years, been concerned with assessing the per capita relativities to be applied to the distribution of general revenue grants to the States in Australia to achieve fiscal equalization. In arriving at these assessments, the Commission has developed a number of approaches to the treatment of specific purpose payments. It is argued that one of these approaches – the inclusion approach – has an overriding effect which may place fiscal equalization in conflict with other objectives of Commonwealth policy. The nature of this conflict and its management are then explored 相似文献
110.