近50年广东省旱灾受灾面积的时序分形研究

应用非线性动力系统的理论分析了广东省1950-1999年的旱灾受灾面积时序变化的混沌特性;通过重构其嵌入的相空间达到恢复系统复杂的动力机制;经计算表明,该时间序列分布具有分形特性,是一混沌的时间序列;其饱和关联维教d为1．884。相应的饱和嵌入雏教为6。即：该系统的有效自由度为6个;初步给出了系统的影响因子;经计算反映系统混沌程度的指标Kolmogorov熵K=0．1135。结果显示它的平均可预报尺度在8-9年。     

根据国家标准对温州市旅游资源结构的系统分析

以温州市按《旅游资源分类、调查与评价》（GB／T18972-2003）国家标准进行旅游资源普查所获得的资料为依据。从旅游资源单体的类型结构、级别结构、空间分布结构等方面来对温州市旅游资源结栌作全面分析。初步总结出温州市旅游资源结构具有以下3点特性：类型结构上既表现出种类一定程度的完整度。又表现出资源种类在少数主类下的较高集中度;在级别结构上呈现出“谷仓型”结构;空间分布结构具有面上的广布性和点上的集中性的双重特性。     

小额信贷扶贫与财务可持续性:作用机制与协调发展研究

扶贫与财务可持续发展是小额信贷公司应该同时兼顾的两个重要问题,本文从静态和动态角度分析小额信贷公司扶贫和财务可持续发展的作用机制,研究发现在短期内小额信贷对盈利的追求会损害扶贫功能的发挥,但从长期、动态的角度看,扶贫与财务可持续发展是可以协调的,提出了我国小额信贷扶贫与财务可持续性协调发展的具体对策。     

对我国企业进入全球采购系统的探究

随着新经济的到来,采购的重要性从企业经营的众环节中凸显出来。面对日趋频繁的全球采购,我国企业要更好地发展,要增强自身竞争力,就需要顺应形势,变革传统的采购管理模式,努力在全球采购系统中扮演供应商或采购商的角色,利用全球采购系统的优势实现降低采购成本,减少库存,减少采购人员,优化合作伙伴,加快资金流转的目的,从而推动企业稳健发展。     

房地产企业的规模经济效应分析

文章采用56家房地产上市公司2007年股票市场的数据,定量的分析了房地产业的规模经济效应,并应用数据包络分析法对我国房地产企业的规模经济效应进行评估。结果显示,我国房地产企业存在规模不经济现象。     

Fear of Floating and Pegging: A Simultaneous Choice Model of De Jure and De Facto Exchange Rate Regimes in Developing Countries

We present an analysis of the determinants of de jure and de facto exchange rate regimes based on a panel probit model with simultaneous equations. The model is estimated using simulation-based maximum likelihood methods. The empirical results suggest a triangular structure of the model such that the choice of de facto regimes depends on the choice of de jure regimes but not vice versa. This gives rise to a novel interpretation of regime discrepancies.

出口贸易结构变迁对中国经济增长的非对称影响效应研究——基于产品技术附加值分布的贸易结构分析法和动态面板数据模型的经验研究

本文首先基于关志雄(2002)和Lall等(2006)提出的基于产品技术附加值分布的贸易结构分析法构造出口贸易结构指数,考察了1992～2006年中国的出口贸易结构及其变迁,研究结果显示,中国的出口贸易结构变迁大致可以分为三个阶段。在此基础上,本文又采用动态面板数据模型深入分析了中国出口贸易结构变迁对经济增长的影响。定量分析结果表明:从出口总量层面上看,出口总量的增加对中国经济增长具有拉动作用;从出口贸易结构分量层面上看,出口贸易结构变迁对中国经济增长存在显著的非对称影响效应,即高附加值产品出口额的增加对中国经济增长的拉动作用要明显大于低附加值产品出口额的增加对经济增长的拉动作用,这表明出口贸易结构的优化促进了中国经济的长期持续增长。最后,针对中国的对外经贸和宏观经济发展现状,本文提出了优化中国出口贸易结构以促进中国经济可持续性平稳增长的对策建议。     

Cause-related marketing persuasion research: an integrated framework and directions for further research

This paper presents an integrative review of the literature on cause-related marketing (CRM) persuasion research (i.e. studies of how CRM influences evaluations of the partner brand). The aim of the study was to review CRM persuasion research and to integrate the findings into a theoretical framework that could direct future research efforts in the area. Drawing on Bergkvist and Taylor's model of Leveraged Marketing Communications (LMC), a dual-path model of CRM persuasion effects was developed. According to the model, CRM affects brand evaluations along two paths: the indirect transfer path which is mediated by attribution of motives and the direct transfer path in which attitude towards the cause is transferred to the brand. The model incorporates results from extant research and provides guidance for future studies.     

Chivalrous idealist and pragmatic strategist: the influence of Mohist values on Ma Yun’s leadership in China

ABSTRACT

In the study of leadership within the private sector in China, few scholars have tried to link ancient Chinese teachings to the present leadership style beyond the level of highlighting Confucianism and/or militarist philosophy. This study argues that Mohist teachings are the foundation of Ma Yun’s leadership in Alibaba.com. Using three propositions of (a) Ma Yun’s motivation to become a start-up CEO, (b) structuring his business using his inter-national skills and linguistic competences and (c) shaping his leader-ship style based on the Mohist teachings, one of the minority schools of ancient Chinese philosophy, this paper finds that innovative firms in China such as Alibaba.com deliberately shies themselves from conventional symbols of Confucianism or militarist teachings to accommodate Western managerial in the name of unpopular ancient Chinese teachings. The result of Ma Yun’s leadership is successful corporate social responsibility (CSR) performance amid rapid innovation within his company. Our results show that Ma Yun’s Mohist quality and balance of justice and interests are the most effective measurement indicators of Ma Yun’s internal operations; values of eloquent rhetoric, a chivalrous spirit, and mutual love have promoted Alibaba’s external reputation and expansion and constitute important indicators.     

高技术产业缘何成为美国对华贸易摩擦的角力场?

2018年美国以"寻求贸易平衡"为由对中国进口产品实施单边贸易制裁,制裁的产品集中在《中国制造2025》计划发展的高技术产品。基于2000-2017年中国海关总署以及《中国高技术产业统计年鉴》数据对中美高技术产业贸易现状和贸易竞争力进行了分析,同时依据《中国制造2025》中的创新能力指标对中国高技术产业五大行业的创新能力进行了测度,研究发现贸易顺差只是美国对华贸易摩擦集中于高技术产业的表象原因,遏制中国技术创新和维持全球经济体系治理话语权才是其真实目的。中国应通过提升高技术产业在全球价值链上的位置、加强与日本欧盟的经贸联系、积极申请加入CPTPP来应对美国对中国高技术产业产品的进口限制。