创建"信用乡村"的思考

本分析了创建“信用乡村”的意义，并对认识、步骤、考核等几方面应注意的问题进行了说明，在此基础上，提出了创建信用乡村活动的有效途径，具有一定的指导性。     

发展第三产业优化产业结构

产业结构的升级是经济发展的核心内容，“十五”时期我国经济发展战略的主线是经济结构的调整。本文分析了市场经济发展过程中产业结构演进的一般规律和世界其他国家的经验，认为我国当前的产业结构存在的问题是第三产业的发展滞后，并提出发展第三产业，促进产业结构高级化的政策措施。     

Dual-listings on international exchanges: the case of emerging markets' stocks

This paper examines the effects on stock returns of dual-listing on an international exchange. My sample consists of 70 firms from 10 emerging markets that dual-listed on the NYSE, NASDAQ and SEAQ-I (London) over the period 1991–1995. I evaluate whether an international dual-listing has any significant effect on returns, for the particular case of emerging markets' firms, and I proceed to investigate whether there is evidence to support an International Asset Pricing based explanation. In addition I compare the impact of US and London SEAQ-I listings. My results confirm previous empirical findings on international listings: the firms in my sample experience significant positive abnormal returns before listing and a significant decline in returns following listing. Evidence seems to be supportive of the segmentation hypothesis: dual-listing effects are more pronounced for emerging markets' listings and that pattern is similar across exchanges.
G15     

Board of Directors and CSR in Banking: The Moderating Role of Bank Regulation and Investor Protection Strength

This paper brings together research on boards of directors as the backbone of corporate governance and corporate social responsibility (CSR) practices in the banking industry. The underlying idea is that some characteristics of bank boards, in particular independence and gender diversity, may impact the CSR commitments of banks. By making use of a sample of 159 banks in nine countries during the period 2004–2010, our empirical evidence suggests that banks with more independent directors and more female members on their boards incline toward socially responsible behaviour. Our results also suggest that institutional factors play a significant role in these effects. They show that in greater regulatory and stronger investor protection environments, board independence and gender diversity have more influence on the social behaviour of banks.     

农村信用社产权制度改革:理论、绩效与出路

农村信用社产权制度改革不仅是一个金融问题,而且是一个复杂的社会问题.长期以来我国农村信用社按照合作制进行规范绩效差的主要原因是,农村信用社产权制度改革的国家偏好和农民的接受程度之间存在着巨大的矛盾.文章建议通过稳定农村信用社的经营、拉长农村信用社产权制度改革的周期、完善农村信用社产权制度改革的外部环境、增加农村信用社产权制度改革的途径等四个方面的措施来推动我国农村信用社的产权制度改革.     

出口贸易结构变迁对中国经济增长的非对称影响效应研究——基于产品技术附加值分布的贸易结构分析法和动态面板数据模型的经验研究

本文首先基于关志雄(2002)和Lall等(2006)提出的基于产品技术附加值分布的贸易结构分析法构造出口贸易结构指数,考察了1992～2006年中国的出口贸易结构及其变迁,研究结果显示,中国的出口贸易结构变迁大致可以分为三个阶段。在此基础上,本文又采用动态面板数据模型深入分析了中国出口贸易结构变迁对经济增长的影响。定量分析结果表明:从出口总量层面上看,出口总量的增加对中国经济增长具有拉动作用;从出口贸易结构分量层面上看,出口贸易结构变迁对中国经济增长存在显著的非对称影响效应,即高附加值产品出口额的增加对中国经济增长的拉动作用要明显大于低附加值产品出口额的增加对经济增长的拉动作用,这表明出口贸易结构的优化促进了中国经济的长期持续增长。最后,针对中国的对外经贸和宏观经济发展现状,本文提出了优化中国出口贸易结构以促进中国经济可持续性平稳增长的对策建议。     

Vertical Intra-Industry Trade and Foreign Direct Investment between Japan and European Countries

In this paper, we provide an overview of the development of vertical intra-industry trade (VIIT) between Japan and various European countries, including both old and new EU members, as well as emerging Central and Eastern European countries. VIIT indices constructed in this paper cover a much wider range of margins of unit price ratio than existing studies. Our empirical model attempts to explain the distributional characteristics of VIIT through foreign direct investments (FDI), in addition to traditional determinants of IIT, such as differences in GDP per capita, average GDP, and smaller and larger GDPs. Our sample covers the period from 1988 to 2004 for bilateral trade between Japan and 31 European countries. Our econometric methodology for these panel data uses fixed-effect model estimation with a variable transformation determined by a Box-Cox approach. We find that intra-industry trade between European countries and Japan increases with their corresponding Japanese FDIs, especially for new EU member countries. Our results also indicate that it is important to measure a wider range of quality based on relative prices rather than the traditional ratio used in the literature.     

开放条件下的金融发展、技术进步与经济增长

通过构建一个包含金融部门的内生增长模型,本文考察了金融发展促进经济增长的机制.利用中国省际样本数据的实证研究表明,金融市场化改革后,中国的金融发展通过提高研发产出效率和技术吸收能力促进了经济增长.对金融发展的两种作用机制的比较研究发现,金融发展通过自主研发促进增长的作用并不明显,但通过提高本国技术吸收能力从而促进经济增长的作用较为显著.进一步的研究还发现,外商直接投资比进口贸易有更强的技术外溢效应.     

消费激励对厂商定价选址行为的影响

企业的消费激励策略构成产品的差异特征,通过改变消费者的需求来影响企业的定价方式和定位。文章利用Hotelling两阶段博弈模型,在考虑运输成本基础上,进一步引入消费激励,来分析两个竞争销售企业在消费激励条件下选址定价问题。消费激励使得价格上升,减弱了企业间的价格竞争,也使得企业扩大空间差异的经济效果显著,企业在空间上有集聚的趋势。