Survival analysis software on MS/PC-DOS computers

There exist more than a dozen MS/PC-DOS programs with the capability of performing some form of survival analysis. Most of these are reviewed here, with respect to (1) the survival analysis methods they cover, (2) their ease of use and flexibility, (3) their user interface, (4) their graphics capabilities, and (5) their computational accuracy.     

Fiscal and environmental policy under monopolistic competition

Summary Keynesian demand management offsets some of the distortions caused by monopolistic competition and thus induces multiplier effects on national income and environmental damages. The cost of public funds rises with the virtual environmental tax and the degree of competition in the product market. The virtual environmental tax rises with abatement and falls with the cost of public funds. Consequently, greener preferences induce a rise in the virtual environmental tax, the cost of public funds and public abatement, and a fall in the provision of traditional public goods. A greater preference for traditional public goods harms environmental quality, since both abatement and output fall. Protecting cartels lowers the cost of public funds and may raise the provision of both traditional public goods and abatement. Environmental quality may thus rise, but other components of social welfare will fall. The paper also analyses the effects of private abatement, pollution taxes, fiscal consolidation and the progressivity of the tax system on government policy, employment, environmental quality and welfare.This paper was prepared for the OCFEB workshop Quantitative Economics for Environmental Policy held at the Tinbergen Institute Rotterdam, March 22 1994. We thank Casper van Ewijk and Jenny E. Ligthart for useful comments.     

Book Reviews

Miyohei Shinohara and Fu-Chen Lo (eds), Global Adjustment and the Future of Asian-Pacific Economy, Kuala Lumpur and Tokyo: Asian and Pacific Development Centre and Institute of Developing Economies, 1989, pp. 585 + xxi, npg.

Frank J. Costa, Ashok K. Dutt, Laurence J.C. Ma and Allen G. Noble, Urbanization in Asia: Spatial Dimensions and Policy Issues, Honolulu: University of Hawaii Press, 1989. US$44.

W. de Jong and F. van Steenbergen, Town and Hinterland in Central Java, Jogyakarta: Gadjah Mada University Press, 1987, pp. 250 + iv. Paper: Rp 7,000.

Bruce Mckern and Praipol Koomsup (eds), The Minerals Industries of Asean and Australia: Problems and Prospects, Sydney: Allen and Unwin, 1987, pp. 378 + xviii. Paper: $29.95.

Bruce Mckern and Praipol Koomsup (eds), Minerals Processing in the Industrialisation of Asean and Australia, Sydney: Allen and Unwin, 1988, pp. 388 + xvii. Paper: $29.95.

Mohamed Ariff and Tan Loong-Hoe (eds), The Uruguay Round: Asean Trade Policy Options, Singapore: Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, 1988, pp. 211 + xvi.

William R. Cline, The Future of World Trade in Textiles and Apparel, Institute for International Economics, Washington, 1987, pp. 325 + xiv. US$20.

Peter Drysdale, International Economic Pluralism: Economic Policy in East Asia and the Pacific, Sydney: Allen and Unwin, 1988, pp. 294. Paper $20; Cloth: $30.

Helen Hughes (ed.), Achieving Industrialization in East Asia, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1988, pp. 377 + xviii. $59.50.

BRIEFLY NOTED: J. C. Conroy, Shelter for the Homeless: Asian-Pacific Needs and Australian Responses, Canberra: Australian Council for Overseas Aid Development Dossier No 22,1987, pp. 141 + vi.     

An analysis of the automatic stabilizers associated with taxes and transfer payments

This paper examines the question of the stability of automatic stabilizers in the United States. Based on a statistical test suggested by Brown, Durbin and Evans, the analysis concludes that the magnitude of automatic stabilization of economic activity afforded by personal tax receipts has remained virtually invariant over the period 1939–86. The automatic stabilization effectiveness of transfer payments, however, had increased, since 1964. This is attributed to the implementation of various Great Society programmes beginning in 1964.     

绿色建筑设计管理分析与研究

我国绿色建筑发展正处于大力发展的阶段,应坚持立足于本土从国情出发、以节能为核心、以科技创新实现精细化设计的原则,不断采取专业工种的合理配合、选用适宜的技术以及集成化设计的具体措施推进绿色建筑的实施。     

BAILOUTS IN FEDERATIONS: IS A HARD BUDGET CONSTRAINT ALWAYS BEST?*

This article analyses hard and soft budget constraints in a federation, where there is a moral hazard problem between the central and the regional governments. Regional governments can avoid a bailout from the center by exerting costly effort. In this setting, a hard budget constraint is not always optimal because it can provide excessive incentives for high effort, and thus discourage investment that is socially efficient. Thus, a hard budget constraint can imply the opposite kind of inefficiency that emerges under a soft budget constraint, where the common pool problem can give rise to inefficiently low effort and overinvestment.     

Lottery Incentives and Resource Management: Evidence from the Agricultural Data Reporting Incentive Program (AgDRIP)

Environmental and Resource Economics - To manage resources effectively in an agri-environmental context, policymakers need information about on-farm management practices and ecological conditions....