The Effects of Macroeconomic Factors on Pricing Mortgage Insurance Contracts

Numerous empirical studies, including Abraham and Hendershott (1996) , Muellbauer and Murphy (1997) , Leung (2004) , and Oikarinen (2009) , have identified a significant relationship between housing prices and macroeconomic factors. Using a linear regression on the comovement of macroeconomic factors and housing prices, this article employs an option‐pricing framework to price and hedge the fair premia of mortgage insurance (MI). Our model provides improved performance in terms of MI premium pricing, especially during periods that are characterized by high housing prices. Ignoring the impacts of macroeconomic factors on housing prices will lead to an underestimation of MI premia.     

The effects of executive compensation and outside monitoring on firms’ pre-repurchase disclosure behavior and post-repurchase performance

Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting - We show that corporate governance mechanisms play an important role in controlling managers’ opportunistic behavior. Low executive equity...     

The influence of Internet on politics: the impact of Facebook and the Internet penetration on elections in Taiwan

Previous research on elections indicates that the rise of social media has had a positive impact on political participation and political interest, resulting in more voters going to the polls. However, there has been no research on the impact that social media have on bringing about a change in government. This research investigates the impact that the Internet and the Chinese version of Facebook have had on election results in Taiwan from 2001 to 2016. The findings indicate that after the Chinese version of Facebook appeared in 2008, the higher the penetration rate of the Internet in the Taiwan region, the more likely that political power will change hands and the ruling party will lose an election.     

Effects of Trade Liberalization on Taiwan: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis

Joining the GATT has been established as one of the most important economic and political targets of the Taiwan government. However, the effects of this action are difficult to establish. Because of the openness of Taiwan's domestic market there could be serious changes in the production structure and income distribution, especially in the relative status of the agricultural and nonagricultural sectors, of protected and unprotected sectors, and also of producers and consumers. The possible high cost of this move on society has caused its necessity to be questioned. In order to clear up the controversy surrounding this issue, this paper, uses a CGE model to analyse the possible effects of this policy change. Following proposals from the Final Draft of the Uruguay Round, we use tariff and nontariff barriers, aggregate measurement of support (AMS), and export quota in our model as policy tools. We omit liberalization in the service sector, because of quantification difficulties. Our analysis includes the impacts on resource allocation, production structure, income distribution and consumers' welfare.     

An empirical study of the effects of Guanxi investment on customer loyalty in Chinese market

The purpose of this study is to examine the relationship among Guanxi investment, affective commitment and customer loyalty. A customer win-back model is proposed, including Guanxi investment strategies, customer perceptions (price sensitivity, trust and affection), affective commitment and customer 1oyalty(i.e., true loyalty, latent loyalty, spurious loyalty, non loyalty). The fieldwork was conducted in the hotel industry in China (N=1074). Results show that Guanxi investment strategy has significant effects on customer’s loyalty. This study hence contributes to the literature on customer win-back strategy and provides useful suggestions for managers in charge of customer relationship management.     

区域人口社会经济系统动态仿真模型研究

信息化是 2 1世纪国际竞争的焦点 ,世界上许多国家和地区都对其社会信息化水平进行了测定。本文建立一测定模型 ,对浙江省信息化水平进行测定及分析 ,给出了推进浙江省社会信息化建设的建议     

Prospect theory and the risk-return paradox: some recent evidence

There is extensive evidence indicating a negative risk–return relation when a firm’s performance is measured based on accounting measures such as return on asset (ROA) and return on equity (ROE). Previous studies show that the risk-return paradox can be explained by the prospect theory, which predicts that managers’ risk attitudes are different for firms of different performances. However, those studies mostly use earlier data from the COMPUSTAT database, which suffers from a survivorship bias. Failure to account for delisting firms may understate the risk–return relation. We reexamine the mixture of risk-seeking and risk-averse behaviors based on an updated 20-year sample period that is free from the survivorship problem. Interestingly, our results show stronger and robust evidence supporting the prospect theory during the period from 1984 to 2003.     

A Bayesian Approach to Modeling Purchase Frequency

Direct marketers are often faced with the task of ranking, or scoring individual customers in terms of their expected value to the firm. A critical element of their scoring systems is expected frequency of customer interaction. In this paper the authors develop a hierarchical Bayes model of purchase frequency that combines a Poisson likelihood with a gamma mixing distribution, where the mixing distribution is a function of covariates. The proposed model is evaluated with two direct marketing datasets, and is shown to provide improved estimates of purchase frequency, particularly for customers with short purchase histories or who have infrequent interaction with the firm.     

Merger drivers and the change of bidder shareholders' wealth

A growing number of merger studies concern the causality of firm performance and merger activity in the last decade, but with mixed results. Assuming semi-strong efficiency, this article argues that firms with good stock performance are more likely to acquire other firms. With 412 US-listed bidders, results from the event study method clearly support our hypothesis by showing a strong upward movement of cumulative abnormal returns across groups in the pre-merger period. Results also suggest that bidders of different characteristics have different preference for payment methods and thus the market reactions to them are different, despite the noise that frequently accompanies merger activity. These empirical outcomes are important to both investors and financial services companies including investment banks when knowledge about the market reactions to their clients in mergers is required.     

Mimetic isomorphism and its effect on merger and acquisition activities in Taiwanese financial industries

This paper adopts an institutional theory and explores the impact of institutional pressures on mimetic isomorphism in merger and acquisition (M&A) activities. It uses 117 M&A announcements and adopts a logistic regression model to construct a probability model for mimetic isomorphism. This study finds that a firm's own M&A experiences and the frequency of M&A deals are positively correlated with the likelihood that a firm will complete its M&A deal. This paper also utilizes an event study methodology to estimate the excess return around M&A announcements as a proxy for the M&A performance and adopts the OLS regression model to analyse the relation between the imitation and M&A performances. There is a positive relation between the frequency of M&A activities and M&A performances, and a negative relation between a firm's own M&A experiences and M&A performances.