Effects of bank insolvency on corporate incentives in transition economies

In transition countries, the real impact of banking crises has so far been rather moderate. We study the effect of bank insolvency on corporate incentives in a model where incumbent banks possess an informational advantage. We find that bank insolvency reduces the incentive to restructure for firms whose incumbent bank becomes insolvent. However, bank insolvency provides an additional incentive for firms that enter the credit market to develop new projects because it reduces asymmetric information between banks. Firms’ credit costs are thereby lowered. We also explain a path‐dependent development by demonstrating that the firms’ decision to develop new projects depends on the banks’ share of non‐performing loans.     

Economic impact of industry-sponsored clinical trials of pharmaceutical products in Austria

Abstract

Aims: Modern pharmaceutical product development is a long and complex process associated with significant investments by pharmaceutical companies. The innovative pharmaceutical industry accounts for the vast majority of expenditures in clinical trials of potential new pharmaceuticals and therefore generates economic activity within a country. The aim was to assess the far-reaching economic impact of industry-sponsored clinical-trials (ISCTs) of pharmaceutical products for the healthcare system and the national economy.

Materials and methods: The study approach was based on three analytical steps. First, a survey among 15 pharmaceutical companies in Austria was conducted to evaluate the annual number of ISCTs subdivided according to trial phase, therapeutic areas and associated employees. Second, the monetary value of treatments performed in ISCTs was calculated based on a sample of clinical-trial protocols. Finally, the macroeconomic impact, measured in terms of value-added and jobs created by the conducted ISCTs, was calculated using Input–Output analysis by applying an extended Leontief-model.

Results: The study demonstrated that €116.22 million spent in ISCTs generated a total value added of €144 million, €74 million direct, in 2018. Each year a medical treatment value of €100 million was financed through 463 ISCTs, with an average value of medical treatment of €37,068 per recruited patient. This represents a significant 0.3% of annual current health-expenditures. In summary, each Euro invested by the pharmaceutical industry in ISCTs generates €1.95 for the Austrian economy. ISCTs also created and secured employment in the extent of 2,021 full-time-equivalents, thus resulting in an employment multiplier of 1.66.

Conclusions: In conclusion, conducting clinical-trials by pharmaceutical industry—beside its importance in its own domain—results in tangible benefits and a positive macroeconomic impact that contribute to the sustainability of the Austrian healthcare system by complementing its limited resources. Furthermore, it is a non-negligible factor in locational and industrial policy.     

Die ökologisch-ethische Berichtspflicht für Altersvorsorgeprodukte — eine Herausforderung für Finanzdienstleister

The German pension reform (Riester-Rente) of 2001 introduces a SRI (Socially Responsible Investing) disclosure regulation to provider of pension schemes. Providers are obliged to declare yearly how they take ethical, ecological or social criteria into account for capital investments of the collected premiums. The legislator intends an expansion of the market for sustainable investments. In the area of chances and risks a postal survey elicits the potential effects of these reporting duties on investment decisions.The majority of German financial service provider conducts product development and design on its own. Nevertheless ethical, ecological or social criteria play a rather middle to subordinate role. Reasons are: missing of approved standards for sustainable appraisal, a small demand, a difficult marketing and the assumption of an underdevelopment of value and return of sustainable investments. Most providers will only follow the prescribed reporting duties. Therefore financial service providers do not expect an explicit impulse, but certain stimulation in favour of sustainable development at the capital market.     

Optimal execution in Hong Kong given a market-on-close benchmark

For stocks traded on the Hong Kong Exchange, the median of five prices taken over the last minute of trading is currently chosen as the closing price. We introduce a stochastic control formulation to target such a median benchmark in an empirically justified model which takes the key microstructural features into account. We solve this problem by providing an explicit and efficient algorithm which even has applications beyond this paper as it can be used for the dynamic linear approximation of any square-integrable random variable. Implementing the algorithm on the stocks of the Hang Seng Index, we find an average improvement of around 6% in standard deviation of slippage compared to an average trader’s execution. We conclude by providing a novel decomposition of the trading risk into that which is intrinsic to the median benchmark and that due to execution.     

Challenges and perspectives for a single market for financial services in Europe

The introduction of the euro has highlighted the fact that Europe’s financial markets are still characterised by a high degree of fragmentation. This threatens to impede the process of structural reform which is hoped to increase the competitiveness of the European economy. The modernisation of the European economy should therefore start with the modernisation of its financial services markets.     

OPTIMAL EXECUTION OF A VWAP ORDER: A STOCHASTIC CONTROL APPROACH

We consider the optimal liquidation of a position of stock (long or short) where trading has a temporary market impact on the price. The aim is to minimize both the mean and variance of the order slippage with respect to a benchmark given by the market volume‐weighted average price (VWAP). In this setting, we introduce a new model for the relative volume curve which allows simultaneously for accurate data fit, economic justification, and mathematical tractability. Tackling the resulting optimization problem using a stochastic control approach, we derive and solve the corresponding Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equation to give an explicit characterization of the optimal trading rate and liquidation trajectory.     

Wie weit tr?gt der Bachelor? Zum aktuellen Stand der Bologna-Reform in Deutschland

The Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF) states that the Bologna Accords have been successfully implemented in Germany. However, empirical studies show that this can be very questionable. The aim to reduce the average study duration has not been accomplished mainly due to a higher than expected conversion rate from Bachelor to Master level. Although the Bachelor’s degree is broadly accepted among future employers, the majority of students do not trust the career opportunities with a Bachelor’s degree only and prefer to undertake a Master’s degree. In fact, the starting salaries for Bachelor’s degree graduates, especially from universities, are significantly lower than for the graduates holding a Diploma or a Master’s degree.     

Polynomial processes and their applications to mathematical finance

We introduce a class of Markov processes, called m-polynomial, for which the calculation of (mixed) moments up to order m only requires the computation of matrix exponentials. This class contains affine processes, processes with quadratic diffusion coefficients, as well as Lévy-driven SDEs with affine vector fields. Thus, many popular models such as exponential Lévy models or affine models are covered by this setting. The applications range from statistical GMM estimation procedures to new techniques for option pricing and hedging. For instance, the efficient and easy computation of moments can be used for variance reduction techniques in Monte Carlo methods.     

The four things a service business must get right

Many of the management tools and techniques used in service businesses were designed to tackle the challenges of product companies. Although they are valuable to service managers, they aren't sufficient for success. In this article, Harvard Business School's Frei explains why and urges companies to add some new ones to the mix. After years of extensive research and analysis, she offers an approach for crafting a profitable service business based on four critical elements: the design of the offering, employee management, customer management, and the funding mechanism. Just like a product that's going to market, a service needs to be compellingly designed, and management must field a workforce capable of producing it at an attractive price. Additionally, however, service firms must manage their customers, who do not simply use the service but also can be integral to its production: Because customers' involvement as producers can wreak havoc on costs, companies must also develop creative ways to fund their distinctive offerings, by providing a self-service alternative, for example, or by offsetting expenses with operational savings. A close look at successful service businesses--Wal-Mart, Commerce Bank, the Cleveland Clinic, and others--reveals that effective integration of the four elements is key. There is no "right" way to combine them; the appropriate design of one depends upon the other three. If managers don't get all four pulling together, they risk pulling the enterprise apart. Incumbents can fend off attacks from highly focused upstarts by becoming multifocused--that is, by pursuing multiple niches through optimized service models rather than trying to cover the entire waterfront with one model. Shared services within a firm (functions such as HR and finance) can help, since they will enable it to generate economies of scale and experience across models.     

Affine multiple yield curve models

We provide a general and tractable framework under which all multiple yield curve modeling approaches based on affine processes, be it short rate, Libor market, or Heath–Jarrow–Morton modeling, can be consolidated. We model a numéraire process and multiplicative spreads between Libor rates and simply compounded overnight indexed swap rates as functions of an underlying affine process. Besides allowing for ordered spreads and an exact fit to the initially observed term structures, this general framework leads to tractable valuation formulas for caplets and swaptions and embeds all existing multicurve affine models. The proposed approach also gives rise to new developments, such as a short rate type model driven by a Wishart process, for which we derive a closed‐form pricing formula for caplets. The empirical performance of two specifications of our framework is illustrated by calibration to market data.